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RacingAlpha

16:51 Newmarket (July)

Racing Welfare Apprentice Handicap Stakes

1m4f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,234 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Traveling Man (GB)
    Mason Paetel·Charlie Fellowes
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Sibling Rivelry (GB)
    Taryn Langley·David Simcock·beaten 2.25 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Society Girl (GB)
    Ashley Lewis·Ed Walker·beaten 0.2 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
Race time
2m 35.40s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Traveling Man (GB))

“Settled with strong grip early - close up through the race - pushed forward to challenge the front pair 2f out - went in front inside the final furlong and stayed on strongly to win”

AI top-rated Jack Langley (score 60.3) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Society Girl

Society Girl rates 5 lb below the top-rated Expressionless on these figures, but her progressive profile suggests she is a filly still on the upgrade and capable of outrunning that deficit over this staying trip at Newmarket's July course. Expressionless is the chief threat given her superior rating, with Sibling Rivelry — rated level with Society Girl — and Traveling Man also meriting respect in what looks a genuinely open contest at Class 5 level. The selection is taken on potential alone, and it would be no surprise if Expressionless or the equally-rated Sibling Rivelry turned the tables. Society Girl is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Jack Langley

Liam Wright · Charlie Clover · 4yo

Top-rated of 5
score 60.3 · +7.0 clear of next best (53.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=9)
    Charlie Clover: 3/9 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    73strong
    Last 6: 4-6-3-1-2-2
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    12d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 67
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.30).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.30
High (5–5)
IV 0.82

Today: Traveling Man (draw 4) and Society Girl (draw 3) get the bias; Sibling Rivelry (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 59 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
Traveling Man
J: Mason Paetel · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 4
3yo · G · b
9363
7053.4
3/1·4.00
SP
21
Sibling Rivelry
J: Taryn Langley(3) · T: David Simcock · draw 5
4yo · F · b
17342
7045.1
7/2·4.50
SP
35
Society Girl
J: Ashley Lewis · T: Ed Walker · draw 3
3yo · F · b
78031
7048.7
11/4·3.75
SP
43
Jack Langley
J: Liam Wright · T: Charlie Clover · draw 2
4yo · G · b
463122
6760.3
5/2F·3.50
SP
52
Expressionless
J: Kyle McHugh(5) · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 1
6yo · G · bp
038583
6848.1
10/1·11.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:51 Newmarket (July) on 20 August 2026?

Traveling Man (GB) won the 16:51 Newmarket (July) at SP 4.00. Ridden by Mason Paetel. Trained by Charlie Fellowes.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:51 Newmarket (July)?

No — the AI top pick (Jack Langley) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 16:51 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Traveling Man (GB) (4.00), 2. Sibling Rivelry (GB) (4.50), 3. Society Girl (GB) (3.75).

What was the winning time for the 16:51 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 2m 35.40s.

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