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Compare Betting Sites At Gambling.com Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard · 8 runners · £7,020 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 2 · score 58.5 · +18.5 clear of next best · best 12/1·13.50
Best value vs consensus
13/1·14.00 SmarketsSBK · +24% vs fair (consensus 11.26)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way58.5/100 rating
Angel In My Heart
13.50Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Angel In My Heart

Oisin McSweeney · Adrian Keatley · 2yo

Top-rated of 8
score 58.5 · +18.5 clear of next best (40.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    34d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    82very strong
    Last 6: 4-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Adrian Keatley: 2/10 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 71 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 13.50 (Smarkets) · 2nd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.94
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.06
High (7–8)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
2
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 1 · combo 3/7 (43%)
2yo · F · b
41
7158.57/1·8.1313.5·13.50
Smarkets · +66% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 4 · combo 14/56 (25%)
2yo · F · bDOnly rideOnly runner
1
40.01/2·1.501.22·1.22
Betfair Exchange · -19% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 5 · combo 13/69 (19%)
2yo · F · b
24.020/1·21.2729·29.00
Smarkets · +36% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Phillip Makin · draw 6
2yo · F · bOnly runner
21.520/1·21.2724·24.00
Smarkets · +13% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
7
J: Jason Hart · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 7 · combo 3/13 (23%)
2yo · F · bClass dropOnly pairing
17.010/1·11.2613/1·14.00
SmarketsSBK · +24% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
5
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 2 · combo 4/72 (6%)
2yo · F · grOnly rideOnly runner
87
14.780/1·83.8380/1·81.00
Betfred · -3% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
8
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 3
2yo · F · bOnly runner
6
12.5100/1·101.34100/1·101.00
BetTom
All 29 books ▾
4
J: Billy Garritty · T: Paul Midgley · draw 8
2yo · F · brOnly pairing
69
12.1150/1·157.64150/1·151.00
7Bet · -4% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 25% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Compare Betting Sites At Gambling.com Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)?

The Compare Betting Sites At Gambling.com Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race) is off at 19:24 on 20 August 2026 at Newcastle (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:24 Newcastle (AW)?

7f, Class 3, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:24 Newcastle (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:24 Newcastle (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Angel In My Heart (score 58.5, best price 13.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:24 Newcastle (AW)?

The market favourite is Spirited Gesture at a best price of 1.22. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Angel In My Heart.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org