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RacingAlpha

Racing Welfare Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £6,185 · Friday, 21 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 1/3F·1.33
  1. 1st
    Beguiled (GB)AI top pick · 33.5
    Billy Loughnane·John & Thady Gosden
    1/3F·1.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Jessica (IRE)
    Hector Crouch·Kevin Philippart De Foy·beaten 2 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Show Me Glory (IRE)
    Callum Hutchinson·Andrew Balding·beaten 2.25 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
1m 24.74s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Beguiled (GB))

“Sat close to pace early - urged forward two out - closed to challenge nearing final furlong before hitting front - stayed on strongly to the line for victory”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Beguiled

Billy Loughnane · John & Thady Gosden · 2yo

Top-rated of 7
score 33.5 · +7.5 clear of next best (26.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 3
  • Trainer20% weight
    58average
    John & Thady Gosden: 5/22 winners last 14d (23%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.06
High (6–7)
IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
2yo · F · b
3
—33.5
1/3F·1.33
SP
23
2yo · F · b
5
—20.0
7/1·8.00
SP
35
2yo · F · b
——23.5
12/1·13.00
SP
46
J: George Wood · T: Jack Morland · draw 4
2yo · F · b
——15.0
16/1·17.00
SP
57
J: Harry Davies · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 3
2yo · F · ch
——18.0
25/1·26.00
SP
64
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K. R. Burke · draw 5
2yo · F · ch
——26.0
10/1·11.00
SP
72
J: Paddy Bradley · T: William Stone · draw 6
2yo · F · ch
6
—21.0
300/1·301.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:00 Newmarket (July) on 21 August 2026?

Beguiled (GB) won the 14:00 Newmarket (July) at SP 1.33. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by John & Thady Gosden.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:00 Newmarket (July)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Beguiled, won the race (AI score 33.5).

What were the placings in the 14:00 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Beguiled (GB) (1.33), 2. Jessica (IRE) (8.00), 3. Show Me Glory (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:00 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 1m 24.74s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org