15:10 Newmarket (July)

Racing TV Fillies' Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £6,442 · Friday, 21 August 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Powdering

No. 2 · score 61.1 · +2.1 clear of next best · best 13/2·7.50

Drawn 7, inside the favoured high third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Elara May

12.5·12.50 Smarkets · +8% vs fair (consensus 11.62)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way61.1/100 rating

Powdering

7.50William Hill

Place portion settles at 2.30 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Powdering

Dylan Hogan · Michael Herrington · 6yo

Top-rated of 8

score 61.1 · +2.1 clear of next best (59.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
35d since last run (fresh)
Trainer20% weight
78strong
Michael Herrington: 4/13 winners last 14d (31%)
Ratings50% weight
53average
OR 80
Form20% weight
52average
Last 6: 3-3-6-0-1-3

MarketBest price 7.50 (William Hill) · 3rd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(3)
3Zighy 5Angel Shared 6Bright Summer
Prominent(3)
4Shallow 7Adalida 8Seeing Stars
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(0)—
Unknown(2)
1Elara May 2Powdering

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–3)

IV 0.95

Mid (4–6)

IV 0.80

High (7–8)

IV 1.24

Today: Powdering (draw 7) and Angel Shared (draw 8) get the bias; Zighy (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 92 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
2	PowderingPick J: Dylan Hogan · T: Michael Herrington · draw 7 · combo 0/8 (0%) 6yo · M · bClass dropC&DGoing 1/2Only runner	336013	9-09	80	—	—	61.1	15/2·8.56	13/2·7.50 William Hill · -12% vs fair All 28 books ▾ William Hill13/2·7.50 7Bet6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 BresBet6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00Matchbook6.8·6.80Smarkets6.8·6.80Bet36511/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50Betfair Exchange6·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00
3	Zighy J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 6 · combo 23/107 (21%) 3yo · F · bClass dropOnly runner	11432	9-08	82	—	—	59.0	10/3·4.28	3.65·3.65 Smarkets · -15% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Smarkets3.65·3.65SmarketsSBK13/5·3.60 Betano5/2·3.50 Betfred5/2·3.50 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50 BresBet5/2·3.50 Coral5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 Midnite5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 7Bet5/2·3.50 Bet Victor5/2·3.50 BetTom5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50 William Hill5/2·3.50 Paddy Power5/2·3.50 Betfair Exchange3.45·3.45Matchbook3.45·3.45BetMGM12/5·3.40 LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25 Bet3659/4·3.25 Unibet9/4·3.25Virgin Bet9/4·3.25Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.25
7	Adalida J: Callum Shepherd · T: Stuart Williams · draw 1 3yo · F · bGoing 1/3Only pairing	710212	8-13	73	—	—	53.6	10/1·11.01	17/2·9.50 Paddy Power · -14% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Paddy Power17/2·9.50 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00BetMGM15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50William Hill15/2·8.50 Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00Smarkets8·8.00Matchbook7.8·7.80Bet36513/2·7.50
4	Shallow J: George Wood · T: Richard Spencer · draw 5 · combo 7/43 (16%) 5yo · M · chvClass dropOnly runner	332920	9-07	78	—	—	47.9	9/2·5.50	5.7·5.70 Smarkets · +4% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Smarkets5.7·5.70SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50Matchbook5.4·5.40Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20 Bet3654/1·5.00 William Hill7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Paddy Power7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Coral10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 LiveScore Bet10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33Virgin Bet10/3·4.33
1	Elara May J: Hector Crouch · T: Philip McBride · draw 4 3yo · F · bClass dropOnly runner	13148	9-11	85	—	—	46.8	11/1·11.62	12.5·12.50 Smarkets · +8% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Smarkets12.5·12.50SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00Matchbook10·10.00Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Coral17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50 BetWright17/2·9.50 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Paddy Power8/1·9.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00Virgin Bet15/2·8.50Betfair Exchange7·7.00
6	Bright Summer J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3 · combo 5/36 (14%) 3yo · F · b	41860	9-02	76	—	—	46.6	10/1·11.01	10/1·11.00 Bet365 All 28 books ▾ Bet36510/1·11.00Matchbook10.5·10.50Smarkets10.5·10.50Bet Victor9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 7Bet8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00William Hill8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00
5	Angel Shared J: Dougie Costello · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 8 · combo 1/28 (4%) 5yo · M · bClass dropOnly rideOnly runner	530649	9-06	77	—	—	40.3	7/1·7.95	15/2·8.50 Bet365 · +7% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Bet36515/2·8.50Smarkets7.2·7.20Bet Victor6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00Matchbook7·7.00Betano6/1·7.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 7Bet11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet5/1·6.00BetTom5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50
8	Seeing Stars J: Harry Davies · T: William Knight · draw 2 · combo 0/5 (0%) 3yo · F · chpOnly runner	134384	8-07	67	—	—	38.0	12/1·13.45	10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet · -18% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Betfair Exchange10·10.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00Smarkets9.8·9.80Matchbook9.4·9.40SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–28 bookmakers per horse with the 22% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Racing TV Fillies' Handicap Stakes?

The Racing TV Fillies' Handicap Stakes is off at 15:10 on 21 August 2026 at Newmarket (July) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:10 Newmarket (July)?

6f, Class 4, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:10 Newmarket (July)?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:10 Newmarket (July)?

The AI top-rated runner is Powdering (score 61.1, best price 7.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:10 Newmarket (July)?

The market favourite is Zighy at a best price of 3.65. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Powdering.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org