Who won the 15:45 Newmarket (July) on 21 August 2026?
Emma's Letter (GB) won the 15:45 Newmarket (July) at SP 3.75. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Ed Dunlop.
15:45 Newmarket (July)
Racing TV Handicap Stakes
1m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,154 · Friday, 21 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stEmma's Letter (GB)Billy Loughnane·Ed Dunlop11/4·3.75SP
- 2ndLiberate (GB)George Wood·Jim & Suzi Best·beaten 2.5 lengths5/2·3.50SP
- 3rdMiss Guinevere (IRE)Paddy Bradley·Charlie Fellowes·beaten .5 lengths9/1·10.00SP
Race time
2m 5.79s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Emma's Letter (GB))
“Handy early - roused up to challenge 2f out and went clear soon after - stayed on well to the line”
AI top-rated Port Darwin (score 48.8) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Fanciulla Del West
Fanciulla Del West heads this modest Newmarket five-runner field narrowly ahead of Liberate on our ratings, and her profile over this sort of middle-distance trip on good-to-firm ground gives her a workable edge, though the margin over the nearest dangers is slim enough that a below-par performance could easily see her swallowed up. Liberate and Emma's Letter represent the chief threats, with Port Darwin not entirely without a shout either, so this is by no means a foregone conclusion. On balance, Fanciulla Del West merits the nod in what looks a competitive little contest.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Port Darwin
Callum Shepherd · Charlie Johnston · 3yo
Top-rated of 5
score 48.8 · +2.8 clear of next best (46.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong16d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight58averageLast 6: 7-6-1-5-5-1
- Ratings50% weight41below averageOR 62
- Trainer20% weight33weakCharlie Johnston: 5/38 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m2f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.30).
Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.30
High (5–5)
IV 0.82
Today: Miss Guinevere (draw 3) and Fanciulla Del West (draw 4) get the bias; Port Darwin (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 59 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 1 3yo · F · bb | 43913 | 68 | 45.9 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: George Wood · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 2 4yo · F · b | 090559 | 65 | 39.2 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 3 3yo · F · bh | 954 | 64 | 46.0 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 5 3yo · G · ch | 761551 | 62 | 48.8 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: George Downing · T: Ed Walker · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 43220 | 70 | 44.8 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Newmarket (July)?
No — the AI top pick (Port Darwin) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 15:45 Newmarket (July)?
Top finishers: 1. Emma's Letter (GB) (3.75), 2. Liberate (GB) (3.50), 3. Miss Guinevere (IRE) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:45 Newmarket (July)?
The winning time was 2m 5.79s.
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