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15:45 Newmarket (July)

National Stud Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £9,160 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Race To The Stars (IRE)
    Toby Moore·Charlie Appleby
    15/8F·2.88
    SP
  2. 2nd
    First Officer (IRE)
    Sorin Moldoveanu·Jane Chapple-Hyam·beaten 7 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Be Patient (GB)AI top pick · 72.6
    Jamie Spencer·Edward Bethell·beaten 1.25 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
Race time
2m 30.30s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Race To The Stars (IRE))

“Settled with plenty of enthusiasm early - handy in the front rank - closed on the pacesetter and put to work 3f out - went to the front with 2f left - finished strongly to score”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Astro King

Astro King heads this six-runner Class 3 contest at Newmarket's July course on a rating narrowly ahead of Tycoon, and the step up to twelve furlongs on good-to-firm ground looks well suited to a horse of his profile. Tycoon represents the most obvious threat and will need to be watched throughout, with Race To The Stars and First Officer also capable of making their presence felt if the principals underperform. The confidence is medium rather than absolute, but on ratings and the conditions on offer, Astro King is the one to be with.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Be Patient

Jamie Spencer · Edward Bethell · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 72.6 · +4.3 clear of next best (68.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    90very strong
    Edward Bethell: 9/25 winners last 14d (36%)
  • Form20% weight
    87very strong
    Last 6: 3-1-1-2
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    32d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 86
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.30).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.30
High (5–6)
IV 0.82

Today: Be Patient (draw 4) and Astro King (draw 3) get the bias; Race To The Stars (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 59 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Race To The Stars
J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 6
4yo · G · ch
142
8968.3
15/8F·2.88
SP
26
First Officer
J: Sorin Moldoveanu(7) · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 1
7yo · G · b
35224
7758.0
13/2·7.50
SP
35
Be Patient
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Edward Bethell · draw 4
3yo · C · b
3112
8672.6
100/30·4.33
SP
41
Astro King
J: Ebrahim Nader · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 3
9yo · G · b
90005
9755.4
14/1·15.00
SP
54
Round The Table
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Tom Clover · draw 5
3yo · C · btFT T
511
8764.7
2/1·3.00
SP
——
Tycoon
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 2
4yo · G · b
53032
9455.7—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:45 Newmarket (July) on 20 August 2026?

Race To The Stars (IRE) won the 15:45 Newmarket (July) at SP 2.88. Ridden by Toby Moore. Trained by Charlie Appleby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Newmarket (July)?

No — the AI top pick (Be Patient) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 15:45 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Race To The Stars (IRE) (2.88), 2. First Officer (IRE) (7.50), 3. Be Patient (GB) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 15:45 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 2m 30.30s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org