14:35 Newmarket (July)

British EBF Novice Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £6,700 · Friday, 21 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 6-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Al Jabbar

No. 1 · score 35.0 · +8.5 clear of next best · best 10/11·1.92

Best value vs consensus

Nidal

100/1·101.00 Paddy Power · +7% vs fair (consensus 94.70)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 26 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Al Jabbar

Billy Loughnane · Charlie Appleby · 2yo

Top-rated of 6

score 35.0 · +8.5 clear of next best (26.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100very strong
Charlie Appleby: 12/27 winners last 14d (44%)
Form20% weight
50average
Last 6: first run
Freshness10% weight
50average
no recent-run data
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 1.92 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(1)
6On Target
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(0)—
Unknown(5)
1Al Jabbar 2Astabuen 3Majestic Jude 4Moheebb 5Nidal

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)

IV 0.91

Mid (3–4)

IV 1.06

High (5–6)

IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Al JabbarPick J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 5 · combo 9/28 (32%) 2yo · C · chOnly runner	—	9-02	—	—	—	35.0	11/10·2.14	1.92·1.92 Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange1.92·1.92 Bet36510/11·1.91Smarkets1.91·1.91Matchbook1.89·1.897Bet5/6·1.83 Bet Victor5/6·1.83 BetMGM5/6·1.83 BetWright5/6·1.83 Betano5/6·1.83 Betfred5/6·1.83 BresBet5/6·1.83 Coral5/6·1.83 Dragon Bet5/6·1.83 Ladbrokes5/6·1.83 SmarketsSBK5/6·1.83 William Hill5/6·1.83 BetTom4/5·1.80 Midnite4/5·1.80 Quinn Bet4/5·1.80 SportingIndex4/5·1.80 Spreadex4/5·1.80 Star Sports4/5·1.80 Unibet4/5·1.80 Boyle Sports8/11·1.73 LiveScore Bet8/11·1.73Virgin Bet8/11·1.73Betfair Sportsbook8/11·1.73Paddy Power8/11·1.73
4	Moheebb J: Neil Callan · T: John Butler · draw 3 2yo · C · chOnly rideOnly runner	6	9-02	—	—	—	26.5	40/1·39.75	40/1·41.00 Bet365 · +3% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Bet36540/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Smarkets25·25.00Matchbook24·24.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00
3	Majestic Jude J: Harry Davies · T: William Haggas · draw 1 · combo 5/26 (19%) 2yo · C · bOnly runner	5	9-02	—	—	—	25.0	15/8·2.92	2.62·2.62 Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange2.62·2.62Matchbook2.6·2.60Smarkets2.54·2.54BetMGM6/4·2.50 BetTom6/4·2.50 SmarketsSBK6/4·2.50 SportingIndex6/4·2.50 Spreadex6/4·2.50Virgin Bet6/4·2.50Betfair Sportsbook6/4·2.50Paddy Power6/4·2.50 7Bet6/4·2.50 Bet Victor6/4·2.50 Bet3656/4·2.50 BetWright6/4·2.50 Betano6/4·2.50 Boyle Sports6/4·2.50 BresBet6/4·2.50 Coral6/4·2.50 Dragon Bet6/4·2.50 Ladbrokes6/4·2.50 LiveScore Bet6/4·2.50 Midnite6/4·2.50 Quinn Bet6/4·2.50 Unibet11/8·2.38 William Hill11/8·2.38 Betfred11/8·2.38 Star Sports11/8·2.37
6	On Target J: George Wood · T: George Scott · draw 4 2yo · C · bOnly pairing	64	9-02	—	—	—	23.8	25/1·24.55	25/1·26.00 Paddy Power · +6% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Paddy Power25/1·26.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 BresBet22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00William Hill20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Matchbook19.5·19.50Smarkets19.5·19.50SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange18·18.00 Bet36516/1·17.00
2	Astabuen J: George Downing · T: Ed Walker · draw 2 · combo 4/34 (12%) 2yo · C · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	20.0	8/1·8.77	8.2·8.20 Matchbook · -6% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook8.2·8.207Bet7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Betfair Exchange8·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00Smarkets8·8.00Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 Bet3656/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00
5	Nidal J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Stuart Williams · draw 6 2yo · C · bOnly pairing	8	9-02	—	—	—	17.0	100/1·94.70	100/1·101.00 Paddy Power · +7% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Paddy Power100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook90/1·91.007Bet80/1·81.00 Bet Victor80/1·81.00 Bet36580/1·81.00 BetTom80/1·81.00 BetWright80/1·81.00 Betano80/1·81.00 Boyle Sports80/1·81.00 BresBet80/1·81.00 Coral80/1·81.00 Dragon Bet80/1·81.00 Ladbrokes80/1·81.00 LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00 Midnite80/1·81.00 Quinn Bet80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 Unibet80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00William Hill80/1·81.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00Matchbook40·40.00Betfair Exchange38·38.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00Smarkets21·21.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–28 bookmakers per horse with the 17% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the British EBF Novice Stakes?

The British EBF Novice Stakes is off at 14:35 on 21 August 2026 at Newmarket (July) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:35 Newmarket (July)?

7f, Class 3, Flat, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:35 Newmarket (July)?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:35 Newmarket (July)?

The AI top-rated runner is Al Jabbar (score 35.0, best price 1.92). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:35 Newmarket (July)?

The market favourite is Al Jabbar at a best price of 1.92.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org