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Racing Tv Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £6,442 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 4 · score 60.7 · +7.8 clear of next best · best 6/1·7.00
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way60.7/100 rating
Mr Writer
7.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Cherry CobblerDiffers from our pick

Cherry Cobbler heads this ten-runner Class 4 contest at Newmarket's July course narrowly ahead of nearest rivals Cancan In The Rain and Mr Writer, and that edge in quality looks meaningful enough over seven furlongs on good-to-firm ground to make him the one to beat. The chief dangers come from Cancan In The Rain and Mr Writer, who are rated level and will need to find improvement to peg him back, while Sunny Smile is not without a shout if cherry Cobbler fails to reproduce his best. On balance, the ratings edge combined with the conditions pointing in his favour make Cherry Cobbler the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mr Writer

Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 60.7 · +7.8 clear of next best (52.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    27d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 4-2-1-5-1-6
  • Trainer20% weight
    58average
    James Fanshawe: 5/22 winners last 14d (23%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 82 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 7.00 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.91
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.06
High (8–10)
IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
4
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 6 · combo 11/59 (19%)
3yo · G · bDGoing 2/3
421516
8260.76/1·7.187·7.00
Matchbook · -2% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
1
J: Chloe Lyons(7) · T: Stuart Williams · draw 9 · combo 3/14 (21%)
4yo · G · chtpOn last winning markC&DGoing 1/3Only ride
172221
7552.99/4·3.292.98·2.98
Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
2
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Stuart Williams · draw 2
6yo · G · chtpC&DGoing 1/2Only pairing
00419
7948.99/1·10.1710·10.00
Matchbook · -2% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
6
J: Harry Davies · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 7
3yo · G · btpOnly runner
20225
7948.740/1·40.6936·36.00
Matchbook · -11% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
8
J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 3
3yo · G · bOnly runner
1024
7648.628/1·27.5236·36.00
Matchbook · +31% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
10
J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: John Gallagher · draw 1
3yo · G · chOnly rideOnly runner
64852
6047.220/1·20.3419·19.00
Matchbook · -7% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
3
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 4 · combo 2/10 (20%)
5yo · G · chOnly runner
51029
7845.67/1·7.787·7.00
Matchbook · -10% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
5
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Gihan Arnolda · draw 8
6yo · G · bpFT POnly runner
14448
7642.710/1·11.379/1·10.00
Unibet · -12% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
7
J: Jonny Peate · T: Oli Rix · draw 5 · combo 1/9 (11%)
3yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
52708
7739.422/1·22.7440·40.00
Matchbook · +76% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
9
J: Rob Hornby · T: William Stone · draw 10
8yo · G · bpOnly pairing
883656
6838.010/1·11.3711.5·11.50
Matchbook
All 30 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 20% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Racing Tv Handicap Stakes?

The Racing Tv Handicap Stakes is off at 16:20 on 20 August 2026 at Newmarket (July) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:20 Newmarket (July)?

7f, Class 4, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:20 Newmarket (July)?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:20 Newmarket (July)?

The AI top-rated runner is Mr Writer (score 60.7, best price 7.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:20 Newmarket (July)?

The market favourite is Cherry Cobbler at a best price of 2.98. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Mr Writer.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org