19:27 Salisbury

Signs In Motion British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £6,480 · Friday, 21 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 5-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Bintward

No. 1 · score 45.0 · +23.0 clear of next best · best 1/8·1.13

Best value vs consensus

Stopherandgo

100/1·101.00 Betfair Sportsbook · +9% vs fair (consensus 92.63)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Bintward

Ray Dawson · Roger Varian · 3yo

Top-rated of 5

score 45.0 · +23.0 clear of next best (22.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
100very strong
Last 6: 1
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
22d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
75strong
Roger Varian: 6/20 winners last 14d (30%)
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 1.13 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(2)
2Stopherandgo 5Golden Island
Unknown(3)
1Bintward 3That's All Folks 4Herstmonceux

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Salisbury 1m2f

full course data →

Strong: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.39).

Low (1–2)

IV 0.74

Mid (3–4)

IV 0.87

High (5–5)

IV 1.39

Today: Stopherandgo (draw 5) gets the bias; Golden Island (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 62 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	BintwardPick J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 4 · combo 23/99 (23%) 3yo · F · bDOnly runner	1	9-07	—	—	—	45.0	2/9·1.23	1.13·1.13 Matchbook · -8% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook1.13·1.13Betfair Exchange1.13·1.13Smarkets1.1·1.10Bet3651/10·1.10 SmarketsSBK1/10·1.10 William Hill1/12·1.08 Bet Victor1/12·1.08 BetMGM1/12·1.08 Betano1/12·1.08 Betfred1/12·1.08 Boyle Sports1/12·1.08 Coral1/12·1.08 Ladbrokes1/12·1.08 Quinn Bet1/12·1.08 7Bet1/14·1.07 BetTom1/14·1.07 BetWright1/14·1.07 BresBet1/14·1.07 Dragon Bet1/14·1.07 Midnite1/14·1.07 SportingIndex1/14·1.07 Spreadex1/14·1.07 Star Sports1/14·1.07 LiveScore Bet1/16·1.06 Unibet1/17·1.06Virgin Bet1/16·1.06Betfair Sportsbook1/20·1.05Paddy Power1/20·1.05
5	Golden Island J: Jack Mitchell · T: Heather Main · draw 2 3yo · F · chOnly pairing	3	9-00	—	—	—	22.0	6/1·6.86	5/1·6.00 Betano · -13% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betano5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00William Hill5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00Matchbook5.9·5.90BresBet9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50Smarkets5.3·5.30BetMGM4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Betfair Exchange4.5·4.50
4	Herstmonceux J: Lewis Edmunds · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 3 · combo 5/55 (9%) 3yo · G · bOnly runner	5	9-05	—	—	—	18.5	50/1·46.88	50/1·51.00 Paddy Power · +9% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Paddy Power50/1·51.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00William Hill40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00Matchbook40·40.00Smarkets40·40.00Betfair Sportsbook35/1·36.007Bet35/1·36.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange22·22.00
2	Stopherandgo J: Sean Levey · T: David Flood · draw 5 9yo · M · bt	07	9-07	—	—	—	12.0	100/1·92.63	100/1·101.00 Betfair Sportsbook · +9% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00 Bet Victor80/1·81.00 BetTom80/1·81.00 Betano80/1·81.00 Betfred80/1·81.00 Boyle Sports80/1·81.00 Coral80/1·81.00 Ladbrokes80/1·81.00 Midnite80/1·81.00 Quinn Bet80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 Unibet80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00William Hill80/1·81.00 7Bet70/1·71.00 Bet36566/1·67.00 BetWright66/1·67.00 BresBet66/1·67.00 Dragon Bet66/1·67.00 LiveScore Bet66/1·67.00 Star Sports66/1·67.00Matchbook50·50.00Smarkets50·50.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 Betfair Exchange36·36.00
3	That's All Folks J: Taylor Fisher · T: Jeff Mullins · draw 1 6yo · M · bhOnly pairing	P	9-07	—	—	—	10.0	100/1·115.50	110·110.00 Matchbook · -5% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook110·110.00Bet Victor100/1·101.00 Bet365100/1·101.00 BetTom100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00 Betfred100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 Coral100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes100/1·101.00 Midnite100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00 William Hill100/1·101.00 Paddy Power100/1·101.00 LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00 Star Sports80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00Betfair Sportsbook80/1·81.007Bet70/1·71.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00 BetWright66/1·67.00 BresBet66/1·67.00 Dragon Bet66/1·67.00Smarkets48·48.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Betfair Exchange44·44.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 14% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Signs In Motion British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)?

The Signs In Motion British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 19:27 on 21 August 2026 at Salisbury (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:27 Salisbury?

1m2f, Class 3, Flat, 5 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:27 Salisbury?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:27 Salisbury?

The AI top-rated runner is Bintward (score 45.0, best price 1.13). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:27 Salisbury?

The market favourite is Bintward at a best price of 1.13.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org