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Unibet More Extra Place Races Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 12 runners · £5,400 · Wednesday, 19 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 8 · score 56.0 · +3.5 clear of next best · best 10/3·4.33

Drawn 8, inside the favoured middle third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus
9.2·9.20 Matchbook · +7% vs fair (consensus 8.62)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way52.5/100 rating
St Hilda
7.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Liberate

Pierre-Louis Jamin · Harry Eustace · 3yo

Top-rated of 12
score 56.0 · +3.5 clear of next best (52.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    67strong
    Last 6: 4-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 77 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    35below average
    Harry Eustace: 2/14 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketBest price 4.33 (Ladbrokes) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.21
High (9–12)
IV 0.83

Today: Liberate (draw 8) and Lucy The Wire (draw 7) get the bias; St Hilda (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 242 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
8
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Harry Eustace · draw 8 · combo 1/6 (17%)
3yo · C · bOnly pairing
432
7756.04/1·4.9210/3·4.33
Ladbrokes · -12% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
12
J: David Probert · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 9
3yo · F · bOnly runner
4226
7152.515/2·8.627.8·7.80
Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
4
J: Billy Loughnane · T: James Owen · draw 7 · combo 4/10 (40%)
4yo · F · chpOnly pairing
2
37.66/1·6.776.2·6.20
Matchbook · -8% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
11
J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Jack Jones · draw 4
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
2
29.615/2·8.629.2·9.20
Matchbook · +7% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
1
J: Cieren Fallon · T: James Owen · draw 11 · combo 7/44 (16%)
4yo · G · grClass drop
45
29.04/1·4.925.2·5.20
Betfair Exchange · +6% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
2
4yo · G · bhFT HOnly rideOnly runner
4
21.5100/1·99.70160·160.00
Matchbook · +61% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
10
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3 · combo 1/5 (20%)
3yo · C · ch
4
21.518/1·19.0816/1·17.00
BresBet · -11% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
3
J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 6 · combo 2/9 (22%)
5yo · M · bClass dropOnly pairing
47
21.0100/1·99.70180·180.00
Smarkets · +81% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
7
J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 10 · combo 13/114 (11%)
3yo · G · bClass drop
59
17.8100/1·99.70240·240.00
Matchbook · +141% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
6
J: Thomas Greatrex · T: Charlie Pike · draw 2 · combo 0/18 (0%)
3yo · C · bClass dropOnly ride
6
14.015/2·8.6215/2·8.50
Betfred
All 30 books ▾
5
J: Sean Levey · T: David Menuisier · draw 5 · combo 0/8 (0%)
3yo · G · chClass dropOnly runner
07
12.0100/1·99.70240·240.00
Matchbook · +141% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
9
J: Georgia Dobie · T: Edward Smyth-Osbourne · draw 12 · combo 0/5 (0%)
3yo · G · bhClass dropOnly rideOnly runner
00
10.0200/1·185.87440·440.00
Matchbook · +137% vs fair
All 30 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 23% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Unibet More Extra Place Races Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)?

The Unibet More Extra Place Races Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race) is off at 19:00 on 19 August 2026 at Kempton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?

1m4f, Class 4, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard / Slow on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Liberate (score 56.0, best price 4.33). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?

The market favourite is Liberate at a best price of 4.33.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org