17:57 Salisbury

Robert Gilbert Birthday Celebration Irish EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 14 runners · £4,860 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (14 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Spirit Of Lyra

No. 8 · score 53.3 · +21.8 clear of next best · best EVS·2.00

Best value vs consensus

Vera Lemon

100/1·101.00 7Bet · +10% vs fair (consensus 92.14)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way29.8/100 rating

Chan Noir

6.40Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Spirit Of Lyra

Jack Mitchell · William Knight · 2yo

Top-rated of 14

score 53.3 · +21.8 clear of next best (31.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
27d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
82very strong
Last 6: 4-1
Ratings50% weight
54average
OR 81 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
0weak
William Knight: 0/16 winners last 14d (0%)

MarketBest price 2.00 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
1Chan Noir 2Hello You Ten
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(2)
6Storm Force Ten 7Fillipas
Unknown(10)
3Kaboom 4Thanks Harry 5Lowcountry 8Spirit Of Lyra 9Christmas Is Comin 10Mr Montgomery 11Reece's Call 12Inmyopinion 13Pent Up Charm 14Vera Lemon

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Salisbury 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).

Low (1–5)

IV 0.97

Mid (6–10)

IV 0.88

High (11–14)

IV 1.14

Today: Thanks Harry (draw 14) and Christmas Is Comin (draw 13) get the bias; Chan Noir (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 93 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
8	Spirit Of LyraPick J: Jack Mitchell · T: William Knight · draw 5 2yo · F · grClass dropDGoing 1/2Only runner	41	9-02	81	—	—	53.3	5/4·2.30	evn·2.00 Bet365 · -13% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Bet365evn·2.00 Betfair Exchange2·2.00Smarkets1.8·1.807Bet8/11·1.73 Bet Victor8/11·1.73 Betano8/11·1.73 Coral8/11·1.73 Ladbrokes8/11·1.73 BetWright8/11·1.72 BresBet8/11·1.72 Dragon Bet8/11·1.72Matchbook1.71·1.71BetMGM4/6·1.67 Betfred4/6·1.67 Midnite4/6·1.67 Quinn Bet4/6·1.67 SmarketsSBK4/6·1.67 SportingIndex4/6·1.67 Spreadex4/6·1.67 William Hill4/6·1.67 BetTom8/13·1.62 Boyle Sports8/13·1.62 LiveScore Bet8/13·1.62Virgin Bet8/13·1.62Star Sports8/13·1.61 Unibet4/7·1.57Betfair Sportsbook1/2·1.50Paddy Power1/2·1.50
12	Inmyopinion J: Nicola Currie · T: Amanda Perrett · draw 1 2yo · F · bhFT HOnly runner	—	8-10	—	—	—	31.5	50/1·56.39	50/1·51.00 7Bet · -10% vs fair All 27 books ▾ 7Bet50/1·51.00 BetWright50/1·51.00 BresBet50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Paddy Power50/1·51.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00Smarkets38·38.00Bet36533/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00Matchbook19.5·19.50Betfair Exchange14·14.00
1	Chan Noir J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 7 2yo · C · bClass dropDOnly runner	16	9-07	—	—	—	29.8	13/2·7.56	6.4·6.40 Matchbook · -15% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook6.4·6.407Bet5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 BetTom9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 Paddy Power9/2·5.50 BetMGM4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Betfair Exchange4.4·4.40
4	Thanks Harry J: William Cox · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 14 · combo 3/31 (10%) 2yo · C · chClass dropOnly rideOnly runner	72	9-07	—	—	—	26.4	5/1·6.19	9/2·5.50 Bet Victor · -11% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Paddy Power9/2·5.50Matchbook5.4·5.40Smarkets5.4·5.40Betfair Exchange5.3·5.30 7Bet4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00BetMGM7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Star Sports10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33 Bet36511/4·3.75
2	Hello You Ten J: William Carver · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 6 · combo 2/49 (4%) 2yo · G · bClass dropOnly ride	63	9-07	—	—	—	26.3	14/1·15.13	12/1·13.00 Paddy Power · -14% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Paddy Power12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.007Bet11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00William Hill10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Smarkets10.5·10.50SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00Matchbook8.6·8.60Betfair Exchange8·8.00
5	Lowcountry J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Tom Ward · draw 4 · combo 0/7 (0%) 2yo · G · chOnly rideOnly runner	—	9-04	—	—	—	21.5	33/1·35.76	30/1·31.00 7Bet · -13% vs fair All 27 books ▾ 7Bet30/1·31.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 BresBet28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 Paddy Power28/1·29.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.00William Hill25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Smarkets25·25.00Bet36522/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00Matchbook21·21.00Betfair Exchange18.5·18.50
3	Kaboom J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 9 · combo 16/107 (15%) 2yo · C · chClass dropOnly runner	6	9-07	—	—	—	17.0	33/1·35.76	30/1·31.00 7Bet · -13% vs fair All 26 books ▾ 7Bet30/1·31.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 BresBet28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 Paddy Power25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00Matchbook12.5·12.50Betfair Exchange12·12.00
10	Mr Montgomery J: Stevie Donohoe · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 10 · combo 3/21 (14%) 2yo · C · bhFT HClass drop	9	9-01	—	—	—	16.2	66/1·70.14	50/1·51.00 BetTom · -27% vs fair All 26 books ▾ BetTom50/1·51.00 BetWright50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports50/1·51.00 7Bet50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 BresBet50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00 William Hill50/1·51.00 Paddy Power50/1·51.00 SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Matchbook21·21.00Betfair Exchange14·14.00
9	Christmas Is Comin J: Josephine Gordon · T: Sophie Leech · draw 13 2yo · G · bOnly runner	—	9-01	—	—	—	15.0	66/1·70.14	70/1·71.00 7Bet All 27 books ▾ 7Bet70/1·71.00Matchbook70·70.00BetWright66/1·67.00 BresBet66/1·67.00 Dragon Bet66/1·67.00 Paddy Power66/1·67.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 BetMGM50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00William Hill50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Smarkets48·48.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Betfair Exchange36·36.00
11	Reece's Call J: Tyler Heard · T: Rod Millman · draw 12 2yo · G · bOnly pairing	—	9-01	—	—	—	15.0	66/1·70.14	70/1·71.00 7Bet All 27 books ▾ 7Bet70/1·71.00 Paddy Power66/1·67.00 BetWright60/1·61.00 BresBet60/1·61.00 Dragon Bet60/1·61.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00William Hill50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Smarkets48·48.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Bet36533/1·34.00Matchbook19.5·19.50Betfair Exchange14·14.00
13	Pent Up Charm J: Isobelle Chalmers(7) · T: Michael Madgwick · draw 2 2yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner	—	8-10	—	—	—	15.0	150/1·138.90	150/1·151.00 7Bet · +9% vs fair All 26 books ▾ 7Bet150/1·151.00 BetWright125/1·126.00 BresBet125/1·126.00 Dragon Bet125/1·126.00Matchbook110·110.00Bet Victor100/1·101.00 Bet365100/1·101.00 BetMGM100/1·101.00 BetTom100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 Coral100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes100/1·101.00 Midnite100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00 William Hill100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00 SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00 LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00 Star Sports80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00Betfair Exchange44·44.00
14	Vera Lemon J: Ray Dawson · T: Jeff Mullins · draw 11 2yo · F · ch	—	8-10	—	—	—	15.0	100/1·92.14	100/1·101.00 7Bet · +10% vs fair All 27 books ▾ 7Bet100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00 BresBet100/1·101.00 Dragon Bet100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00Matchbook100·100.00Bet Victor66/1·67.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00 BetTom66/1·67.00 Betano66/1·67.00 Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 Coral66/1·67.00 Ladbrokes66/1·67.00 LiveScore Bet66/1·67.00 Midnite66/1·67.00 Quinn Bet66/1·67.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 Unibet66/1·67.00Virgin Bet66/1·67.00William Hill66/1·67.00Smarkets60·60.00SmarketsSBK55/1·56.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00 Betfair Exchange50·50.00 Bet36540/1·41.00
6	Storm Force Ten J: Taylor Fisher · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 8 2yo · G · bClass dropOnly pairing	0	9-04	—	—	—	14.0	66/1·70.14	50/1·51.00 Coral · -27% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Coral50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 William Hill50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Paddy Power50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 BetWright50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 7Bet50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 Boyle Sports50/1·51.00 BresBet50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00 SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00Matchbook19.5·19.50Betfair Exchange14·14.00
7	Fillipas J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Rod Millman · draw 3 · combo 3/35 (9%) 2yo · F · bClass dropOnly pairing	20	9-02	—	—	—	13.7	16/1·17.88	14/1·15.00 7Bet · -16% vs fair All 26 books ▾ 7Bet14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00Matchbook12.5·12.50LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Exchange9.8·9.80

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–28 bookmakers per horse with the 38% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Robert Gilbert Birthday Celebration Irish EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)?

The Robert Gilbert Birthday Celebration Irish EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race) is off at 17:57 on 21 August 2026 at Salisbury (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:57 Salisbury?

6f, Class 5, Flat, 14 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:57 Salisbury?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:57 Salisbury?

The AI top-rated runner is Spirit Of Lyra (score 53.3, best price 2.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:57 Salisbury?

The market favourite is Spirit Of Lyra at a best price of 2.00.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org