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14:45 Ffos Las

Ascona Ladies Chic Fashion Handicap Stakes

7½f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 7 runners · £3,454 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 5 · score 50.6 · +7.5 clear of next best · best 10/11·1.91
Best value vs consensus
14/1·15.00 SmarketsSBK · +10% vs fair (consensus 13.63)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way43.0/100 rating
Ravenglass
13.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Oviedo

Millie Wonnacott(5) · Alexandra Dunn · 6yo

Top-rated of 7
score 50.6 · +7.5 clear of next best (43.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=1)
    Alexandra Dunn: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    9d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    36below average
    Last 6: 0-0-9-9-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    33weak
    OR 49
MarketBest price 1.91 (Betfred) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 7½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.08
High (6–7)
IV 1.03

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
5
OviedoPick
6yo · G · bOn last winning markC&DGoing 1/2Only runner
00991
4950.65/4·2.2710/11·1.91
Betfred · -16% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
7
J: Joe Leavy · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 2 · combo 3/23 (13%)
7yo · G · bbOnly pairing
476246
5143.011/1·12.3912/1·13.00
SmarketsSBK · +5% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
4
J: Robbie Downey · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 4
4yo · F · bC&DGoing 1/3Only pairing
90431
5841.17/1·8.056/1·7.00
Paddy Power · -13% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
3
J: Jack Doughty · T: Rod Millman · draw 5
5yo · M · b
598632
5938.49/2·5.589/2·5.50
Bet365
All 27 books ▾
2
J: Rose Dawes(5) · T: Mark Usher · draw 7 · combo 2/9 (22%)
4yo · F · bpFT PClass dropOnly runner
037830
6037.318/1·18.5818/1·19.00
Bet365 · +2% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
1
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Nikki Evans · draw 3 · combo 1/5 (20%)
4yo · G · b
2863R
6035.312/1·13.6314/1·15.00
SmarketsSBK · +10% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
6
J: William Carson · T: John & Rhys Flint · draw 6 · combo 2/16 (13%)
4yo · G · bpOnly runner
000807
5331.920/1·21.0620/1·21.00
Bet365
All 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27 bookmakers per horse with the 24% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Ascona Ladies Chic Fashion Handicap Stakes?

The Ascona Ladies Chic Fashion Handicap Stakes is off at 14:45 on 21 August 2026 at Ffos Las (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:45 Ffos Las?

7½f, Class 6, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:45 Ffos Las?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:45 Ffos Las?

The AI top-rated runner is Oviedo (score 50.6, best price 1.91). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:45 Ffos Las?

The market favourite is Oviedo at a best price of 1.91.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org