14:00 Newmarket (July)

Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

6f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £6,480 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 6-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Minkaas

No. 3 · score 48.0 · +9.4 clear of next best · best EVS·2.00

Drawn 6, inside the favoured high third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Minkaas

Jamie Spencer · T J Kent · 2yo

Top-rated of 6

score 48.0 · +9.4 clear of next best (38.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
15d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
60average
Last 6: 3-3
Ratings50% weight
52average
OR 78 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
0small sample (n=6)
T J Kent: 0/6 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard

MarketBest price 2.00 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(1)
3Minkaas
Hold-up / closers(1)
Grey Tamam
Unknown(4)
1Elpeeare 4Plastic Dream 5Scoot Away 6Zephyra

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–2)

IV 0.95

Mid (3–4)

IV 0.80

High (5–6)

IV 1.24

Today: Minkaas (draw 6) and Zephyra (draw 5) get the bias; Elpeeare (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 92 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	MinkaasPick J: Jamie Spencer · T: T J Kent · draw 6 2yo · F · b	33	9-02	78	—	—	48.0	6/4·2.44	2·2.00 Matchbook · -18% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook2·2.00Betfair Exchange2·2.00Smarkets1.98·1.98SportingIndex10/11·1.91 talkSPORT BET10/11·1.91 Unibet10/11·1.91 Coral10/11·1.91 Dragon Bet10/11·1.91 BresBet10/11·1.91 Ladbrokes10/11·1.91 Betfred10/11·1.91 Betano10/11·1.91 Spreadex10/11·1.91 Bet Victor10/11·1.91 Bet36510/11·1.91 William Hill5/6·1.83 Paddy Power5/6·1.83 BetWright5/6·1.83 Midnite5/6·1.83 Quinn Bet5/6·1.83 SmarketsSBK5/6·1.83 LiveScore Bet5/6·1.83 Boyle Sports5/6·1.83 Star Sports5/6·1.83Betfair Sportsbook5/6·1.83Virgin Bet5/6·1.837Bet5/6·1.83 BetMGM5/6·1.83 BetTom5/6·1.83 10 Bet4/5·1.80
6	Zephyra J: Jack Gilligan · T: Marco Botti · draw 5 · combo 0/14 (0%) 2yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner	2	9-02	—	—	—	38.6	4/1·5.22	4.1·4.10 Matchbook · -21% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook4.1·4.1010 Bet3/1·4.00 7Bet3/1·4.00 Betfair Exchange4·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Bet3653/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 BresBet3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00Smarkets4·4.00talkSPORT BET3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00Paddy Power3/1·4.00 William Hill11/4·3.75 BetMGM11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75 Unibet11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75
1	Elpeeare J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 3 · combo 5/45 (11%) 2yo · F · b	34	9-02	—	—	—	29.5	5/1·5.88	5.4·5.40 Smarkets · -8% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Smarkets5.4·5.40Matchbook5.4·5.40Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 7Bet7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50 talkSPORT BET7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50Virgin Bet10/3·4.33Bet Victor10/3·4.33 Bet36510/3·4.33 Paddy Power10/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 BresBet10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 LiveScore Bet10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00
5	Scoot Away J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 4 · combo 11/59 (19%) 2yo · F · grtFT T	—	9-02	—	—	—	26.5	22/1·22.20	18·18.00 Matchbook · -19% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook18·18.00Betfair Exchange17.5·17.50 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00William Hill16/1·17.00 talkSPORT BET16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00Smarkets17·17.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Betfred14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00
—	Grey Tamam J: Rob Hornby · T: James Tate · draw 2 2yo · F · grClass dropOnly runner	38	9-02	—	—	—	24.3	11/2·6.53	9/2·5.50 Bet365 · -16% vs fair All 22 books ▾ Bet3659/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 Betfair Exchange5.5·5.50 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Midnite4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00 7Bet4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Matchbook4.3·4.30
4	Plastic Dream J: Harry Davies · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 1 2yo · F · bOnly runner	—	9-02	—	—	—	15.0	33/1·32.65	25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet · -20% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 talkSPORT BET25/1·26.00 Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00Matchbook24·24.00SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 BresBet22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00BetWright22/1·23.00Smarkets22·22.00Midnite20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 10 Bet20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 22–30 bookmakers per horse with the 31% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)?

The Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race) is off at 14:00 on 20 August 2026 at Newmarket (July) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:00 Newmarket (July)?

6f, Class 3, Flat, 5 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:00 Newmarket (July)?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:00 Newmarket (July)?

The AI top-rated runner is Minkaas (score 48.0, best price 2.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:00 Newmarket (July)?

The market favourite is Minkaas at a best price of 2.00.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org