19:30 Kempton (AW)

Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)

1m · Flat · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 9 runners · £6,281 · Wednesday, 19 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Victory Ace

No. 9 · score 64.5 · +2.7 clear of next best · best 3/1·4.00

Drawn 6, inside the favoured middle third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Lili Marleen

150·150.00 Matchbook · +12% vs fair (consensus 133.59)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way61.8/100 rating

Chapter

11.50Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Percy's LadDiffers from our pick

Percy's Lad lines up on a rating level with Mr Professor at the head of this ten-runner Class 4 mile at Kempton on the all-weather, yet the case for our selection rests on a progressive profile that suggests there is more to come, combined with a fitness edge over the joint top-rated rival. Lake Como and Breakdancer are the next most significant threats as the race unfolds on a standard-to-slow surface, and neither should be dismissed lightly given the rating gap to the remainder is meaningful. With Percy's Lad travelling the right trajectory and sharper than Mr Professor on current evidence, he is the one to be on, and the selection is Percy's Lad.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Victory Ace

Sean Levey · John Butler · 3yo

Top-rated of 10

score 64.5 · +2.7 clear of next best (61.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
14d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
73strong
Last 6: 1-2-6-5-1-1
Trainer20% weight
68strong
John Butler: 7/26 winners last 14d (27%)
Ratings50% weight
53average
OR 79

MarketBest price 4.00 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(3)
3Breakdancer 6Lucky Camino Percy's Lad
Prominent(1)
9Victory Ace
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(3)
4Lake Como 8Chapter 10Lili Marleen
Unknown(3)
2Mr Professor 5Darn Hot Gallop 7Night Wolf

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.05

Mid (5–7)

IV 1.17

High (8–10)

IV 0.80

Today: Victory Ace (draw 6) and Mr Professor (draw 7) get the bias; Breakdancer (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
9	Victory AcePick J: Sean Levey · T: John Butler · draw 6 3yo · G · bCDGoing 2/2Only runner	126511	9-04	79	—	—	64.5	7/2·4.63	4·4.00 Matchbook · -14% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook4·4.00Betfair Exchange4·4.00Smarkets3.95·3.95SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75 7Bet5/2·3.50 10 Bet5/2·3.50 Bet Victor5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50 William Hill5/2·3.50 talkSPORT BET5/2·3.50 Coral5/2·3.50 Bet3655/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 Paddy Power5/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50 BetTom5/2·3.50 Betano5/2·3.50 Unibet5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.50Betfred5/2·3.50 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50 BresBet5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50 Midnite5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50
8	Chapter J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 4 · combo 10/43 (23%) 3yo · G · bb	13612	9-06	81	—	—	61.8	12/1·13.23	11.5·11.50 Matchbook · -13% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook11.5·11.50Betfair Exchange11·11.00Smarkets11·11.00Unibet9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 talkSPORT BET9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 BetWright17/2·9.50 Paddy Power17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50 BresBet17/2·9.50Virgin Bet17/2·9.507Bet17/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00
3	Breakdancer J: Jack Mitchell · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 9 · combo 6/17 (35%) 4yo · G · b	325843	10-00	83	—	—	61.0	10/1·11.24	8/1·9.00 talkSPORT BET · -20% vs fair All 30 books ▾ talkSPORT BET8/1·9.00Matchbook9·9.00Betano8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange8.8·8.80Smarkets8.6·8.60Paddy Power15/2·8.50 BresBet15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50BetWright15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 7Bet15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Spreadex7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Midnite13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50
—	Percy's Lad J: Ebrahim Nader · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 1 · combo 3/16 (19%) 8yo · G · chOn last winning markC	062615	10-07	86	—	—	57.5	17/2·9.26	13/2·7.50 William Hill · -19% vs fair All 19 books ▾ William Hill13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 BresBet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.007Bet6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00Virgin Bet11/2·6.50
5	Darn Hot Gallop J: Lewis Edmunds · T: James Tate · draw 10 3yo · F · bClass dropOnly pairing	11006	9-10	85	—	—	55.7	12/1·13.23	14·14.00 Matchbook · +6% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook14·14.00SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 Betfair Exchange13·13.00Smarkets13·13.00talkSPORT BET10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 7Bet9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 BresBet9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Paddy Power9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00BetTom9/1·10.00
6	Lucky Camino J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 8 · combo 4/41 (10%) 3yo · G · bDOnly runner	2231	9-09	84	—	—	54.8	12/1·13.89	12.5·12.50 Matchbook · -10% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook12.5·12.50Smarkets12·12.00Betfair Exchange12·12.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Coral10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 7Bet9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 BresBet9/1·10.00 Betfred17/2·9.50 Betano8/1·9.00 talkSPORT BET8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00
4	Lake Como J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 3 · combo 22/103 (21%) 3yo · G · bpFT PClass dropOnly runner	13476	9-12	87	—	—	51.4	5/2·3.48	2.88·2.88 Matchbook · -17% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook2.88·2.88Betfair Exchange2.88·2.88Smarkets2.86·2.86SmarketsSBK7/4·2.75 talkSPORT BET13/8·2.63 William Hill13/8·2.63 BresBet13/8·2.63 Ladbrokes13/8·2.63 BetTom13/8·2.63 BetWright13/8·2.63 Star Sports13/8·2.63 Betano13/8·2.63 Coral13/8·2.63 7Bet13/8·2.63 Boyle Sports13/8·2.63 Quinn Bet13/8·2.63 SportingIndex13/8·2.63 Spreadex13/8·2.63 Unibet13/8·2.63 10 Bet13/8·2.63 Bet Victor13/8·2.63 Dragon Bet13/8·2.63 Midnite13/8·2.63 Paddy Power13/8·2.63Betfair Sportsbook13/8·2.63Betfred6/4·2.50 Bet3656/4·2.50 LiveScore Bet6/4·2.50 BetMGM6/4·2.50Virgin Bet6/4·2.50
7	Night Wolf J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 2 · combo 2/31 (6%) 3yo · G · bpFT P	536	9-07	82	—	—	40.8	50/1·54.23	120·120.00 Matchbook · +121% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook120·120.00Smarkets95·95.00SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00 Bet36550/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Betano40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 BresBet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 talkSPORT BET40/1·41.00 Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange34·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00
2	Mr Professor J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 7 7yo · G · bOnly runner	0566	10-04	87	—	—	39.5	18/1·19.84	17.5·17.50 Betfair Exchange · -12% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange17.5·17.50Matchbook17.5·17.50Smarkets17·17.00SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 talkSPORT BET14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00
10	Lili Marleen J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Jack Jones · draw 5 4yo · F · chOnly pairing	0FP90	8-13	68	—	—	37.5	150/1·133.59	150·150.00 Matchbook · +12% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook150·150.00Bet365125/1·126.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00 BetMGM100/1·101.00 BresBet100/1·101.00 Betfred100/1·101.00 7Bet100/1·101.00 Bet Victor100/1·101.00 William Hill100/1·101.00 10 Bet100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 BetTom100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes100/1·101.00 SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00 Coral100/1·101.00 Dragon Bet100/1·101.00 talkSPORT BET100/1·101.00 Paddy Power100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Betfair Exchange100·100.00Smarkets85·85.00LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00Midnite80/1·81.00 SmarketsSBK80/1·81.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 19–30 bookmakers per horse with the 32% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)?

The Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I) is off at 19:30 on 19 August 2026 at Kempton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:30 Kempton (AW)?

1m, Class 4, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:30 Kempton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard / Slow on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:30 Kempton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Victory Ace (score 64.5, best price 4.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:30 Kempton (AW)?

The market favourite is Lake Como at a best price of 2.88. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Victory Ace.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org