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Next · 4h 39m14:10Lingfield (AW)

19:15 Killarney

Ireland

Brehon Hotel & Spa Handicap Steeplechase

2m5f · Chase · Good · 11 runners · €7,200 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 4 · score 63.1 · +3.5 clear of next best · best 18/1·20.00
Best value vs consensus
Ollie La Ba Ba (also top rated)
20·20.00 Matchbook · +3% vs fair (consensus 19.38)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way59.6/100 rating
Illtakehimmyself
6.50BetWright
Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: BurruDiffers from our pick

Burru arrives at Killarney on a progressive profile that makes a compelling case for going with him over the top-rated Ferdia, who holds a narrow two-pound edge on paper but may not possess the same upward trajectory. Ollie La Ba Ba and Miners Bridge sit level with Burru on the figures and must be respected across this extended trip on good ground, yet neither shows the same signs of a horse still finding improvement. The selection's profile suggests the bare ratings may already be behind him, and over twenty-one furlongs there is every reason to believe he will see it out strongly. Burru is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Ollie La Ba Ba

G B Noonan · Eoin Christopher McCarthy · 8yo

Top-rated of 11
score 63.1 · +3.5 clear of next best (59.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=6)
    Eoin Christopher McCarthy: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    68strong
    OR 102
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    73d since last run (rusty)
  • Form20% weight
    31weak
    Last 6: 6-1-6-6-6
MarketBest price 20.00 (Matchbook) · 9th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
4
J: G B Noonan · T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy · draw 0 · combo 5/30 (17%)
8yo · G · chtp
61666
10263.118/1·19.3820·20.00
Matchbook · +3% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: Calum Hogan(5) · T: E McNamara · draw 0 · combo 1/17 (6%)
5yo · G · btC&DGoing 1/3Only ride
52231
10759.613/2·7.7511/2·6.50
BetWright · -16% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
9
J: Donagh Meyler · T: Andrew Kinirons · draw 0
7yo · M · bOn last winning mark
2P717
9959.514/1·14.2111/1·12.00
Unibet · -15% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: Patrick M O'Brien(5) · T: E McNamara · draw 0 · combo 0/6 (0%)
10yo · G · chOnly pairing
12322
10354.011/1·11.6316.5·16.50
Matchbook · +42% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
7
J: Shane O'Callaghan(3) · T: David O'Sullivan · draw 0 · combo 2/10 (20%)
9yo · G · bp
26317
10053.69/1·10.3314.5·14.50
Matchbook · +40% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
10
J: Phillip Enright · T: S Curling · draw 0 · combo 2/19 (11%)
9yo · G · b
5724
9852.15/1·5.815.5·5.50
Matchbook · -5% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
2
J: Ricky Doyle · T: C W J Farrell · draw 0
6yo · G · bpOnly rideOnly runner
2PU02
10748.920/1·21.9619.5·19.50
Matchbook · -11% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: E Bolger · draw 0
7yo · G · brOnly runner
118P
10048.415/2·8.408.6·8.60
Matchbook · +2% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
5
8yo · G · bOnly runner
8P104
10047.511/2·6.465.7·5.70
Matchbook · -12% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
8
J: Harry Sexton(7) · T: John Joseph Hanlon · draw 0 · combo 0/24 (0%)
5yo · G · b
5U06P
9944.566/1·65.88130·130.00
Matchbook · +97% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
11
J: Daniel King · T: John Patrick Ryan · draw 0 · combo 4/36 (11%)
10yo · G · b
96870
8236.116/1·16.7922·22.00
Matchbook · +31% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–29 bookmakers per horse with the 29% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Brehon Hotel & Spa Handicap Steeplechase?

The Brehon Hotel & Spa Handicap Steeplechase is off at 19:15 on 20 August 2026 at Killarney (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:15 Killarney?

2m5f, Chase, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:15 Killarney?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:15 Killarney?

The AI top-rated runner is Ollie La Ba Ba (score 63.1, best price 20.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:15 Killarney?

The market favourite is Miners Bridge at a best price of 5.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Ollie La Ba Ba.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org