Who won the 20:30 Kempton (AW) on 19 August 2026?
Cavolo Nero (GB) won the 20:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 2.62. Ridden by Kaiya Fraser. Trained by Harry Eustace.
20:30 Kempton (AW)
Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier) (Div III)
1m · Flat · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 8 runners · £6,281 · Wednesday, 19 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stCavolo Nero (GB)Kaiya Fraser·Harry Eustace13/8F·2.62SP
- 2ndMalachy's Wish (GB)William Carver·Jamie Osborne·beaten 1.75 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdHelm Rock (GB)Ebrahim Nader·Daniel & Claire Kubler·beaten .5 lengths15/2·8.50SP
Race time
1m 40.75s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Cavolo Nero (GB))
“Settled towards the back - boxed in with a furlong left - found space and finished strongly - hit the front inside the final 110yds to score”
AI top-rated Rogue Defence (score 59.7) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Cavolo Nero
Cavolo Nero heads this nine-runner Kempton affair narrowly ahead of Talis Evolvere on ratings and brings strong claims over this all-weather mile on a standard-to-slow surface, where his class advantage over the bulk of the field looks meaningful. Talis Evolvere and Helm Rock are the most credible dangers, with Malachy's Wish also capable of making things interesting if running to a peak, so Cavolo Nero may need to be at his best to see them off. Confidence is medium rather than absolute, but the edge in quality points one way, and the selection is Cavolo Nero.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Rogue Defence
Billy Loughnane · Jack Jones · 3yo
Top-rated of 8
score 59.7 · +2.8 clear of next best (56.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong44d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight77strongLast 6: 1-5-1
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 85 — above field median
- Trainer20% weight38below averageJack Jones: 2/13 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.05
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.17
High (7–9)
IV 0.80
Today: Rogue Defence (draw 6) and Malachy's Wish (draw 5) get the bias; Cavolo Nero (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 7 4yo · G · b | 32341 | 87 | 56.9 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: William Carver · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 5 3yo · G · b | 11001 | 84 | 54.2 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Ebrahim Nader · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 2 8yo · G · btb | 132674 | 83 | 56.5 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Jack Jones · draw 6 3yo · G · gr | 151 | 85 | 59.7 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 8 6yo · G · b | 082766 | 80 | 41.8 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Tyler Heard · T: Simon Dow · draw 1 5yo · G · gr | 161804 | 77 | 46.3 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Jack Doughty · T: Tony Carroll · draw 4 6yo · G · b | 09085 | 70 | 40.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Ian Williams · draw 9 4yo · G · ch | 33900 | 73 | 40.0 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Millie Wonnacott(5) · T: Harry Charlton · draw 3 4yo · F · bh | 1820 | 75 | 52.1 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:30 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Rogue Defence) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 20:30 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Cavolo Nero (GB) (2.62), 2. Malachy's Wish (GB) (6.50), 3. Helm Rock (GB) (8.50).
What was the winning time for the 20:30 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 40.75s.
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