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17:07 Hamilton

Huws Gray British Stallions EBF Fillies' Handicap Stakes

1m1f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 9 runners · £8,636 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 67.3 · +4.2 clear of next best · best 7/1·8.00
Best value vs consensus
11/2·6.50 Paddy Power · +2% vs fair (consensus 6.37)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way67.3/100 rating
Porth Eilian
8.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Porth Eilian

Callum Rodriguez · Edward Bethell · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 67.3 · +4.2 clear of next best (63.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    90very strong
    Edward Bethell: 9/25 winners last 14d (36%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    31d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    72strong
    Last 6: 5-4-1-3-1-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 79 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 8.00 (Bet365) · 5th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Hamilton 1m1f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.95
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.02
High (7–9)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 145 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Edward Bethell · draw 4 · combo 4/32 (13%)
3yo · F · bC&DOnly runner
541313
7967.315/2·8.287/1·8.00
Bet365 · -3% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
9
J: Shane Gray · T: Daragh Bourke · draw 8 · combo 3/6 (50%)
3yo · F · chOn last winning markDOnly runner
403111
5963.111/2·6.379/2·5.50
Bet365 · -14% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
4
J: David Egan · T: John Butler · draw 2 · combo 4/18 (22%)
3yo · F · chpOnly runner
43323
7861.315/2·8.287.6·7.60
Smarkets · -8% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
6
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 9 · combo 15/68 (22%)
3yo · F · bt
34123
7558.24/1·4.783/1·4.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -16% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
2
J: David Allan · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 1
4yo · F · grOnly pairing
634212
7357.611/2·6.3711/2·6.50
Paddy Power · +2% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 6 · combo 12/61 (20%)
3yo · F · b
15089
7751.212/1·12.7412/1·13.00
Bet365 · +2% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
8
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 7 · combo 14/83 (17%)
7yo · M · b
043233
6446.710/1·10.8310·10.00
Smarkets · -8% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 3 · combo 4/26 (15%)
5yo · M · bD
106149
7346.218/1·19.1016/1·17.00
Bet365 · -11% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
7
J: William Pyle · T: Jessica Bedi · draw 5
5yo · M · chtOnly runner
7100
6729.180/1·85.3370/1·71.00
7Bet · -17% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 27% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Huws Gray British Stallions EBF Fillies' Handicap Stakes?

The Huws Gray British Stallions EBF Fillies' Handicap Stakes is off at 17:07 on 21 August 2026 at Hamilton (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:07 Hamilton?

1m1f, Class 4, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:07 Hamilton?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:07 Hamilton?

The AI top-rated runner is Porth Eilian (score 67.3, best price 8.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:07 Hamilton?

The market favourite is Wild Dahlia at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Porth Eilian.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org