18:45 Killarney

Ireland

Easyfix Equine Handicap Steeplechase

2m7½f · Chase · Good · 13 runners · €6,000 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (13 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Western Model

No. 5 · score 61.9 · +0.6 clear of next best · best 7/2·4.70

Best value vs consensus

Malton Groove

24·24.00 Matchbook · +19% vs fair (consensus 20.10)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way61.9/100 rating

Western Model

4.70Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: OneforgonzoDiffers from our pick

Oneforgonzo rates a pound behind the top-rated King Ferdinand on these figures, but a progressive profile makes a compelling case for preferring him at this marathon trip of twenty-four furlongs around Killarney on good ground, with the expectation that there is more improvement to come. King Ferdinand represents the chief danger as the highest-rated runner in the field, while Smallcraftwarning and Western Model also hold realistic chances on their respective ratings and must not be ignored in a competitive thirteen-runner heat. The selection is Oneforgonzo.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Western Model

Donagh Meyler · Andrew Kinirons · 7yo

Top-rated of 13

score 61.9 · +0.6 clear of next best (61.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
45d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
63average
OR 94
Form20% weight
61average
Last 6: 2-5-8-3-1
Trainer20% weight
50small sample (n=5)
Andrew Kinirons: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard

MarketBest price 4.70 (Smarkets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(3)
1Oneforgonzo 8Walk Away Harry 12Cullenwaine
Prominent(4)
3King Ferdinand 4Kilkee Bay 6Je Suis 11Tropical Image
Mid-division(1)
2Smallcraftwarning
Hold-up / closers(4)
5Western Model 7Ladies Well 10Mount Shenshan 13Malton Groove
Unknown(1)
9Wakey Wakey Man

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
5	Western ModelPick J: Donagh Meyler · T: Andrew Kinirons · draw 0 7yo · G · b3lb below win markDGoing 1/2	25831	11-08	94	—	—	61.9	5/1·6.03	4.7·4.70 Smarkets · -22% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Smarkets4.7·4.70Matchbook4.6·4.60Spreadex7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Betfair Exchange4.5·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50William Hill7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Paddy Power7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 talkSPORT BET10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 BresBet10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 SmarketsSBK10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 Midnite3/1·4.00
11	Tropical Image J: G B Noonan · T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy · draw 0 · combo 5/30 (17%) 9yo · M · btp	P7625	11-01	87	—	—	61.4	22/1·22.78	29·29.00 Matchbook · +27% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook29·29.00Smarkets28·28.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange24·24.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.0010 Bet18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 Paddy Power18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 talkSPORT BET16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00
7	Ladies Well J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 0 · combo 0/5 (0%) 6yo · M · btC&DOnly pairing	82U12	11-04	90	—	—	55.3	11/2·6.70	6.2·6.20 Matchbook · -7% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook6.2·6.20Smarkets6·6.00Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Betano4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Star Sports7/2·4.50
4	Kilkee Bay J: Mr J Dunne(7) · T: E McNamara · draw 0 7yo · G · brbOnly pairing	U8125	11-09	95	—	—	52.1	16/1·16.08	16.5·16.50 Matchbook · +3% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook16.5·16.50Betfair Exchange16·16.00 SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00Smarkets15·15.00Betfred11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 talkSPORT BET10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Betano10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00
13	Malton Groove J: Patrick M O'Brien(5) · T: Dermot A McLoughlin · draw 0 · combo 0/13 (0%) 9yo · G · brtpOnly runner	P7236	10-10	82	—	—	50.9	20/1·20.10	24·24.00 Matchbook · +19% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook24·24.00Smarkets21·21.00Betfair Exchange20·20.00 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Bet Victor12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00
8	Walk Away Harry J: Philip Byrnes · T: Charles Coakley · draw 0 8yo · G · bOnly runner	00894	11-04	90	—	—	50.2	33/1·34.84	30·30.00 Matchbook · -14% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook30·30.00BetTom28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00Betfair Sportsbook28/1·29.00Paddy Power28/1·29.00 10 Bet28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 BresBet25/1·26.00Smarkets26·26.00Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 talkSPORT BET25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange24·24.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00
12	Cullenwaine J: Shane O'Callaghan(3) · T: David O'Sullivan · draw 0 · combo 2/10 (20%) 8yo · G · chbC&D	22541	10-12	84	—	—	49.9	7/2·4.69	5·5.00 Matchbook · +7% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook5·5.00Smarkets4.5·4.50SmarketsSBK10/3·4.33 Bet3653/1·4.00 Coral11/4·3.75 Ladbrokes11/4·3.75 Midnite11/4·3.75 William Hill11/4·3.75 Betfair Exchange3.6·3.60 Bet Victor5/2·3.50 Paddy Power5/2·3.50 BresBet5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 10 Bet5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50 Unibet5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50talkSPORT BET5/2·3.50 BetTom5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50 Betano5/2·3.50 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.25Star Sports9/4·3.25 Betfred2/1·3.00
2	Smallcraftwarning J: Joshua Halford(7) · T: John Patrick Ryan · draw 0 · combo 1/8 (13%) 9yo · G · btOnly pairing	382040	11-13	99	—	—	48.1	20/1·20.10	28·28.00 Matchbook · +39% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook28·28.00Smarkets24·24.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange19.5·19.50 Bet36514/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00
1	Oneforgonzo J: Anna McGuinness(7) · T: Sean Aherne · draw 0 · combo 0/5 (0%) 8yo · G · bpOnly rideOnly runner	41504	12-00	100	—	—	47.8	20/1·20.10	16/1·17.00 William Hill · -15% vs fair All 29 books ▾ William Hill16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00Matchbook16.5·16.50Smarkets16.5·16.50SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00 Betfair Exchange15.5·15.50 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 talkSPORT BET14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00BetWright14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00
9	Wakey Wakey Man J: Danny Gilligan · T: Cian Collins · draw 0 · combo 2/15 (13%) 6yo · G · b	26435	11-03	89	—	—	44.7	16/1·16.08	12.5·12.50 Matchbook · -22% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook12.5·12.50Smarkets12·12.00Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00talkSPORT BET10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Betfair Exchange10·10.00
6	Je Suis J: Phillip Enright · T: S Curling · draw 0 · combo 2/19 (11%) 7yo · M · chbFT B	6P350	11-04	90	—	—	44.3	16/1·17.42	18/1·19.00 BetMGM · +9% vs fair All 29 books ▾ BetMGM18/1·19.00Matchbook17·17.00SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00Smarkets12.5·12.50Unibet11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50
3	King Ferdinand J: Alan O'Sullivan(5) · T: Eugene M O'Sullivan · draw 0 · combo 0/13 (0%) 10yo · G · btpFT TPOnly pairing	66P0P	11-12	98	—	—	43.5	28/1·28.14	60·60.00 Matchbook · +113% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook60·60.00Smarkets55·55.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00BetMGM20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 Paddy Power20/1·21.00 BresBet20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 talkSPORT BET20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Betfair Exchange16·16.00
10	Mount Shenshan J: Danny Mullins · T: Thomas Mullins · draw 0 8yo · M · bOnly rideOnly runner	53560	11-01	87	—	—	43.3	28/1·30.82	22/1·23.00 Paddy Power · -25% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Paddy Power22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00BetWright22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00Matchbook22·22.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00talkSPORT BET20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 BresBet20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00Smarkets20·20.00Betano18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange9.6·9.60

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 34% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Easyfix Equine Handicap Steeplechase?

The Easyfix Equine Handicap Steeplechase is off at 18:45 on 20 August 2026 at Killarney (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:45 Killarney?

2m7½f, Chase, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:45 Killarney?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:45 Killarney?

The AI top-rated runner is Western Model (score 61.9, best price 4.70). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:45 Killarney?

The market favourite is Western Model at a best price of 4.70.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org