Who won the 18:19 Newcastle (AW) on 20 August 2026?
Niffler (GER) won the 18:19 Newcastle (AW) at SP 2.62. Ridden by Luke Morris. Trained by Sir Mark Prescott Bt.
18:19 Newcastle (AW)
Harry Potter Droneart Show Handicap Stakes
1m4½f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runners · £3,245 · Thursday, 20 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 10thRace report
- 1stNiffler (GER)Luke Morris·Sir Mark Prescott Bt13/8F·2.62SP
- 2ndFleur De Mer (IRE)Paul Mulrennan·Martin Todhunter·beaten 2.75 lengths3/1·4.00SP
- 3rdBilly Bathgate (GB)Jason Hart·Ewan Whillans·beaten 13 lengths7/1·8.00SP
Race time
2m 40.88s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Niffler (GER))
“Settled in third early - urged forward to hit the front with 2f left - pressed hard inside the final furlong but stayed in command - pushed clear late to win”
AI top-rated Wave Power (score 40.9) finished 10th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 50.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Carwyn
Carwyn heads this fourteen-runner Class 6 contest at Newcastle on the all-weather with a clear edge over the field on ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of Fleur de Mer and a few pounds clear of Brunello Breeze and Galahad Threepwood, who represent the principal dangers over this twelve-furlong trip. Fleur de Mer and Brunello Breeze will need to find improvement to bridge that gap, while Galahad Threepwood is another who must step up to threaten. The confidence is medium rather than absolute, but Carwyn's superior rating on the standard surface here gives him the edge, and he is selected to take this.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Wave Power
Billy Garritty · Liam Bailey · 3yo
Top-rated of 12
score 40.9 · +0.7 clear of next best (40.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong24d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight37below averageOR 56
- Trainer20% weight35small sample (n=7)Liam Bailey: 1/7 winners last 14d (14%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight26weakLast 6: 4-3-6-5-8
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m4½f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 1.06
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.90
High (11–14)
IV 1.02
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 10 3yo · G · ch | 890 | 47 | 31.9 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Martin Todhunter · draw 12 6yo · M · bv | 323643 | 56 | 38.8 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Jason Hart · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 8 10yo · G · ch | 434615 | 56 | 40.3 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 13 4yo · G · bb | 23523 | 51 | 39.0 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 11 4yo · G · b | 77196 | 56 | 31.4 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 6 9yo · G · bp | 35778 | 46 | 33.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 7 | 14 | J: Andrew Elliott · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 14 3yo · G · bbFT B | 9790 | 45 | 26.6 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Olly Williams · draw 2 5yo · G · b | 443323 | 46 | 37.8 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 9 | 12 | J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 7 3yo · F · bv | 55437 | 52 | 31.0 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Liam Bailey · draw 4 3yo · G · bpFT P | 43658 | 56 | 40.9 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 11 | 7 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 312230 | 59 | 40.2 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 12 | 4 | J: Jack Garritty · T: Liam Bailey · draw 5 7yo · G · bb | 07578 | 54 | 38.1 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Dylan Hogan · T: Patrick Morris · draw 9 3yo · G · bp | 98990 | 60 | 30.9 | — |
| — | — | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 3 10yo · M · b | 04445 | 45 | 32.4 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:19 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Wave Power) finished 10.
What were the placings in the 18:19 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Niffler (GER) (2.62), 2. Fleur De Mer (IRE) (4.00), 3. Billy Bathgate (GB) (8.00).
What was the winning time for the 18:19 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 40.88s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org