18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

13:50 York

Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3)

1m1f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Soft · 13 runners · £99,242 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

Compare all prices

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 2 · score 71.8 · +0.9 clear of next best · best 14/1·15.50
Best value vs consensus
38·38.00 Smarkets · +8% vs fair (consensus 35.28)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way70.9/100 rating
Damysus
4.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: DamysusDiffers from our pick

Damysus heads this competitive nine-furlong York contest narrowly ahead of Persica and Point Lynas, who share the same rating four pounds behind, and that edge looks meaningful enough on the good-to-soft ground. Persica and Point Lynas are the most credible threats and should not be underestimated, while Naqeeb, eight pounds adrift, could outrun his rating if the pace suits. The field of thirteen adds an element of uncertainty, but Damysus holds the clearest credentials at the weights and is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Archivist

Callum Rodriguez · Hamad Al Jehani · 4yo

Top-rated of 13
score 71.8 · +0.9 clear of next best (70.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    73strong
    OR 110
  • Form20% weight
    63average
    Last 6: 5-3-1-0-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    Hamad Al Jehani: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 15.50 (Smarkets) · 7th in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — York 1m1f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.38
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.71
High (10–13)
IV 0.87

Today: Damysus (draw 5) and Point Lynas (draw 4) get the bias; Archivist (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 83 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
2
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 9 · combo 1/6 (17%)
4yo · G · chh
53101
11071.818/1·18.2515.5·15.50
Smarkets · -15% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: James Doyle · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 5 · combo 2/11 (18%)
4yo · C · chpFT POnly pairing
11653
11770.94/1·4.874.8·4.80
Betfair Exchange
All 26 books ▾
8
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Edward Bethell · draw 4
7yo · G · bhOnly pairing
67942
10970.333/1·31.6355·55.00
Smarkets · +74% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
13
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 12 · combo 17/126 (13%)
3yo · C · btFT T
11634
10766.714/1·14.6015·15.00
Matchbook · +3% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
11
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 11 · combo 25/104 (24%)
3yo · C · b
12130
11466.115/2·8.527.8·7.80
Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
12
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 8 · combo 15/71 (21%)
3yo · C · bpD
22411
9266.133/1·35.2836·36.00
Matchbook · +2% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
10
J: Gary Carroll · T: G M Lyons · draw 6 · combo 3/27 (11%)
3yo · C · btD
442412
11265.39/2·5.485.6·5.60
Smarkets · +2% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3 · combo 5/19 (26%)
4yo · C · b
71973
11163.414/1·14.6013·13.00
Smarkets · -11% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
9
J: David Egan · T: George Scott · draw 2 · combo 2/7 (29%)
4yo · C · bOnly pairing
81354
11463.322/1·23.1220/1·21.00
BetMGM · -9% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
4
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1 · combo 31/95 (33%)
4yo · C · bpFT P
99622
10663.220/1·20.6820·20.00
Matchbook · -3% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
7
J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 7 · combo 16/108 (15%)
5yo · G · chOn last winning markOnly rideOnly runner
42521
11463.217/2·9.739.6·9.60
Betfair Exchange
All 28 books ▾
6
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 13 · combo 6/70 (9%)
6yo · G · b
81525
11057.850/1·49.8850·50.00
Matchbook
All 28 books ▾
3
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 10 · combo 3/10 (30%)
4yo · G · bpOnly runner
125367
11254.733/1·35.2838·38.00
Smarkets · +8% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–28 bookmakers per horse with the 22% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3)?

The Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) is off at 13:50 on 22 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:50 York?

1m1f, Class 1, Flat, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:50 York?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:50 York?

The AI top-rated runner is Archivist (score 71.8, best price 15.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:50 York?

The market favourite is Damysus at a best price of 4.80. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Archivist.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org