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RacingAlpha

Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

6f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £6,480 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 1/1F·2.00
  1. 1st
    Minkaas (IRE)AI top pick · 48.0
    Jamie Spencer·T J Kent
    1/1F·2.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Zephyra (GB)
    Jack Gilligan·Marco Botti·beaten 0.3 lengths
    2/1·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Elpeeare (IRE)
    Darragh Keenan·George Scott·beaten 3.5 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
Race time
1m 12.72s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Minkaas (IRE))

“Settled towards the back early - pressed for effort with 2f remaining - made ground approaching the final furlong - hit the front and stayed on to assert - won comfortably”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Minkaas

Jamie Spencer · T J Kent · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 48.0 · +9.4 clear of next best (38.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 3-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    52average
    OR 78 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    0small sample (n=6)
    T J Kent: 0/6 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.95
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.80
High (5–6)
IV 1.24

Today: Minkaas (draw 6) and Zephyra (draw 5) get the bias; Elpeeare (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 92 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Jamie Spencer · T: T J Kent · draw 6
2yo · F · b
33
7848.0
1/1F·2.00
SP
26
J: Jack Gilligan · T: Marco Botti · draw 5
2yo · F · b
2
—38.6
2/1·3.00
SP
31
J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 3
2yo · F · b
34
—29.5
7/1·8.00
SP
44
J: Harry Davies · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 1
2yo · F · b
——15.0
22/1·23.00
SP
55
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 4
2yo · F · grtFT T
——26.5
9/1·10.00
SP
——
J: Rob Hornby · T: James Tate · draw 2
2yo · F · gr
38
—24.3—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:00 Newmarket (July) on 20 August 2026?

Minkaas (IRE) won the 14:00 Newmarket (July) at SP 2.00. Ridden by Jamie Spencer. Trained by T J Kent.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:00 Newmarket (July)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Minkaas, won the race (AI score 48.0).

What were the placings in the 14:00 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Minkaas (IRE) (2.00), 2. Zephyra (GB) (3.00), 3. Elpeeare (IRE) (8.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:00 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 1m 12.72s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org