Who won the 16:45 York on 19 August 2026?
Miss Yechance (IRE) won the 16:45 York at SP 10.00. Ridden by Jack Nicholls. Trained by K. R. Burke.
16:45 York
Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap)
5f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 19 runners · £51,540 · Wednesday, 19 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 17thRace report
- 1stMiss Yechance (IRE)Jack Nicholls·K. R. Burke9/1·10.00SP
- 2ndManatee Mehmas (IRE)Daniel Tudhope·David O'Meara·beaten 1.25 lengths10/1·11.00SP
- 3rdNaana's Shadow (IRE)Oisin Murphy·Katie Scott·beaten .75 lengths4/1F·5.00SP
Race time
58.05s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Miss Yechance (IRE))
“Set the pace from the break - clear in front throughout with no pressure - held on to score with plenty in hand”
AI top-rated Zain Primus (score 68.0) finished 17th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Naana's Shadow
Naana's Shadow arrives here on a progressive profile and with a fitness edge over some of the more exposed rivals at the top of the ratings, which makes a compelling case for siding with her despite sitting a pound behind the top-rated Revival Power and level with Poatan on 98. Revival Power and Poatan are the obvious dangers in a deep nineteen-runner field over this sharp five furlongs at York, and Manatee Mehmas, only a pound adrift, cannot be dismissed lightly on good ground either. The confidence here is tempered by the competitive nature of the contest and the narrowness of the ratings gaps throughout, but the progressive angle is the decisive factor. Naana's Shadow is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Zain Primus
Ray Dawson · John Butler · 3yo
Top-rated of 19
score 68.0 · +4.2 clear of next best (63.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight93very strongLast 6: 3-1-1
- Trainer20% weight68strongJohn Butler: 7/26 winners last 14d (27%)
- Freshness10% weight65strong92d since last run (rusty)
- Ratings50% weight59averageOR 88
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — York 5f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).
Low (1–7)
IV 1.37
Mid (8–13)
IV 0.90
High (14–19)
IV 0.69
Today: Zain Primus (draw 2) and Miss Yechance (draw 7) get the bias; Poatan (draw 14) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 137 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: K. R. Burke · draw 7 3yo · F · ch | 154273 | 90 | 60.4 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 13 3yo · G · chtFT T | 14834 | 92 | 57.8 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Katie Scott · draw 15 3yo · F · gr | 131191 | 102 | 62.3 | 4/1F·5.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 11 3yo · G · b | 100263 | 94 | 58.1 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 5 | 13 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Andrew Balding · draw 12 3yo · G · bvFT V | 83060 | 84 | 46.8 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 9 3yo · G · b | 831265 | 94 | 56.6 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: David Egan · T: George Scott · draw 14 3yo · G · b | 35133 | 99 | 63.8 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 8 | 11 | J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: K. R. Burke · draw 10 3yo · F · bvFT V | 52087 | 86 | 53.2 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 9 | 17 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 16 3yo · F · gr | 13152 | 81 | 53.7 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 10 | 14 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 114350 | 84 | 50.4 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 11 | 16 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Michael Dods · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 031535 | 83 | 51.9 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 12 | 7 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 1 3yo · G · btFT T | 18160 | 92 | 48.8 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 13 | 19 | J: Connor Planas · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 6 3yo · F · g | 217260 | 79 | 46.8 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 14 | 15 | J: Luke Morris · T: Michael Keady · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 98004 | 84 | 41.4 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 15 | 18 | J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 17 3yo · C · b | 900047 | 80 | 42.7 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 16 | 12 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Ian Williams · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 401107 | 85 | 46.3 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 17 | 10 | J: Ray Dawson · T: John Butler · draw 2 3yo · C · br | 311 | 88 | 68.0 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 18 | 3 | J: Colin Keane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 18 3yo · F · ch | 15700 | 95 | 45.9 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 19 | 9 | J: Jason Hart · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 19 3yo · G · b | 31102 | 89 | 54.3 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 York?
No — the AI top pick (Zain Primus) finished 17.
What were the placings in the 16:45 York?
Top finishers: 1. Miss Yechance (IRE) (10.00), 2. Manatee Mehmas (IRE) (11.00), 3. Naana's Shadow (IRE) (5.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:45 York?
The winning time was 58.05s.
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