Who won the 16:00 Naas on 23 August 2026?
Chantez (IRE) won the 16:00 Naas at SP 29.00. Ridden by Gary Carroll. Trained by G M Lyons.
Tally-Ho Stud Irish EBF Ballyogan Stakes (Group 3)
6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 8 runners · €60,000 · Sunday, 23 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stChantez (IRE)Gary Carroll·G M Lyons28/1·29.00SP
- 2ndSoul Love (GB)Pierre-Louis Jamin·K. R. Burke·beaten .5 lengths9/4·3.25SP
- 3rdDancing Saxon (IRE)AI top pick · 68.8Declan McDonogh·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 1 length6/1·7.00SP
Race time
1m 9.30s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Chantez (IRE))
“Settled in the pack early - going nicely two out - pushed through to challenge inside the final furlong - got up close home to score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way68.8/100 rating
Dancing Saxon
9.00Betfred
Place portion settles at 2.60 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Soul Love
Soul Love arrives at Naas on a progressive profile that sets her apart from much of this field, and a fitness edge over the joint top-rated pair — Havana Anna and First Instinct, both rated five pounds clear on paper — gives her a credible route into contention over this six furlongs on good ground. Those two represent the principal dangers, as does Chantez, who will need to find improvement but cannot be entirely dismissed in a competitive eight-runner Class 1. The case for Soul Love rests on trajectory rather than raw figures, and if that progression continues here she can outrun her rating and take this. Soul Love is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Dancing Saxon
Declan McDonogh · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 3yo
Top-rated of 8
score 68.8 · +1.7 clear of next best (67.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong27d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight89very strongLast 6: 6-1-1-2-1
- Ratings50% weight64averageOR 96
- Trainer20% weight45below averageJoseph Patrick O'Brien: 15/84 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketBest price 9.00 (Betfred) · 4th in the market of 8.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Naas 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.10
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.92
High (7–8)
IV 0.97
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Gary Carroll · T: G M Lyons · draw 8 4yo · F · bb | 38544 | 91 | 49.0 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K. R. Burke · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 19131 | 101 | 67.0 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 61121 | 96 | 68.8 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Gavin Ryan · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 20147 | 108 | 58.4 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 4 4yo · F · br | 10902 | 105 | 60.8 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J A Stack · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 717828 | 78 | 43.1 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Chris Hayes · T: Miss Kate McGivern · draw 2 4yo · F · bp | 58607 | 84 | 37.5 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 3 4yo · F · bp | 221158 | 84 | 48.9 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Naas?
No — the AI top pick (Dancing Saxon) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 16:00 Naas?
Top finishers: 1. Chantez (IRE) (29.00), 2. Soul Love (GB) (3.25), 3. Dancing Saxon (IRE) (7.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:00 Naas?
The winning time was 1m 9.30s.
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