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Next · 5h 12m19:08Worcester

18:38 Worcester

CopyBet For Premier League Profit Boosts Novices' Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

2m4f · Hurdle · Class 4 · Good · 11 runners · £5,446 · Wednesday, 19 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 84.0 · +7.1 clear of next best · best 9/2·5.50
Best value vs consensus
230·230.00 Smarkets · +18% vs fair (consensus 195.06)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way84.0/100 rating
Square d'Alboni
5.50Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Square d'Alboni

Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton · 4yo

Top-rated of 12
score 84.0 · +7.1 clear of next best (76.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=5)
    Dan Skelton: 2/5 winners last 14d (40%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    34d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    79strong
    OR 119 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    79strong
    Last 6: 3-7-1-1
MarketBest price 5.50 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Harry Skelton · T: Dan Skelton · draw 0 · combo 50/138 (36%)
4yo · G · bC
3711
11984.011/2·6.465.5·5.50
Matchbook · -15% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
J: Jack Andrews · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 0
8yo · G · bC&DGoing 1/4Only pairing
64221
10276.916/1·16.7914/1·15.00
Dragon Bet · -11% vs fair
All 13 books ▾
10
J: Harry Bannister · T: Ben Case · draw 0 · combo 2/7 (29%)
5yo · M · bOnly pairing
P1822
10375.318/1·19.3830·30.00
Matchbook · +55% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
5
J: Harry Cobden · T: Nick Scholfield · draw 0
6yo · G · bOnly runner
21321
11574.35/1·5.815.6·5.60
Matchbook · -4% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
12
J: Richie McLernon · T: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill · draw 0 · combo 1/9 (11%)
4yo · F · bGoing 1/3
212
11072.214/1·15.5013.5·13.50
Matchbook · -13% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
6
J: Jonathan Burke · T: James Owen · draw 0 · combo 8/34 (24%)
5yo · G · bpDGoing 1/3
33221
10672.211/1·11.639.8·9.80
Matchbook · -16% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
1
J: Sean Bowen · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0 · combo 5/13 (38%)
6yo · G · bbDGoing 2/2Only runner
27311
12671.84/1·4.844.1·4.10
Matchbook · -15% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
2
J: Mr T Walsh(7) · T: Olly Murphy · draw 0
5yo · G · btFT TOnly ride
211
12467.111/2·6.465.9·5.90
Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
4
J: Harry Cobden(7) · T: Faye Bramley · draw 0 · combo 5/13 (38%)
6yo · G · bOnly pairing
53105
11063.233/1·33.5932·32.00
Matchbook · -5% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
11
J: Tristan Durrell · T: Dan Skelton · draw 0 · combo 2/9 (22%)
4yo · G · b
89
31.5200/1·195.06230·230.00
Smarkets · +18% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
8
J: Brian Hughes · T: L J Morgan · draw 0
6yo · G · bOnly runner
1PPP
18.5150/1·130.47125/1·126.00
BetMGM · -3% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
9
J: Sam Twiston-Davies · T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies · draw 0 · combo 1/20 (5%)
5yo · G · grpOnly pairing
303
16.5150/1·130.47200·200.00
Smarkets · +53% vs fair
All 30 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 13–30 bookmakers per horse with the 29% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the CopyBet For Premier League Profit Boosts Novices' Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)?

The CopyBet For Premier League Profit Boosts Novices' Hurdle Race (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) is off at 18:38 on 19 August 2026 at Worcester (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:38 Worcester?

2m4f, Class 4, Hurdle, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:38 Worcester?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:38 Worcester?

The AI top-rated runner is Square d'Alboni (score 84.0, best price 5.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:38 Worcester?

The market favourite is Newbrook Diamond at a best price of 4.10. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Square d'Alboni.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org