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14:25 York

Sky Bet Melrose Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

1m6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 17 runners · £92,772 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 75.2 · +4.1 clear of next best · best 9/1·10.00
Best value vs consensus
44·44.00 Matchbook · +17% vs fair (consensus 37.54)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way75.2/100 rating
Into The Light
10.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: LimestoneDiffers from our pick

Limestone heads this competitive seventeen-runner York Class 2 over fourteen furlongs on good-to-soft ground with a performance rating of 112, which puts him narrowly ahead of Tierra Del Toro on 101 and comfortably clear of the remainder of the field, and he tops these ratings by a clear margin. Tierra Del Toro represents the most serious threat given a rating eleven pounds below Limestone, while Mythical Bay and Infraad will also be hoping to make inroads from their respective marks of 97 and 96, though they face a stiff task on the figures. Fourteen furlongs on a galloping track such as York is a searching test, and with the weight of the ratings firmly in his favour against a big field, he is taken to assert. The selection is Limestone.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Into The Light

William Buick · Charlie Appleby · 3yo

Top-rated of 17
score 75.2 · +4.1 clear of next best (71.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Charlie Appleby: 11/26 winners last 14d (42%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    66strong
    Last 6: 1-2-2-0-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    64average
    OR 96 — above field median
MarketBest price 10.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 17.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — York 1m6f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)
IV 1.16
Mid (7–12)
IV 0.57
High (13–17)
IV 1.21

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 5 · combo 14/48 (29%)
3yo · C · bp
12201
9675.210/1·10.8310·10.00
Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
9
J: Saffie Osborne · T: W P Mullins · draw 2
3yo · G · bp
5252
8871.112/1·13.7214·14.00
Matchbook · +2% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
2
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 4 · combo 17/126 (13%)
3yo · C · b
23131
9768.87/2·4.694.1·4.10
Matchbook · -13% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
8
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 17 · combo 7/52 (13%)
3yo · C · bOnly ride
2321
8866.025/1·24.5524·24.00
Smarkets · -2% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: Ryan Moore · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6 · combo 1/6 (17%)
3yo · C · btClass dropD
11116
10565.77/1·7.946.6·6.60
Matchbook · -17% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3 · combo 22/104 (21%)
3yo · G · chD
12311
9265.511/1·11.559.6·9.60
Matchbook · -17% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
6
J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 9 · combo 12/63 (19%)
3yo · G · bDOnly pairing
13161
9164.525/1·24.5521·21.00
Betfair Exchange · -14% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
12
J: Tyler Heard · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 1
3yo · G · grbOnly ride
24512
8664.125/1·24.5540·40.00
Matchbook · +63% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
7
J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 10 · combo 8/75 (11%)
3yo · G · bC&D
241212
8962.340/1·41.8755·55.00
Matchbook · +31% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
10
J: Nicola Currie · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7
3yo · G · chOnly ride
8212
8661.240/1·37.5444·44.00
Matchbook · +17% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
4
J: James Doyle · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 15 · combo 1/8 (13%)
3yo · G · bOnly pairing
12394
9560.825/1·27.4326·26.00
Matchbook · -5% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
15
J: Rory Cleary · T: Emmet Mullins · draw 14
3yo · G · bhDOnly rideOnly runner
07231
8458.420/1·21.6628·28.00
Matchbook · +29% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
14
J: Barry McHugh · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 11
3yo · G · chOnly pairing
3316
8556.066/1·73.64150·150.00
Matchbook · +104% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
17
3yo · G · bDOnly ride
34311
8155.925/1·27.4342·42.00
Betfair Exchange · +53% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
13
J: Ray Dawson · T: D K Weld · draw 8
3yo · C · bpOnly runner
6123
8655.014/1·15.8815·15.00
Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
11
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ian Williams · draw 12
3yo · G · chvOnly pairing
232P3
8650.966/1·59.2085·85.00
Smarkets · +44% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
16
J: Cam Hardie · T: Brian Ellison · draw 13 · combo 2/17 (12%)
3yo · C · chOnly runner
54933
8248.440/1·41.8770·70.00
Smarkets · +67% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–28 bookmakers per horse with the 44% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Bet Melrose Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)?

The Sky Bet Melrose Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) is off at 14:25 on 22 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:25 York?

1m6f, Class 2, Flat, 17 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:25 York?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:25 York?

The AI top-rated runner is Into The Light (score 75.2, best price 10.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:25 York?

The market favourite is Infraad at a best price of 4.10. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Into The Light.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org