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15:55 Ffos Las

Ascona Ladies Fashion And Style Handicap Stakes

7½f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 12 runners · £3,454 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 7 · score 49.5 · +9.5 clear of next best · best 7/2·4.50
Best value vs consensus
50/1·51.00 Betfair Sportsbook · +9% vs fair (consensus 46.89)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way49.5/100 rating
Diamond Ali
4.50Bet365
Place portion settles at 1.70 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Diamond Ali

William Carson · Julia & Shelley Birkett · 3yo

Top-rated of 12
score 49.5 · +9.5 clear of next best (40.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=3)
    Julia & Shelley Birkett: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    74d since last run (rusty)
  • Form20% weight
    48below average
    Last 6: 2-7-7-7-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    34weak
    OR 51
MarketBest price 4.50 (Bet365) · 2nd in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 7½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.91
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.08
High (9–12)
IV 1.03

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
7
3yo · C · chpDOnly pairing
27771
5149.59/2·5.527/2·4.50
Bet365 · -18% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
5
J: Gina Mangan · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 8
3yo · F · bbOnly runner
50074
5240.012/1·13.109/1·10.00
William Hill · -24% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
4
J: Luke Morris · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 1 · combo 0/5 (0%)
3yo · F · bDOnly runner
83618
5239.411/1·12.4111.5·11.50
Smarkets · -7% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
12
J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 6 · combo 9/32 (28%)
3yo · F · bClass drop
596
4538.450/1·46.8950/1·51.00
Betfair Sportsbook · +9% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
2
J: Joe Leavy · T: David O'Meara · draw 2
3yo · F · bvOnly pairing
850568
5536.29/2·5.524.1·4.10
Betfair Exchange · -26% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
6
3yo · F · bhClass dropOnly pairing
578686
5234.150/1·46.8935/1·36.00
7Bet · -23% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
9
J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Rod Millman · draw 4
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
946343
4633.213/2·7.586.8·6.80
Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
11
3yo · F · grOnly pairing
40047
4532.550/1·46.8935/1·36.00
7Bet · -23% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
10
J: Jack Doughty · T: Rod Millman · draw 3
3yo · F · b
607354
4531.912/1·13.7913.5·13.50
Smarkets · -2% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
1
3yo · G · bbFT BOnly runner
54989
5531.114/1·15.1714/1·15.00
Bet365
All 27 books ▾
8
J: George Bass · T: Heather Main · draw 7
3yo · F · bOnly runner
05363
4730.417/2·9.658.8·8.80
Smarkets · -9% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
3
3yo · F · bOnly runner
8690
5529.722/1·23.4433/1·34.00
Betfair Sportsbook · +45% vs fair
All 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27 bookmakers per horse with the 38% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Ascona Ladies Fashion And Style Handicap Stakes?

The Ascona Ladies Fashion And Style Handicap Stakes is off at 15:55 on 21 August 2026 at Ffos Las (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:55 Ffos Las?

7½f, Class 6, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:55 Ffos Las?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:55 Ffos Las?

The AI top-rated runner is Diamond Ali (score 49.5, best price 4.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:55 Ffos Las?

The market favourite is Willowinghurn at a best price of 4.10. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Diamond Ali.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org