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14:10 Ffos Las

Ascona Ladies Fuelled By Fashion Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 6 runners · £4,187 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 4 · score 48.6 · +1.0 clear of next best · best 12/1·13.00
Best value vs consensus
20/1·21.00 Bet365 · +17% vs fair (consensus 17.99)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 26 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Alkuwarrior

Gina Mangan · Christopher Mason · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 48.6 · +1.0 clear of next best (47.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 71
  • Trainer20% weight
    43small sample (n=6)
    Christopher Mason: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    32weak
    Last 6: 9-0-1-5-7-5
MarketBest price 13.00 (Bet365) · 5th in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 6f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.27).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.81
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.27
High (5–6)
IV 0.97

Today: Sixtygeesbaby (draw 3) and Safari Dream (draw 4) get the bias; Alkuwarrior (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 40 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
4
J: Gina Mangan · T: Christopher Mason · draw 1 · combo 9/35 (26%)
3yo · G · bClass dropCOnly runner
901575
7148.614/1·14.3912/1·13.00
Bet365 · -10% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
1
J: Luke Morris · T: David O'Meara · draw 3
4yo · G · chtvOn last winning markDOnly pairing
508551
7347.713/8·2.645/4·2.25
7Bet · -15% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
6
J: Robbie Downey · T: Grace Harris · draw 5
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
74942
6847.411/2·6.606.4·6.40
Betfair Exchange · -3% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
3
J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 6
3yo · G · chpFT PClass dropOnly runner
21476
7246.616/1·17.9920/1·21.00
Bet365 · +17% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
2
J: Finley Marsh · T: Rod Millman · draw 4
6yo · G · bC&DGoing 1/3Only pairing
417531
7246.54/1·5.197/2·4.50
SmarketsSBK · -13% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
5
6yo · G · bDOnly rideOnly runner
04613
6743.711/2·6.605/1·6.00
BresBet · -9% vs fair
All 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–27 bookmakers per horse with the 20% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Ascona Ladies Fuelled By Fashion Handicap Stakes?

The Ascona Ladies Fuelled By Fashion Handicap Stakes is off at 14:10 on 21 August 2026 at Ffos Las (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:10 Ffos Las?

6f, Class 5, Flat, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:10 Ffos Las?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:10 Ffos Las?

The AI top-rated runner is Alkuwarrior (score 48.6, best price 13.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:10 Ffos Las?

The market favourite is Sixtygeesbaby at a best price of 2.25. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Alkuwarrior.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org