15:10 Newmarket (July)

#Come Racing Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £5,234 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Mertoun

No. 4 · score 59.3 · +4.3 clear of next best · best 6/1·6.80

Best value vs consensus

Potomac River

7.8·7.80 Matchbook · +13% vs fair (consensus 6.90)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way59.3/100 rating

Mertoun

6.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: CalyxohDiffers from our pick

Calyxoh heads this eight-runner Newmarket mile on good-to-firm ground narrowly ahead of Glen Nevis and Legacy Rock, who share the same rating and represent the most credible threats alongside Wield just behind them; with confidence modest, any of that trio could overturn the advantage on the day. That said, Calyxoh's edge at the top of the ratings gives a reasonable starting point, and the mile at Newmarket (July) should suit a horse rated narrowly clear on our figures. The selection is Calyxoh.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mertoun

Rob Hornby · Jane Chapple-Hyam · 3yo

Top-rated of 8

score 59.3 · +4.3 clear of next best (55.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
20d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
72strong
Last 6: 9-2-1-1-4
Trainer20% weight
53average
Jane Chapple-Hyam: 3/14 winners last 14d (21%)
Ratings50% weight
49below average
OR 73

MarketBest price 6.80 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
4Mertoun
Prominent(2)
7Legacy Rock 8Big Alex Walmsley
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(3)
2Calyxoh 5Glen Nevis 6Venetian Lion
Unknown(2)
1Potomac River 3Wield

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.91

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.06

High (7–8)

IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
4	MertounPick J: Rob Hornby · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 5 3yo · G · bDGoing 1/3Only pairing	92114	9-08	73	—	—	59.3	6/1·6.90	6.8·6.80 Matchbook All 30 books ▾ Matchbook6.8·6.80Smarkets6.6·6.60Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60 BetMGM11/2·6.50 BetWright5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00William Hill5/1·6.00 talkSPORT BET5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50
6	Venetian Lion J: Harry Davies · T: William Haggas · draw 3 · combo 4/25 (16%) 3yo · G · chtDGoing 1/2Only runner	79621	9-07	72	—	—	55.0	2/1·3.02	2.7·2.70 Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange2.7·2.70Smarkets2.66·2.66Matchbook2.66·2.66BetMGM13/8·2.63 10 Bet13/8·2.63 Paddy Power13/8·2.63 BetWright13/8·2.63 Betano13/8·2.63 BetTom13/8·2.63 Star Sports13/8·2.63 Unibet13/8·2.63 William Hill13/8·2.63 talkSPORT BET13/8·2.63 7Bet13/8·2.63 Bet Victor13/8·2.63 Bet36513/8·2.63 Betfred13/8·2.63 Boyle Sports13/8·2.63 BresBet13/8·2.63 Coral13/8·2.63Betfair Sportsbook13/8·2.63Dragon Bet13/8·2.63 Ladbrokes13/8·2.63 Quinn Bet13/8·2.63 Spreadex6/4·2.50Virgin Bet6/4·2.50LiveScore Bet6/4·2.50 Midnite6/4·2.50 SmarketsSBK6/4·2.50 SportingIndex6/4·2.50
5	Glen Nevis J: Jack Mitchell · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2 · combo 2/10 (20%) 3yo · G · bClass dropOnly pairing	24394	9-08	73	—	—	49.3	4/1·5.18	5.3·5.30 Matchbook · +2% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook5.3·5.30Smarkets5.2·5.20Betfair Exchange5.1·5.10 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00 Coral7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet10/3·4.33Virgin Bet10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33
7	Legacy Rock J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 8 3yo · G · btDGoing 1/2Only runner	941126	9-06	71	—	—	44.6	20/1·21.85	21·21.00 Matchbook · -4% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook21·21.00Betfair Exchange20·20.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.0010 Bet18/1·19.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 talkSPORT BET18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Bet36518/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Paddy Power18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 BresBet18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00Smarkets18·18.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00
3	Wield J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Joseph Parr · draw 7 3yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner	43250	9-09	74	—	—	41.6	50/1·58.66	80·80.00 Matchbook · +36% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook80·80.00Smarkets75·75.00SmarketsSBK70/1·71.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 talkSPORT BET50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Paddy Power50/1·51.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 BetMGM50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 10 Bet50/1·51.00 7Bet50/1·51.00 BetWright50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Betfred50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports50/1·51.00 BresBet50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00 William Hill50/1·51.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00Betfair Exchange34·34.00
2	Calyxoh J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Patrick Morris · draw 6 4yo · G · bvOnly runner	973043	9-11	70	—	—	38.0	12/1·13.80	13.5·13.50 Betfair Exchange · -2% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange13.5·13.50Matchbook13.5·13.50Smarkets13·13.00Star Sports11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betano11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00William Hill11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 talkSPORT BET11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00
8	Big Alex Walmsley J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque · draw 4 · combo 0/5 (0%) 4yo · G · bhOnly rideOnly runner	90733	8-13	58	—	—	37.2	18/1·19.55	18.5·18.50 Matchbook · -5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook18.5·18.50Smarkets18·18.00Betfair Exchange17.5·17.50 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 talkSPORT BET16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00BetTom14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00
1	Potomac River J: Jamie Spencer · T: T J Kent · draw 1 4yo · G · ch	36764	9-11	70	—	—	36.3	6/1·6.90	7.8·7.80 Matchbook · +13% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook7.8·7.80Betfair Exchange7.6·7.60Smarkets7.4·7.40SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 BetMGM11/2·6.50 Star Sports5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 talkSPORT BET5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50BetTom9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 15% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the #Come Racing Handicap Stakes?

The #Come Racing Handicap Stakes is off at 15:10 on 20 August 2026 at Newmarket (July) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:10 Newmarket (July)?

1m, Class 5, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:10 Newmarket (July)?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:10 Newmarket (July)?

The AI top-rated runner is Mertoun (score 59.3, best price 6.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:10 Newmarket (July)?

The market favourite is Venetian Lion at a best price of 2.70. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Mertoun.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org