What time is the Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap)?
The Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) is off at 16:45 on 19 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).
Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap)
5f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 19 runners · £51,540 · Wednesday, 19 August 2026
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Drawn 2, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.
One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Naana's Shadow arrives here on a progressive profile and with a fitness edge over some of the more exposed rivals at the top of the ratings, which makes a compelling case for siding with her despite sitting a pound behind the top-rated Revival Power and level with Poatan on 98. Revival Power and Poatan are the obvious dangers in a deep nineteen-runner field over this sharp five furlongs at York, and Manatee Mehmas, only a pound adrift, cannot be dismissed lightly on good ground either. The confidence here is tempered by the competitive nature of the contest and the narrowness of the ratings gaps throughout, but the progressive angle is the decisive factor. Naana's Shadow is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Ray Dawson · John Butler · 3yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).
Today: Zain Primus (draw 2) and Miss Yechance (draw 7) get the bias; Poatan (draw 14) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 137 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 42% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
The Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) is off at 16:45 on 19 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).
5f, Class 2, Flat, 19 runners declared.
Going is reported as Good on Turf.
The AI top-rated runner is Zain Primus (score 68.0, best price 14.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
The market favourite is Naana's Shadow at a best price of 7.60. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Zain Primus.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org