17:02 Worcester

CopyBet BOG Now For York Tomorrow Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

2m7f · Chase · Class 4 · Good · 6 runners · £4,700 · Wednesday, 19 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 6-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Muskerry Rock

No. 3 · score 85.3 · +6.2 clear of next best · best 7/2·4.50

Best value vs consensus

Harrys Hope

11/2·6.50 Bet365 · +4% vs fair (consensus 6.26)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Smugglers HavenDiffers from our pick

Smugglers Haven shares the top rating alongside King Roly, the pair narrowly ahead of Yes Day on 124 and Palamon on 121, making this a genuinely competitive staying contest at Worcester. Smugglers Haven tops the ratings on 127 and gets the nod at the head of the weights, though King Roly represents the most obvious danger given he matches him on the figures, and Yes Day and Palamon are not without claims either. The confidence here is modest, and any one of the leading quartet could come out on top on good ground over twenty-three furlongs. On balance, the selection is Smugglers Haven.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Muskerry Rock

Harry Skelton · Dan Skelton · 7yo

Top-rated of 6

score 85.3 · +6.2 clear of next best (79.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=5)
Dan Skelton: 2/5 winners last 14d (40%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
37d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
84very strong
Last 6: 8-1-2-2-1
Ratings50% weight
80very strong
OR 120 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketBest price 4.50 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
1Smugglers Haven 6Yes Day
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(0)—
Unknown(4)
2Palamon 3Muskerry Rock 4King Roly 5Harrys Hope

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	Muskerry RockPick J: Harry Skelton · T: Dan Skelton · draw 0 · combo 50/138 (36%) 7yo · G · bbp	81221	11-12	120	—	—	85.3	7/2·4.55	4.5·4.50 Matchbook All 30 books ▾ Matchbook4.5·4.50Betfair Exchange4.5·4.50 SmarketsSBK10/3·4.33 Paddy Power10/3·4.33Smarkets4.3·4.30Star Sports3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.0010 Bet3/1·4.00 7Bet3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 BresBet3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 Bet36511/4·3.75 BetMGM11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 talkSPORT BET11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75William Hill5/2·3.50 Coral9/4·3.25 Ladbrokes9/4·3.25
2	Palamon J: Tristan Durrell · T: Dan Skelton · draw 0 · combo 2/9 (22%) 6yo · G · cht	51635	11-12	120	—	—	79.1	20/1·21.63	20/1·21.00 BetMGM · -3% vs fair All 30 books ▾ BetMGM20/1·21.00Matchbook21·21.00Betfair Exchange20·20.00Smarkets19.5·19.5010 Bet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Unibet18/1·19.00 Paddy Power18/1·19.00 7Bet18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 BresBet18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 talkSPORT BET16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 William Hill15/1·16.00
1	Smugglers Haven J: Miss Lily Bradstock(7) · T: Mrs Sara V Bradstock · draw 0 · combo 1/6 (17%) 7yo · M · bClass dropGoing 1/2Only ride	21F12	11-12	120	—	—	72.7	5/2·3.41	3.45·3.45 Smarkets All 30 books ▾ Smarkets3.45·3.45Matchbook3.4·3.40Betfair Exchange3.4·3.40 BetMGM9/4·3.25 SmarketsSBK9/4·3.25 Unibet85/40·3.13 10 Bet2/1·3.00 BetTom2/1·3.00 Bet3652/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 SportingIndex2/1·3.00 Midnite2/1·3.00 Paddy Power2/1·3.00 Coral2/1·3.00 Ladbrokes2/1·3.00 LiveScore Bet2/1·3.00 Betfred2/1·3.00 Boyle Sports2/1·3.00 Spreadex2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00Virgin Bet2/1·3.00William Hill2/1·3.00 7Bet19/10·2.90Betfair Sportsbook15/8·2.88Bet Victor15/8·2.88 BetWright15/8·2.88 Betano15/8·2.88 Dragon Bet15/8·2.88 talkSPORT BET15/8·2.88 BresBet15/8·2.88
5	Harrys Hope J: Ben Jones · T: Ben Pauling · draw 0 · combo 2/20 (10%) 8yo · M · chpFT P	22024	11-03	111	—	—	67.3	11/2·6.26	11/2·6.50 Bet365 · +4% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Bet36511/2·6.50Matchbook6.2·6.20William Hill5/1·6.00 Betfair Exchange6·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00Smarkets5.7·5.7010 Bet9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50BetWright9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00
6	Yes Day J: Benjamin Macey(5) · T: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill · draw 0 8yo · G · bb	8P232	11-02	110	—	—	65.3	6/1·6.83	11/2·6.50 BetMGM · -5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ BetMGM11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50William Hill11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50Matchbook6.4·6.40Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20 BresBet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Smarkets6·6.00SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 talkSPORT BET9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Paddy Power9/2·5.50 Midnite4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00
4	King Roly J: James Bowen · T: Mickey Bowen · draw 0 · combo 3/30 (10%) 7yo · G · btbFT TBClass drop	46P29	11-11	119	—	—	53.9	13/2·7.40	6.8·6.80 Matchbook · -8% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook6.8·6.80Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60Virgin Bet11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Bet36511/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 10 Bet11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50Smarkets6.4·6.40Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 talkSPORT BET5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 BetMGM9/2·5.50

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 14% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the CopyBet BOG Now For York Tomorrow Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)?

The CopyBet BOG Now For York Tomorrow Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race) is off at 17:02 on 19 August 2026 at Worcester (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:02 Worcester?

2m7f, Class 4, Chase, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:02 Worcester?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:02 Worcester?

The AI top-rated runner is Muskerry Rock (score 85.3, best price 4.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:02 Worcester?

The market favourite is Smugglers Haven at a best price of 3.45. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Muskerry Rock.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org