16:51 Newmarket (July)

See You On The Rowley Mile Fillies' Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £5,154 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Rogue Citation

No. 4 · score 67.1 · +5.3 clear of next best · best 6/1·7.00

Best value vs consensus

Ghisa

6/1·7.00 Bet365 · +12% vs fair (consensus 6.24)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way67.1/100 rating

Rogue Citation

7.00Paddy Power

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Rogue Citation

Harry Davies · Edward Bethell · 3yo

Top-rated of 9

score 67.1 · +5.3 clear of next best (61.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
14d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
90very strong
Edward Bethell: 9/25 winners last 14d (36%)
Form20% weight
71strong
Last 6: 3-1-6-3-1
Ratings50% weight
50average
OR 75 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketBest price 7.00 (Paddy Power) · 3rd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
5Splash
Prominent(2)
6Miss Gallant 9Ironist
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(3)
1Hilltop 3Ghisa 4Rogue Citation
Unknown(3)
2Bami 7Too Too Divine 8Allegrino

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.91

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.06

High (7–9)

IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
4	Rogue CitationPick J: Harry Davies · T: Edward Bethell · draw 6 3yo · F · btC&DGoing 1/2Only runner	31631	9-09	75	—	—	67.1	7/1·8.11	6/1·7.00 Paddy Power · -14% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Paddy Power6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00 BresBet6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00Matchbook6.6·6.60Star Sports11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Bet Victor11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50Virgin Bet5/1·6.00William Hill5/1·6.00Smarkets6·6.00BetMGM5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70 Bet3659/2·5.50
6	Miss Gallant J: Jack Gilligan · T: Marco Botti · draw 9 · combo 0/15 (0%) 3yo · F · bhDOnly rideOnly runner	41	9-06	72	—	—	61.8	5/1·6.24	5/1·6.00 Bet365 · -4% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Bet3655/1·6.00Matchbook6·6.007Bet9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00William Hill4/1·5.00 Betfair Exchange4.5·4.50Smarkets3.05·3.05SmarketsSBK2/1·3.00
7	Too Too Divine J: George Wood · T: James Fanshawe · draw 8 · combo 2/7 (29%) 3yo · F · bClass dropOn last winning markOnly runner	4531	9-05	71	—	—	57.4	15/2·8.74	7.8·7.80 Matchbook · -11% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook7.8·7.80Smarkets7.8·7.80SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 BresBet6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50William Hill11/2·6.50 Bet3655/1·6.00 Betfair Exchange5.5·5.50
1	Hilltop J: Billy Loughnane · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 1 5yo · M · bOnly runner	41344	10-00	75	—	—	57.1	7/1·8.11	11/2·6.50 Midnite · -20% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50William Hill11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Paddy Power11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50Smarkets6.4·6.40SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Matchbook5.9·5.90Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70
8	Allegrino J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4 · combo 5/36 (14%) 3yo · F · bDGoing 1/2	312312	9-04	70	—	—	56.0	12/1·13.73	13.5·13.50 Matchbook · -2% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook13.5·13.50BetMGM11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00Smarkets9·9.00Betfair Exchange8·8.00
3	Ghisa J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 7 · combo 6/51 (12%) 3yo · F · bhClass drop	78733	9-09	75	—	—	54.8	5/1·6.24	6/1·7.00 Bet365 · +12% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Bet3656/1·7.00 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 7Bet4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Smarkets4.9·4.90Matchbook4.7·4.70Betfair Exchange4.6·4.60 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33Paddy Power10/3·4.33
2	Bami J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 2 · combo 1/21 (5%) 3yo · F · bDGoing 1/2Only runner	43141	9-09	75	—	—	53.8	7/1·8.11	6/1·7.00 7Bet · -14% vs fair All 28 books ▾ 7Bet6/1·7.00 BresBet6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00Matchbook6.8·6.80Smarkets6.6·6.60Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00William Hill5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Bet3659/2·5.50 Betfair Exchange4.7·4.70
5	Splash J: Robert Havlin · T: Dean Ivory · draw 3 3yo · F · chOn last winning markDGoing 1/2Only runner	62901	9-08	74	—	—	42.4	11/1·11.86	11/1·12.00 Bet365 All 26 books ▾ Bet36511/1·12.00Matchbook10·10.007Bet9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 BresBet9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Unibet17/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50 BetWright17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Paddy Power8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20
9	Ironist J: Callum Shepherd · T: George Margarson · draw 5 4yo · F · bOnly runner	43588	9-04	65	—	—	34.8	25/1·26.21	25/1·26.00 Bet365 All 28 books ▾ Bet36525/1·26.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 BresBet20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Paddy Power18/1·19.00Matchbook18·18.00Betfair Exchange11·11.00Smarkets9.4·9.40SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–28 bookmakers per horse with the 25% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the See You On The Rowley Mile Fillies' Handicap Stakes?

The See You On The Rowley Mile Fillies' Handicap Stakes is off at 16:51 on 21 August 2026 at Newmarket (July) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:51 Newmarket (July)?

7f, Class 5, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:51 Newmarket (July)?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:51 Newmarket (July)?

The AI top-rated runner is Rogue Citation (score 67.1, best price 7.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:51 Newmarket (July)?

The market favourite is Miss Gallant at a best price of 6.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Rogue Citation.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org