Who won the 16:45 York on 22 August 2026?
Sale Shark (IRE) won the 16:45 York at SP 9.50. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Hugo Palmer.
16:45 York
Julia Graves Roses Stakes (Listed Race)
5f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Soft · 11 runners · £56,710 · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stSale Shark (IRE)Oisin Murphy·Hugo Palmer17/2·9.50SP
- 2ndAdonius (IRE)Kaiya Fraser·Rebecca Menzies·beaten 1.25 lengths2/1F·3.00SP
- 3rdHickory Lad (IRE)Sam James·Phillip Makin·beaten 0.3 lengths15/2·8.50SP
Race time
59.13s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Sale Shark (IRE))
“Settled behind the front pack early - made ground into second approaching 2f out under pressure - hit the front close home - kept finding more to score”
AI top-rated Hanney Boy (score 65.5) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 40.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: El Floridita
El Floridita arrives here on a progressive profile that the clock has consistently backed up, and despite sitting 3 lb below the top-rated Adonius on our assessment, the direction of travel offers genuine encouragement that the gap can be bridged on this good-to-soft ground at York over five furlongs. Adonius heads the field on ratings and cannot be dismissed, while Hickory Lad and Dance A Jig, both rated 102, represent further threats in what shapes as a competitive Class 1 sprint. The selection is taken to reward each-way faith, though this is not a race to be dogmatic about, and El Floridita is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Hanney Boy
Liam Keniry · Miss Evanna McCutcheon · 2yo
Top-rated of 11
score 65.5 · +3.4 clear of next best (62.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong29d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight77strongLast 6: 2-2-3-3-1
- Ratings50% weight63averageOR 95
- Trainer20% weight50no sampleMiss Evanna McCutcheon — no runners last 14 days — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — York 5f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.37
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.90
High (9–12)
IV 0.69
Today: Hickory Lad (draw 2) and Dorigo (draw 1) get the bias; Hanney Boy (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 137 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 3 2yo · C · ch | 1554 | 94 | 52.4 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 8 2yo · G · ch | 1112 | 101 | 61.9 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Sam James · T: Phillip Makin · draw 2 2yo · C · b | 212138 | 99 | 61.6 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 1 2yo · C · b | 272 | 89 | 52.6 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 5 | 12 | J: Shane Gray · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 4 2yo · F · ch | 3232 | 80 | 50.8 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 9 2yo · C · b | 5125 | 98 | 56.9 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Liam Keniry · T: Miss Evanna McCutcheon · draw 10 2yo · C · bpFT P | 22331 | 95 | 65.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 8 | 11 | J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 12 2yo · F · ch | 241 | 77 | 56.8 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| 9 | 2 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 11 2yo · C · b | 2201 | 96 | 62.2 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Clive Cox · draw 6 2yo · C · bp | 322910 | 94 | 62.1 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 11 | 4 | J: Ryan Moore · T: Ben Haslam · draw 5 2yo · C · b | 4312 | 87 | 54.5 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Saffie Osborne · T: David Evans · draw 7 2yo · G · gr | 423185 | 81 | 53.1 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 York?
No — the AI top pick (Hanney Boy) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 16:45 York?
Top finishers: 1. Sale Shark (IRE) (9.50), 2. Adonius (IRE) (3.00), 3. Hickory Lad (IRE) (8.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:45 York?
The winning time was 59.13s.
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