18:19 Newcastle (AW)

Harry Potter Droneart Show Handicap Stakes

1m4½f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners · £3,245 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (14 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Wave Power

No. 8 · score 40.9 · +0.7 clear of next best · best 150/1·130.00

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way40.3/100 rating

Billy Bathgate

13.00Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: CarwynDiffers from our pick

Carwyn heads this fourteen-runner Class 6 contest at Newcastle on the all-weather with a clear edge over the field on ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of Fleur de Mer and a few pounds clear of Brunello Breeze and Galahad Threepwood, who represent the principal dangers over this twelve-furlong trip. Fleur de Mer and Brunello Breeze will need to find improvement to bridge that gap, while Galahad Threepwood is another who must step up to threaten. The confidence is medium rather than absolute, but Carwyn's superior rating on the standard surface here gives him the edge, and he is selected to take this.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Wave Power

Billy Garritty · Liam Bailey · 3yo

Top-rated of 14

score 40.9 · +0.7 clear of next best (40.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
24d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
37below average
OR 56
Trainer20% weight
35small sample (n=7)
Liam Bailey: 1/7 winners last 14d (14%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
26weak
Last 6: 4-3-6-5-8

MarketBest price 130.00 (Matchbook) · 14th in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
7Forever Perfect 9Muhib
Prominent(4)
8Wave Power 11Star Of Markinch 12Gemical Carwyn
Mid-division(1)
10Galahad Threepwood
Hold-up / closers(3)
1Hickton 2Billy Bathgate 5Jedhi Knight
Unknown(4)
3Fleur de Mer 4Brunello Breeze 13Niffler 14Romeo's Guardian

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m4½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 1.06

Mid (6–10)

IV 0.90

High (11–14)

IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
8	Wave PowerPick J: Billy Garritty · T: Liam Bailey · draw 4 · combo 2/21 (10%) 3yo · G · bpFT PClass drop	43658	9-05	56	—	—	40.9	66/1·70.34	130·130.00 Matchbook · +85% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook130·130.00Smarkets55·55.007Bet50/1·51.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 SmarketsSBK50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00 BetMGM50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 BetWright50/1·51.00 Betfred50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00 William Hill50/1·51.00 Paddy Power50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Bet Victor40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00talkSPORT BET40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00
2	Billy Bathgate J: Jason Hart · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 8 10yo · G · chOnly pairing	434615	10-00	56	—	—	40.3	16/1·16.55	13·13.00 Smarkets · -21% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Smarkets13·13.00Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 talkSPORT BET10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Matchbook11·11.00LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange5·5.00
7	Forever Perfect J: Cieren Fallon · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 1 3yo · F · bOnly pairing	312230	9-08	59	—	—	40.2	9/1·10.00	16.5·16.50 Matchbook · +65% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook16.5·16.50Betfair Exchange13.5·13.50Smarkets12.5·12.50SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Bet3657/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00William Hill7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 BetTom5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 7Bet9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 talkSPORT BET9/2·5.50
5	Jedhi Knight J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 13 · combo 4/45 (9%) 4yo · G · bb	23523	9-09	51	—	—	39.0	6/1·6.90	6.2·6.20 Matchbook · -10% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook6.2·6.20Smarkets6·6.00SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Betfair Exchange5.9·5.90Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50BetMGM9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00William Hill4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Betano7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 talkSPORT BET7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50
3	Fleur de Mer J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Martin Todhunter · draw 12 6yo · M · bvOnly runner	323643	10-00	56	—	—	38.8	6/1·6.90	9/2·5.50 Star Sports · -20% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Star Sports9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 Betfair Exchange5.4·5.40Matchbook5.4·5.40Smarkets5.3·5.30SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00Virgin Bet7/2·4.50LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33BetMGM11/4·3.75
4	Brunello Breeze J: Jack Garritty · T: Liam Bailey · draw 5 · combo 1/7 (14%) 7yo · G · bb	07578	9-12	54	—	—	38.1	50/1·56.55	55·55.00 Matchbook · -3% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook55·55.00Paddy Power50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Betfair Exchange44·44.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00William Hill40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Smarkets38·38.00Betano33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 talkSPORT BET33/1·34.00
9	Muhib J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Olly Williams · draw 2 5yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	443323	9-04	46	—	—	37.8	12/1·13.79	19·19.00 Matchbook · +38% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook19·19.00Betfair Exchange16.5·16.50 Paddy Power12/1·13.00Smarkets13·13.00SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Midnite11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00William Hill10/1·11.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 BetTom8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 BetWright15/2·8.50 7Bet15/2·8.50 Betano7/1·8.00 talkSPORT BET7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00
10	Galahad Threepwood J: Greg Fairley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 6 · combo 4/23 (17%) 9yo · G · bpOnly ride	35778	9-04	46	—	—	33.5	40/1·40.00	65·65.00 Matchbook · +63% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook65·65.00William Hill33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00Smarkets34·34.007Bet30/1·31.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 talkSPORT BET25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange16·16.00
11	Star Of Markinch J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 3 10yo · M · bOnly runner	04445	9-03	45	—	—	32.4	50/1·56.55	55·55.00 Matchbook · -3% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook55·55.00Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 Betano33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 talkSPORT BET33/1·34.00Smarkets34·34.00Bet Victor33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00
13	Niffler J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 10 · combo 13/69 (19%) 3yo · G · ch	890	8-10	47	—	—	31.9	10/3·4.23	9/4·3.25 Quinn Bet · -23% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Quinn Bet9/4·3.25 BetTom9/4·3.25 BetWright9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 7Bet9/4·3.25 Betfred9/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25 Star Sports9/4·3.25 Unibet9/4·3.25 William Hill9/4·3.25 Betano85/40·3.13 Bet Victor85/40·3.13 talkSPORT BET85/40·3.13 Bet3652/1·3.00Matchbook3·3.00Dragon Bet2/1·3.00Smarkets2.98·2.98Betfair Exchange2.96·2.96 Midnite15/8·2.88 LiveScore Bet15/8·2.88 SmarketsSBK15/8·2.88 Coral15/8·2.88 Ladbrokes15/8·2.88Virgin Bet15/8·2.88BetMGM7/4·2.75Betfair Sportsbook7/4·2.75Paddy Power7/4·2.75
1	Hickton J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 11 · combo 6/66 (9%) 4yo · G · b	77196	10-00	56	—	—	31.4	22/1·24.14	38·38.00 Matchbook · +57% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook38·38.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00Smarkets34·34.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Ladbrokes18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00William Hill18/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Betano14/1·15.00 talkSPORT BET14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00
12	Gemical J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 7 3yo · F · bvOnly ride	55437	9-01	52	—	—	31.0	18/1·19.31	36·36.00 Matchbook · +86% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook36·36.00Smarkets29·29.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00William Hill14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 talkSPORT BET9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00
—	Carwyn J: Dylan Hogan · T: Patrick Morris · draw 9 3yo · G · bpClass dropOnly runner	98990	9-09	60	—	—	30.9	25/1·26.21	22/1·23.00 William Hill · -12% vs fair All 21 books ▾ William Hill22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Paddy Power18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange18.5·18.50Matchbook6.6·6.60
14	Romeo's Guardian J: Andrew Elliott · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 14 3yo · G · bbFT BOnly ride	9790	8-08	45	—	—	26.6	28/1·28.96	25/1·26.00 Unibet · -10% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Unibet25/1·26.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00Matchbook23·23.00Smarkets23·23.00Midnite20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00William Hill18/1·19.00 talkSPORT BET18/1·19.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 21–28 bookmakers per horse with the 38% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Harry Potter Droneart Show Handicap Stakes?

The Harry Potter Droneart Show Handicap Stakes is off at 18:19 on 20 August 2026 at Newcastle (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:19 Newcastle (AW)?

1m4½f, Class 6, Flat, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:19 Newcastle (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:19 Newcastle (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Wave Power (score 40.9, best price 130.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:19 Newcastle (AW)?

The market favourite is Niffler at a best price of 3.25. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Wave Power.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org