19:00 Leopardstown

Ireland

Money Back Daily Specials With Tote.ie Handicap

1m5f · Flat · Good To Firm · 12 runners · €12,000 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (12 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Satono Chevalier

No. 1 · score 57.1 · +4.3 clear of next best · best 22/1·23.00

Best value vs consensus

Gaelic Drills

26·26.00 Matchbook · +19% vs fair (consensus 21.90)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way52.8/100 rating

Darius Dark

9.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Sea CoralDiffers from our pick

Sea Coral heads the field on a shared rating with Satono Chevalier, and on good-to-firm ground over thirteen furlongs at Leopardstown there is enough in her profile to make a case, though the low confidence here is honest — this is a competitive twelve-runner heat with little to separate the principals. Satono Chevalier matches her rating exactly and must be respected, while Ehteyat is only a pound adrift and Ben Hur lurks just two pounds further back, meaning any of the quartet could take this. Sea Coral is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Satono Chevalier

Seamie Heffernan · M K Flannery · 8yo

Top-rated of 12

score 57.1 · +4.3 clear of next best (52.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
20d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
55average
OR 82 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
50no sample
M K Flannery — no runners last 14 days — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
49below average
Last 6: 1-1-8-1-3-0

MarketBest price 23.00 (Matchbook) · 8th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
1Satono Chevalier 4Pavilion End
Prominent(2)
7Celtic Druid 11Gaelic Drills
Mid-division(3)
2Sea Coral 9Cooley's Mist 10Party Dress
Hold-up / closers(3)
6Darius Dark 8Harry's Legacy 12Lauderdale King
Unknown(2)
3Ehteyat 5Ben Hur

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Leopardstown 1m5f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 1.18

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.89

High (9–12)

IV 0.91

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 33 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Satono ChevalierPick J: Seamie Heffernan · T: M K Flannery · draw 4 8yo · G · bbDOnly pairing	118130	10-02	82	—	—	57.1	20/1·21.90	23·23.00 Matchbook · +5% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook23·23.00Smarkets22·22.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 talkSPORT BET16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Exchange11·11.00
6	Darius Dark J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 11 · combo 14/110 (13%) 3yo · G · b	01110	9-07	82	—	—	52.8	9/1·10.31	9.8·9.80 Matchbook · -5% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook9.8·9.80Smarkets9.4·9.40SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Unibet15/2·8.50 talkSPORT BET15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 BresBet15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Betfred7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Star Sports13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange4.1·4.10
3	Ehteyat J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: M K Flannery · draw 3 7yo · G · bOnly pairing	12376	9-12	78	—	—	50.5	33/1·33.50	50·50.00 Matchbook · +49% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook50·50.00Smarkets46·46.00SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 BresBet25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 talkSPORT BET25/1·26.00 Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00Betfair Exchange14·14.00
7	Celtic Druid J: James Ryan · T: T G McCourt · draw 6 · combo 0/27 (0%) 5yo · G · bOnly ride	114732	9-04	70	—	—	43.9	11/1·12.24	12.5·12.50 Matchbook · +2% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook12.5·12.50SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange12·12.00Smarkets12·12.00BetWright17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 Bet Victor17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50 talkSPORT BET17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 BresBet17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50 Bet3658/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Paddy Power8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Star Sports15/2·8.50
4	Pavilion End J: Declan McDonogh · T: Charles O'Brien · draw 1 · combo 0/6 (0%) 6yo · G · chOnly runner	690023	9-09	75	—	—	42.5	10/1·10.95	12.5·12.50 Matchbook · +14% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook12.5·12.50Smarkets11.5·11.50SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 Midnite15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 BresBet15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 talkSPORT BET15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.0010 Bet7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Star Sports13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange4·4.00
10	Party Dress J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: W McCreery · draw 12 6yo · M · gtpOnly pairing	00645	8-13	65	—	—	42.4	14/1·15.46	15.5·15.50 Matchbook All 29 books ▾ Matchbook15.5·15.50SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00Smarkets15·15.00Midnite12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00William Hill11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Betfair Exchange7.6·7.60
5	Ben Hur J: Adam Caffrey · T: Noel Meade · draw 5 · combo 1/24 (4%) 4yo · G · b	4773	9-08	74	—	—	41.9	7/2·4.51	3.65·3.65 Smarkets · -19% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Smarkets3.65·3.65Betano5/2·3.50 Betfred5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Unibet5/2·3.50 talkSPORT BET5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 Bet Victor5/2·3.50 Bet3655/2·3.50 BetTom5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50William Hill5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.50Paddy Power5/2·3.50 10 Bet5/2·3.50 Coral5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50 BresBet5/2·3.50 BetMGM12/5·3.40 SmarketsSBK12/5·3.40 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25Matchbook3.25·3.25Star Sports9/4·3.25 Midnite2/1·3.00 Betfair Exchange2.78·2.78
8	Harry's Legacy J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 8 · combo 0/19 (0%) 8yo · G · btpFT TP	32050	9-04	70	—	—	41.8	28/1·29.64	34·34.00 Matchbook · +15% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook34·34.00Smarkets32·32.00SmarketsSBK30/1·31.00 BresBet22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 Paddy Power22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 talkSPORT BET22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Midnite20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00BetMGM20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange11·11.00
2	Sea Coral J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 2 · combo 19/152 (13%) 4yo · F · btp	00337	10-00	80	—	—	41.8	20/1·21.90	28·28.00 Matchbook · +28% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook28·28.00Smarkets26·26.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00 Betano16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 talkSPORT BET16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Star Sports14/1·15.00
9	Cooley's Mist J: Chris Hayes · T: H Rogers · draw 9 · combo 1/7 (14%) 4yo · G · bpC&DOnly runner	83310	9-00	66	—	—	41.5	14/1·14.17	10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports · -22% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 talkSPORT BET10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00Matchbook10.5·10.50Smarkets10.5·10.50Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Midnite9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00Virgin Bet17/2·9.50LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50 Betfair Exchange8.6·8.60
11	Gaelic Drills J: Nathan Crosse · T: J S Bolger · draw 10 3yo · C · bOnly runner	54795	8-10	71	—	—	36.7	20/1·21.90	26·26.00 Matchbook · +19% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook26·26.00Smarkets25·25.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 talkSPORT BET16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Star Sports14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange9.6·9.60
12	Lauderdale King J: Andrew Slattery · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 7 · combo 3/87 (3%) 4yo · G · b	80034	8-09	61	—	—	35.7	5/1·5.80	5.6·5.60 Matchbook · -3% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook5.6·5.60Betfair Exchange5.5·5.50Smarkets5.3·5.30talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 BresBet7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50BetTom7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.5010 Bet7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Star Sports10/3·4.33

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 29% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Money Back Daily Specials With Tote.ie Handicap?

The Money Back Daily Specials With Tote.ie Handicap is off at 19:00 on 20 August 2026 at Leopardstown (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:00 Leopardstown?

1m5f, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:00 Leopardstown?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:00 Leopardstown?

The AI top-rated runner is Satono Chevalier (score 57.1, best price 23.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:00 Leopardstown?

The market favourite is Ben Hur at a best price of 3.65. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Satono Chevalier.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org