18:06 Stratford

Happy 70th Birthday Helen Handicap Hurdle Race

2m6f · Hurdle · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £3,433 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 5-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Rebel Tribesman

No. 2 · score 81.9 · +17.6 clear of next best · best 2/1·3.05

Best value vs consensus

Notnowlinda

5.9·5.90 Matchbook · +5% vs fair (consensus 5.64)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Rebel TribesmanAgrees with our pick

Rebel Tribesman holds a narrow edge over his rivals on ratings and lines up in fair order for this Class 4 staying test over twenty-two furlongs at Stratford on good-to-firm ground, though the confidence behind the selection is modest and this is far from a straightforward race to call. Torrent, just four pounds adrift, represents the most pressing threat and must be respected, while Notnowlinda and Kom Tu Voudras are not without claims of their own in what looks a competitive little contest. That said, Rebel Tribesman's edge at the head of the ratings gives him a slender but meaningful advantage, and he is taken to make it count. Rebel Tribesman is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Rebel Tribesman

Jonathan Burke · Jamie Snowden · 5yo

Top-rated of 5

score 81.9 · +17.6 clear of next best (64.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=3)
Jamie Snowden: 2/3 winners last 14d (67%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
85very strong
Last 6: 1-2-2-1-2
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
33d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
73strong
OR 109 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketBest price 3.05 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
3Kom Tu Voudras
Prominent(3)
2Rebel Tribesman 4Torrent 5Kittys Glance
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(0)—
Unknown(1)
1Notnowlinda

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
2	Rebel TribesmanPick J: Jonathan Burke · T: Jamie Snowden · draw 0 5yo · G · bOn last winning markOnly runner	12212	11-07	109	—	—	81.9	5/2·3.38	3.05·3.05 Matchbook · -10% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook3.05·3.05Bet3652/1·3.00 BetTom2/1·3.00 William Hill2/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 10 Bet2/1·3.00 Betfred2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00 Unibet2/1·3.00 Boyle Sports2/1·3.00 SmarketsSBK2/1·3.00 SportingIndex2/1·3.00 Spreadex2/1·3.00 Coral2/1·3.00 BetMGM2/1·3.00 Ladbrokes2/1·3.00 Midnite2/1·3.00Betfair Sportsbook2/1·3.00Paddy Power2/1·3.00Smarkets3·3.007Bet19/10·2.90 BetWright15/8·2.88Virgin Bet15/8·2.88Bet Victor15/8·2.88 Betfair Exchange2.88·2.88 talkSPORT BET15/8·2.88 BresBet15/8·2.88 Dragon Bet15/8·2.88 Betano15/8·2.88 LiveScore Bet15/8·2.88
4	Torrent J: David Noonan · T: Nigel Hawke · draw 0 5yo · G · bpOnly rideOnly runner	P6453	11-07	109	—	—	64.3	5/1·6.20	6.4·6.40 Betfair Exchange · +3% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.4·6.40Matchbook6.4·6.40Bet3655/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00Smarkets6·6.0010 Bet9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 BetTom4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00
3	Kom Tu Voudras J: Harry Cobden · T: Faye Bramley · draw 0 · combo 5/14 (36%) 6yo · M · noipantpOnly runner	12164	11-07	109	—	—	63.3	4/1·4.88	4.8·4.80 Matchbook · -2% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook4.8·4.80Betfair Exchange4.6·4.60 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50Smarkets4.4·4.40BetWright10/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 Paddy Power10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 BresBet10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 LiveScore Bet10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 7Bet10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33Virgin Bet10/3·4.33Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 10 Bet3/1·4.00 talkSPORT BET3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00
5	Kittys Glance J: Tom Bellamy · T: Alan King · draw 0 · combo 3/16 (19%) 5yo · M · bOnly rideOnly runner	01232	11-02	104	—	—	60.9	5/1·6.20	5/1·6.00 SportingIndex · -3% vs fair All 30 books ▾ SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Matchbook6·6.00BetTom5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 Betfair Exchange6·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00Smarkets5.9·5.90Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 talkSPORT BET9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.507Bet9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Betano4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00
1	Notnowlinda J: Harry Skelton · T: Dan Skelton · draw 0 · combo 50/141 (35%) 9yo · M · br	09534	11-07	109	—	—	60.4	9/2·5.64	5.9·5.90 Matchbook · +5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook5.9·5.90Betfair Exchange5.8·5.80Smarkets5.8·5.80Betfred9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 10 Bet4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00 7Bet4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 Bet3657/2·4.50

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 13% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Happy 70th Birthday Helen Handicap Hurdle Race?

The Happy 70th Birthday Helen Handicap Hurdle Race is off at 18:06 on 20 August 2026 at Stratford (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:06 Stratford?

2m6f, Class 4, Hurdle, 5 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:06 Stratford?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:06 Stratford?

The AI top-rated runner is Rebel Tribesman (score 81.9, best price 3.05). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:06 Stratford?

The market favourite is Rebel Tribesman at a best price of 3.05.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org