Who won the 15:10 Newmarket (July) on 20 August 2026?
Venetian Lion (GB) won the 15:10 Newmarket (July) at SP 3.25. Ridden by Harry Davies. Trained by William Haggas.
15:10 Newmarket (July)
#Come Racing Handicap Stakes
1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £5,234 · Thursday, 20 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stVenetian Lion (GB)Harry Davies·William Haggas9/4J·3.25SP
- 2ndGlen Nevis (GB)Jack Mitchell·Charlie Johnston·beaten 0.3 lengths9/4J·3.25SP
- 3rdPotomac River (GB)Jamie Spencer·T J Kent·beaten 2 lengths6/1·7.00SP
Race time
1m 38.11s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Venetian Lion (GB))
“Sluggish start - travelled strongly on the bridle - close up with the front group - pushed into contention 2f out - locked in a fight with the second - stuck on to get up in the closing strides”
AI top-rated Mertoun (score 59.3) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Calyxoh
Calyxoh heads this eight-runner Newmarket mile on good-to-firm ground narrowly ahead of Glen Nevis and Legacy Rock, who share the same rating and represent the most credible threats alongside Wield just behind them; with confidence modest, any of that trio could overturn the advantage on the day. That said, Calyxoh's edge at the top of the ratings gives a reasonable starting point, and the mile at Newmarket (July) should suit a horse rated narrowly clear on our figures. The selection is Calyxoh.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Mertoun
Rob Hornby · Jane Chapple-Hyam · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 59.3 · +4.3 clear of next best (55.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight72strongLast 6: 9-2-1-1-4
- Trainer20% weight53averageJane Chapple-Hyam: 3/14 winners last 14d (21%)
- Ratings50% weight49below averageOR 73
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.06
High (7–8)
IV 1.05
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Harry Davies · T: William Haggas · draw 3 3yo · G · cht | 79621 | 72 | 55.0 | 9/4J·3.25 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 24394 | 73 | 49.3 | 9/4J·3.25 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Jamie Spencer · T: T J Kent · draw 1 4yo · G · ch | 36764 | 70 | 36.3 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 5 3yo · G · b | 92114 | 73 | 59.3 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque · draw 4 4yo · G · bh | 90733 | 58 | 37.2 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 8 3yo · G · bt | 941126 | 71 | 44.6 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Joseph Parr · draw 7 3yo · G · b | 43250 | 74 | 41.6 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Patrick Morris · draw 6 4yo · G · bv | 973043 | 70 | 38.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:10 Newmarket (July)?
No — the AI top pick (Mertoun) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 15:10 Newmarket (July)?
Top finishers: 1. Venetian Lion (GB) (3.25), 2. Glen Nevis (GB) (3.25), 3. Potomac River (GB) (7.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:10 Newmarket (July)?
The winning time was 1m 38.11s.
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