16:10 York

Assured Data Protection Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 16 runners · £61,848 · Friday, 21 August 2026

E/W terms4 places at 1/4 odds in a 17-runner handicap — the one field shape where standard terms have historically leaned the punter's way (place half ≈ +17% at 10/1–20/1)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Truth Be Told

score 71.2 · +0.8 clear of next best · best 18/1·19.50

Drawn 2, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Jimmy Speaking

46·46.00 Matchbook · +22% vs fair (consensus 37.64)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way63.5/100 rating

Primo Lara

7.00Betano

Place portion settles at 2.20 · 1/5 odds · 5 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Truth Be Told

W J Lee · M C Grassick · 4yo

Top-rated of 17

score 71.2 · +0.8 clear of next best (70.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
32d since last run (fresh)
Trainer20% weight
83small sample (n=3)
M C Grassick: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
79strong
Last 6: 9-4-1-1-2
Ratings50% weight
61average
OR 91

MarketBest price 19.50 (Matchbook) · 12th in the market of 17.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(4)
8Sportingsilvermine 9Say What You See 11Explode 17Cuff It
Prominent(4)
4Master Vintner 5Ernst Blofeld 15Primo Lara 16Jimmy Speaking
Mid-division(1)
6Tycoon
Hold-up / closers(1)
12Zanndabad
Unknown(7)
1Plage De Havre 2Wave Rider 3French Duke 7Master Builder 13Shadow Dance 14Genealogy Truth Be Told

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — York 1m4f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).

Low (1–6)

IV 1.38

Mid (7–12)

IV 0.71

High (13–17)

IV 0.87

Today: Truth Be Told (draw 2) and Wave Rider (draw 3) get the bias; Ernst Blofeld (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 83 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
—	Truth Be ToldPick J: W J Lee · T: M C Grassick · draw 2 · combo 2/11 (18%) 4yo · G · bOnly runner	94112	9-03	91	—	—	71.2	18/1·18.82	19.5·19.50 Matchbook · +4% vs fair All 7 books ▾ Matchbook19.5·19.507Bet12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00
4	Master Vintner J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 16 · combo 14/81 (17%) 4yo · G · bbD	07221	9-08	96	—	—	70.3	14/1·15.93	15.5·15.50 Smarkets · -3% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Smarkets15.5·15.50SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00Matchbook14·14.00Betfair Exchange14·14.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.007Bet10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00talkSPORT BET9/1·10.00
5	Ernst Blofeld J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 12 4yo · G · bDOnly pairing	04175	9-07	95	—	—	64.7	33/1·33.30	28/1·29.00 William Hill · -13% vs fair All 29 books ▾ William Hill28/1·29.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 BresBet25/1·26.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00Smarkets26·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange25·25.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00talkSPORT BET22/1·23.00Matchbook22·22.00Bet36520/1·21.00
9	Say What You See J: Billy Garritty · T: Liam Bailey · draw 14 · combo 2/22 (9%) 4yo · G · grpCDOnly rideOnly runner	352112	9-03	91	—	—	63.7	18/1·18.82	14/1·15.00 Bet365 · -20% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet36514/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange15·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00Smarkets15·15.00Matchbook14.5·14.50SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00 talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00
15	Primo Lara J: Colin Keane · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 10 5yo · G · chDOnly runner	962511	8-12	86	—	—	63.5	17/2·9.41	6/1·7.00 Betano · -26% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betano6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00 talkSPORT BET6/1·7.00 Betfair Exchange6.8·6.80Smarkets6.6·6.60Matchbook6.6·6.60Bet36511/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00
3	French Duke J: James Doyle · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 11 · combo 4/23 (17%) 5yo · G · b	16066	9-09	97	—	—	63.1	11/1·12.31	11·11.00 Matchbook · -11% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook11·11.00Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50Smarkets10.5·10.50SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Unibet17/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50Paddy Power17/2·9.50 Bet3658/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 7Bet15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 BresBet15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 BetTom7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 talkSPORT BET13/2·7.50
2	Wave Rider J: Oisin Murphy · T: George Scott · draw 3 · combo 1/13 (8%) 4yo · G · bpFT P	12030	9-11	99	—	—	59.1	17/2·9.41	7.4·7.40 Smarkets · -21% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Smarkets7.4·7.40Bet3656/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00Matchbook7·7.007Bet11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Paddy Power11/2·6.50 talkSPORT BET11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00
8	Sportingsilvermine J: Marco Ghiani · T: James Owen · draw 8 · combo 2/5 (40%) 5yo · G · brDOnly runner	713102	9-04	92	—	—	58.7	16/1·17.37	18/1·19.00 SmarketsSBK · +9% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00Smarkets19·19.00Matchbook17.5·17.50Betfair Exchange16·16.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00talkSPORT BET10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00
1	Plage De Havre J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7 · combo 9/51 (18%) 5yo · G · ch	31639	9-12	100	—	—	56.2	14/1·14.48	12/1·13.00 talkSPORT BET · -10% vs fair All 29 books ▾ talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00Smarkets11.5·11.50Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50Matchbook11·11.00Bet36510/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 7Bet9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 BresBet9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 BetTom17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Paddy Power8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00
6	Tycoon J: Ryan Moore · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 4 4yo · G · bOnly runner	53032	9-06	94	—	—	55.7	22/1·23.16	18.5·18.50 Smarkets · -20% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Smarkets18.5·18.50Matchbook18·18.00Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Betfair Exchange17·17.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00
17	Cuff It J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 17 · combo 9/49 (18%) 3yo · G · b	514	8-04	87	—	—	55.2	25/1·24.61	28·28.00 Betfair Exchange · +14% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Betfair Exchange28·28.00Matchbook27·27.00Smarkets26·26.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00
11	Explode J: William Buick · T: Faye Bramley · draw 15 4yo · G · bOn last winning markDOnly pairing	60811	9-02	85	—	—	53.5	20/1·21.72	19·19.00 Betfair Exchange · -12% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange19·19.00Matchbook19·19.00Smarkets18·18.00Bet36516/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00
16	Jimmy Speaking J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 6 · combo 3/32 (9%) 5yo · G · bOnly runner	112944	8-10	84	—	—	48.0	40/1·37.64	46·46.00 Matchbook · +22% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook46·46.00Smarkets44·44.00Betfair Exchange44·44.00 SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 BresBet25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00
14	Genealogy J: Clifford Lee · T: Faye Bramley · draw 13 4yo · G · bOnly pairing	8850	9-00	88	—	—	45.7	28/1·27.51	48·48.00 Smarkets · +75% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Smarkets48·48.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00Matchbook42·42.00Betfair Exchange40·40.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 BresBet20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Paddy Power20/1·21.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00talkSPORT BET18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00
7	Master Builder J: Tom Marquand · T: David Menuisier · draw 5 5yo · G · gr	06001	9-04	92	—	—	44.4	15/2·8.69	7.8·7.80 Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7.8·7.80Matchbook7.6·7.60Smarkets7.4·7.40SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 7Bet5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00 talkSPORT BET5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50
12	Zanndabad J: Jamie Spencer · T: A J Martin · draw 1 7yo · G · btOnly runner	04988	9-01	89	—	—	40.8	20/1·21.72	16.5·16.50 Betfair Exchange · -24% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange16.5·16.50Matchbook16·16.00Smarkets15.5·15.507Bet14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00
13	Shadow Dance J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 9 · combo 1/31 (3%) 6yo · G · grtpFT TPOnly runner	07670	9-01	89	—	—	38.2	40/1·37.64	34·34.00 Matchbook · -10% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook34·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange30·30.00 William Hill28/1·29.00Smarkets29·29.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.007Bet25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 BresBet25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Coral22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 7–29 bookmakers per horse with the 45% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Assured Data Protection Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)?

The Assured Data Protection Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) is off at 16:10 on 21 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:10 York?

1m4f, Class 2, Flat, 16 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:10 York?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:10 York?

The AI top-rated runner is Truth Be Told (score 71.2, best price 19.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:10 York?

The market favourite is Primo Lara at a best price of 7.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Truth Be Told.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org