17:33 Worcester

CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)

2m½f · Chase · Class 5 · Good · 10 runners · £3,248 · Wednesday, 19 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Mr McWhinny

No. 8 · score 70.0 · +1.5 clear of next best · best 15/8·2.84

Best value vs consensus

Iolaos du Mou

15·15.00 Matchbook · +15% vs fair (consensus 13.08)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way68.5/100 rating

Greer Hill

9.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: AlshadhianDiffers from our pick

Alshadhian is preferred over the top-rated Turpin Gold on the grounds of a sharper fitness edge and a profile that suggests there is more to come, even if the six-pound gap on paper means the top-rated runner cannot be taken lightly. Definite Dream and Dexter are also respected dangers in what looks a competitive Class 5 contest over this extended trip at Worcester. The case for our selection rests on improvement rather than raw figures, so there is an element of faith required, but the progressive profile makes the risk worth taking. The selection is Alshadhian.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mr McWhinny

Jack Andrews · T Ellis · 8yo

Top-rated of 10

score 70.0 · +1.5 clear of next best (68.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=2)
T Ellis: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
32d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
69strong
Last 6: 5-7-1-4-1
Ratings50% weight
55average
OR 83

MarketBest price 2.84 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
5Dexter 7Hiero Sport
Prominent(2)
3Alshadhian 6Greer Hill
Mid-division(1)
1Turpin Gold
Hold-up / closers(1)
10Getaway Jewel
Unknown(4)
2Definite Dream 4Iolaos du Mou 8Mr McWhinny 9Keep Me Posted

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
8	Mr McWhinnyPick J: Jack Andrews · T: T Ellis · draw 0 · combo 6/23 (26%) 8yo · G · btDGoing 1/2Only runner	57141	10-11	83	—	—	70.0	9/4·3.13	2.84·2.84 Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange2.84·2.84Smarkets2.84·2.84Matchbook2.84·2.84SmarketsSBK7/4·2.75 Betfred13/8·2.63Virgin Bet13/8·2.63William Hill13/8·2.63 10 Bet13/8·2.63 7Bet13/8·2.63 Unibet13/8·2.63 Boyle Sports13/8·2.63 LiveScore Bet13/8·2.63 Bet36513/8·2.63Betfair Sportsbook13/8·2.63Paddy Power13/8·2.63 BetTom13/8·2.63 Coral13/8·2.63 Ladbrokes13/8·2.63 Midnite13/8·2.63 Quinn Bet13/8·2.63 SportingIndex13/8·2.63 Spreadex13/8·2.63 Star Sports13/8·2.63 BetMGM6/4·2.50 BetWright6/4·2.50 BresBet6/4·2.50 Dragon Bet6/4·2.50 Bet Victor11/8·2.38 Betano11/8·2.38 talkSPORT BET11/8·2.38
6	Greer Hill J: William Shanahan(5) · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 0 · combo 3/8 (38%) 5yo · G · btpC&DGoing 1/4Only ride	P8153	11-03	89	—	—	68.5	8/1·8.92	9·9.00 Matchbook All 30 books ▾ Matchbook9·9.00Betfair Exchange8.8·8.80Smarkets8.8·8.80SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Betfred13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Paddy Power13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 BresBet6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.007Bet6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 talkSPORT BET11/2·6.50 10 Bet11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50
10	Getaway Jewel J: Brian Hughes · T: Micky Hammond · draw 0 12yo · G · bOnly runner	42322	10-04	76	—	—	64.8	14/1·14.27	13.5·13.50 Matchbook · -5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook13.5·13.50Betfair Exchange13·13.00Smarkets12.5·12.50SportingIndex11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Unibet11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betfred11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 talkSPORT BET9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00
7	Hiero Sport J: Kielan Woods · T: Alex Hales · draw 0 · combo 1/7 (14%) 9yo · G · grht	8313	10-13	85	—	—	58.2	11/1·11.90	11.5·11.50 Matchbook · -3% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook11.5·11.50Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00Smarkets11·11.00Coral10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00William Hill10/1·11.00 Betfair Exchange11·11.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 7Bet9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00BresBet9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Midnite17/2·9.50 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 talkSPORT BET8/1·9.00
1	Turpin Gold J: Stan Sheppard · T: Tom Lacey · draw 0 · combo 5/29 (17%) 10yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner	42034	12-00	100	—	—	50.7	10/1·11.00	10·10.00 Matchbook · -9% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook10·10.00BetMGM9/1·10.00Smarkets10·10.00Betfair Exchange9.8·9.80 Coral17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50Star Sports17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50Virgin Bet17/2·9.50William Hill17/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Paddy Power17/2·9.50 Bet3658/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00 Midnite15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 talkSPORT BET7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00
2	Definite Dream J: Brendan Powell · T: Denis Coakley · draw 0 8yo · M · btOnly rideOnly runner	45245	11-12	98	—	—	50.1	14/1·15.46	17·17.00 Matchbook · +10% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook17·17.00Betfair Exchange16.5·16.50Smarkets16·16.00SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00William Hill12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 talkSPORT BET10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00
3	Alshadhian J: Jack Tudor · T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · draw 0 · combo 1/22 (5%) 6yo · G · btpFT TPOnly pairing	23340	11-10	96	—	—	49.4	10/1·11.30	11.5·11.50 Matchbook · +2% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook11.5·11.50Smarkets11·11.00Betfair Exchange11·11.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 William Hill17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50Virgin Bet17/2·9.50Betfred17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50 10 Bet8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 talkSPORT BET7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00
4	Iolaos du Mou J: Tabitha Worsley · T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay · draw 0 8yo · G · bhOnly rideOnly runner	14663	11-06	92	—	—	49.1	12/1·13.08	15·15.00 Matchbook · +15% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook15·15.00Betfair Exchange14.5·14.50Smarkets14.5·14.50SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00William Hill10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Paddy Power9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 BresBet9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 7Bet9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 talkSPORT BET8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00
9	Keep Me Posted J: Harry Bannister · T: Matt Sheppard · draw 0 9yo · G · btpFT TPOnly pairing	7PP65	10-08	80	—	—	48.4	33/1·34.50	60·60.00 Matchbook · +74% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook60·60.00Smarkets55·55.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Betfair Exchange44·44.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 10 Bet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Spreadex28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Paddy Power28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 7Bet25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00BresBet25/1·26.00 talkSPORT BET22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00
5	Dexter J: Toby Wynne · T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · draw 0 · combo 4/22 (18%) 9yo · G · btp	27464	11-05	91	—	—	46.1	14/1·15.46	14.5·14.50 Matchbook · -6% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook14.5·14.50Smarkets13.5·13.50Betfair Exchange13.5·13.50 SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Coral12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00William Hill12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 talkSPORT BET10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 19% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)?

The CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) is off at 17:33 on 19 August 2026 at Worcester (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:33 Worcester?

2m½f, Class 5, Chase, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:33 Worcester?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:33 Worcester?

The AI top-rated runner is Mr McWhinny (score 70.0, best price 2.84). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:33 Worcester?

The market favourite is Mr McWhinny at a best price of 2.84.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org