17:02 Ffos Las

Ascona Ladies Race Day Elegance Handicap Stakes

1m4f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 10 runners · £3,454 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Buck Barrow

No. 3 · score 47.9 · +0.7 clear of next best · best 6/1·6.80

Best value vs consensus

Master Dancer

20/1·21.00 Bet365 · +7% vs fair (consensus 19.60)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way47.9/100 rating

Buck Barrow

6.80Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Buck Barrow

Finley Marsh · Adrian Wintle · 4yo

Top-rated of 10

score 47.9 · +0.7 clear of next best (47.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
24d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
55average
Last 6: 0-6-7-1-3-3
Trainer20% weight
50small sample (n=5)
Adrian Wintle: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Ratings50% weight
34weak
OR 51

MarketBest price 6.80 (Smarkets) · 4th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
5Adrian
Prominent(3)
6Atalanta Mist 7Saxophonic 8Dream Of Ithaca
Mid-division(1)
9Emerald Reine
Hold-up / closers(5)
1Cogital 2Virtual Hug 3Buck Barrow 4Master Dancer 10Beau Chevalier

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.95

Mid (5–7)

IV 1.01

High (8–10)

IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	Buck BarrowPick J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 4 · combo 9/32 (28%) 4yo · G · bpC&D	067133	9-08	51	—	—	47.9	6/1·7.19	6.8·6.80 Smarkets · -5% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Smarkets6.8·6.80Bet36511/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 Coral5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Spreadex9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Betfair Exchange4.3·4.30
6	Atalanta Mist J: Jack Doughty · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 6 3yo · F · ch	53323	9-01	53	—	—	47.2	7/2·4.57	11/4·3.75 Bet365 · -18% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Bet36511/4·3.75 Coral5/2·3.50 7Bet5/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50 BetTom5/2·3.50 Betfred5/2·3.50 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50 Midnite5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 SmarketsSBK5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50William Hill5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.50Paddy Power5/2·3.50Smarkets3.5·3.50BetWright12/5·3.40 BresBet12/5·3.40 Dragon Bet12/5·3.40 Bet Victor9/4·3.25 Betano9/4·3.25 Unibet9/4·3.25 Betfair Exchange3·3.00
8	Dream Of Ithaca J: Liam Wright(5) · T: John Gallagher · draw 1 3yo · F · bDOnly rideOnly runner	45581	9-00	52	—	—	45.6	7/1·7.84	11/2·6.50 Paddy Power · -17% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Paddy Power11/2·6.50 Betfair Exchange6.4·6.40 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00William Hill5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.007Bet5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK3/1·4.00Smarkets4·4.00
9	Emerald Reine J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Julia & Shelley Birkett · draw 2 3yo · F · bpFT PClass dropOnly pairing	779	8-10	48	—	—	41.1	25/1·27.44	22/1·23.00 Paddy Power · -16% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Paddy Power22/1·23.00 BresBet20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00William Hill20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00Smarkets18·18.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Betfair Exchange11·11.00
4	Master Dancer J: Gina Mangan · T: Richard J Bandey · draw 3 9yo · G · bvFT VOnly runner	96308	9-07	50	—	—	38.9	18/1·19.60	20/1·21.00 Bet365 · +7% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Bet36520/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Smarkets18·18.00Coral16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 BetMGM14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betfair Exchange11·11.00
2	Virtual Hug J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Nikki Evans · draw 9 · combo 1/5 (20%) 8yo · G · bt	641344	9-08	51	—	—	37.9	11/1·11.76	17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes · -19% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Bet36517/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 Paddy Power17/2·9.50 7Bet8/1·9.00 BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 William Hill8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Smarkets9·9.00Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50Betfair Exchange7·7.00
1	Cogital J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 10 11yo · G · bpGoing 1/3	83953	9-09	52	—	—	33.4	14/1·15.68	14/1·15.00 Paddy Power · -4% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Paddy Power14/1·15.00 SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00Smarkets14·14.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Unibet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00William Hill10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Bet36517/2·9.50 Betfair Exchange8·8.00
7	Saxophonic J: Luke Morris · T: David Simcock · draw 8 3yo · G · bpFT POnly pairing	03864	9-00	52	—	—	31.9	5/1·5.88	5.5·5.50 Smarkets · -6% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Smarkets5.5·5.50Bet3659/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 7Bet7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Paddy Power7/2·4.50 Betfair Exchange3.9·3.90
5	Adrian J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 7 9yo · G · grbOnly pairing	30862	9-07	50	—	—	30.6	9/1·10.45	15/2·8.50 Paddy Power · -19% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Paddy Power15/2·8.50Smarkets8.4·8.407Bet7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00William Hill7/1·8.00 Betano13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Betfair Exchange6.8·6.80
10	Beau Chevalier J: Rose Dawes(5) · T: Ed de Giles · draw 5 3yo · G · chOnly pairing	95800	8-07	45	—	—	23.3	80/1·79.70	66/1·67.00 BetTom · -16% vs fair All 27 books ▾ BetTom66/1·67.00 Ladbrokes66/1·67.00 Bet36566/1·67.00 Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 Coral66/1·67.00 Midnite66/1·67.00 Quinn Bet66/1·67.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 Star Sports66/1·67.00 William Hill66/1·67.00 Paddy Power66/1·67.00 BetWright60/1·61.00 BresBet60/1·61.00 Dragon Bet60/1·61.00 BetMGM50/1·51.00 7Bet50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Betfred50/1·51.00 LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Betfair Exchange14·14.00Smarkets1.58·1.58SmarketsSBK4/7·1.57

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27 bookmakers per horse with the 31% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Ascona Ladies Race Day Elegance Handicap Stakes?

The Ascona Ladies Race Day Elegance Handicap Stakes is off at 17:02 on 21 August 2026 at Ffos Las (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:02 Ffos Las?

1m4f, Class 6, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:02 Ffos Las?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:02 Ffos Las?

The AI top-rated runner is Buck Barrow (score 47.9, best price 6.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:02 Ffos Las?

The market favourite is Atalanta Mist at a best price of 3.75. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Buck Barrow.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org