16:30 Ffos Las

Ascona Fabulous Ladies Classified Stakes

1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 11 runners · £3,454 · Friday, 21 August 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (11 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Gert Lush

No. 4 · score 42.3 · +1.9 clear of next best · best 7/2·4.50

Best value vs consensus

Racing Demon

13/1·14.00 SmarketsSBK · +13% vs fair (consensus 12.38)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way42.3/100 rating

Gert Lush

4.50Bet365

Place portion settles at 1.70 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Gert Lush

Gina Mangan · Roger Teal · 9yo

Top-rated of 11

score 42.3 · +1.9 clear of next best (40.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
17d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
55average
Last 6: 7-2-8-3-2
Ratings50% weight
33weak
OR 50 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
23weak
Roger Teal: 1/11 winners last 14d (9%)

MarketBest price 4.50 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(3)
1A Rose Adaay 3City Escape 11Lapidarist
Mid-division(3)
4Gert Lush 8Strong Man Tom 9Typeface
Hold-up / closers(5)
2Charencey 5King Of The Dance 6Prophet Squeeze 7Racing Demon 10Elora Prince

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.95

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.01

High (9–11)

IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
4	Gert LushPick J: Gina Mangan · T: Roger Teal · draw 9 9yo · M · bOnly runner	72832	9-09	50	—	—	42.3	5/1·5.96	7/2·4.50 Bet365 · -24% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Bet3657/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet10/3·4.35Virgin Bet10/3·4.35Coral10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33Paddy Power10/3·4.33 Betfair Exchange4.2·4.20 7Bet3/1·4.00 BetMGM3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 BresBet3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 SmarketsSBK3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00Smarkets4·4.00
10	Elora Prince J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 5 · combo 9/32 (28%) 3yo · G · b	489746	9-02	47	—	—	40.3	15/2·8.26	13/2·7.50 Bet365 · -9% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Bet36513/2·7.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Smarkets5.9·5.90Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50
2	Charencey J: Joe Leavy · T: Ian Williams · draw 7 6yo · G · chtpOnly pairing	576223	9-09	50	—	—	37.9	5/1·6.19	5.7·5.70 Smarkets · -8% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Smarkets5.7·5.70SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Bet3654/1·5.00 Spreadex7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50William Hill7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Paddy Power7/2·4.50 BresBet10/3·4.33 7Bet10/3·4.33 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 BetMGM10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 Betfair Exchange3.75·3.75
9	Typeface J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Ian Williams · draw 3 4yo · G · btOnly pairing	76433	9-09	50	—	—	37.9	6/1·6.88	7.2·7.20 Smarkets · +5% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Smarkets7.2·7.20SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Betfair Exchange4.7·4.70 7Bet7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Paddy Power7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33
1	A Rose Adaay J: Ben Ffrench Davis(5) · T: Grace Harris · draw 11 · combo 0/5 (0%) 4yo · F · bOnly pairing	535334	9-09	46	—	—	37.8	20/1·20.64	16/1·17.00 Paddy Power · -18% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Paddy Power16/1·17.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00William Hill14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Star Sports12/1·13.00 Betfair Exchange9·9.00Smarkets2.26·2.26SmarketsSBK5/4·2.25
11	Lapidarist J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: David Simcock · draw 4 · combo 0/14 (0%) 3yo · F · bOnly ride	352642	9-02	49	—	—	37.1	15/2·8.26	5/1·6.00 7Bet · -27% vs fair All 27 books ▾ 7Bet5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00William Hill5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00Smarkets5.6·5.60BetMGM9/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Betfair Exchange5.4·5.40
7	Racing Demon J: Luke Morris · T: Ed de Giles · draw 10 6yo · G · bpFT POnly pairing	572574	9-09	50	—	—	33.9	11/1·12.38	13/1·14.00 SmarketsSBK · +13% vs fair All 27 books ▾ SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00Smarkets14·14.00Paddy Power9/1·10.00 Midnite17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.507Bet8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00William Hill8/1·9.00 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 Bet3657/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20
3	City Escape J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Nikki Evans · draw 8 · combo 1/5 (20%) 9yo · M · b/es	66556	9-09	48	—	—	30.9	16/1·16.51	12/1·13.00 Bet365 · -21% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Bet36512/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00BetMGM10/1·11.00Smarkets10.5·10.50SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange9·9.00
5	King Of The Dance J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 2 7yo · G · bb	452U36	9-09	46	—	—	29.6	14/1·15.14	11/1·12.00 Paddy Power · -21% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Paddy Power11/1·12.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00William Hill10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.007Bet10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange8·8.00Smarkets2.04·2.04SmarketsSBK1/1·2.00
6	Prophet Squeeze J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: Barry John Murphy · draw 1 8yo · M · bhOnly pairing	707R97	9-09	43	—	—	26.1	50/1·56.42	50/1·51.00 Paddy Power · -10% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Paddy Power50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Bet36540/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00William Hill40/1·41.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange14·14.00Smarkets3.35·3.35SmarketsSBK9/4·3.25
8	Strong Man Tom J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Barry John Murphy · draw 6 4yo · G · btpFT TPOnly pairing	6609	9-09	23	—	—	19.4	100/1·104.58	100/1·101.00 Bet365 · -3% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Bet365100/1·101.00 BetTom80/1·81.00 Unibet80/1·81.00 William Hill80/1·81.00Betfair Sportsbook80/1·81.00Paddy Power80/1·81.00 Boyle Sports80/1·81.00 Coral80/1·81.00 Ladbrokes80/1·81.00 Midnite80/1·81.00 Quinn Bet80/1·81.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 7Bet70/1·71.00 Betano66/1·67.00Virgin Bet66/1·67.00Bet Victor66/1·67.00 BetMGM66/1·67.00 LiveScore Bet66/1·67.00 Star Sports66/1·67.00 BetWright60/1·61.00 BresBet60/1·61.00 Dragon Bet60/1·61.00 Betfair Exchange14·14.00Smarkets1.43·1.43SmarketsSBK2/5·1.40

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–27 bookmakers per horse with the 38% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Ascona Fabulous Ladies Classified Stakes?

The Ascona Fabulous Ladies Classified Stakes is off at 16:30 on 21 August 2026 at Ffos Las (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:30 Ffos Las?

1m2f, Class 6, Flat, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:30 Ffos Las?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:30 Ffos Las?

The AI top-rated runner is Gert Lush (score 42.3, best price 4.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:30 Ffos Las?

The market favourite is Gert Lush at a best price of 4.50.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org