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17:20 York

Sky Bet Dav Reid Finale Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

1m2½f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 21 runners · £51,540 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 1 · score 74.5 · +6.8 clear of next best · best 7/2·4.70

Drawn 5, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way74.5/100 rating
Raammee
4.70Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: ErzindjanDiffers from our pick

Erzindjan heads this competitive 21-runner York mile-and-a-quarter field on good-to-soft ground, sitting narrowly ahead of Thunder Run and Bourbon Blues on our assessments, and on a sound surface over a trip that should suit, there is a reasonable case for him to deliver. Thunder Run, just a couple of pounds below, represents the most obvious threat, while Bourbon Blues and Raammee will also need to be accounted for in a deep Class 2 heat where the margins at the top of the ratings are slim and the race is genuinely open. Confidence is tempered by the size of the field and the closeness of the form, but the edge in the ratings, however narrow, points in one direction. Erzindjan is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Raammee

Ray Dawson · Roger Varian · 4yo

Top-rated of 22
score 74.5 · +6.8 clear of next best (67.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    42d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    83very strong
    Last 6: 1-1-4-2-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    75strong
    Roger Varian: 6/20 winners last 14d (30%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    69strong
    OR 103 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 4.70 (Smarkets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — York 1m2½f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).

Low (1–8)
IV 1.38
Mid (9–15)
IV 0.71
High (16–22)
IV 0.87

Today: Raammee (draw 5) and Quai De Bethune (draw 7) get the bias; Al Aali (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 83 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

No.HorseFormORAIBestAdd to betslip
1
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 5 · combo 24/100 (24%)
4yo · G · chhC&DOnly runner
11421
10374.54.7·4.70
Smarkets
All 28 books ▾
12
J: Colin Keane · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 20
3yo · C · bOnly pairing
311
9967.711.5·11.50
Matchbook
All 28 books ▾
6
J: William Buick · T: George Scott · draw 9
4yo · G · chbDOnly pairing
875511
9864.514·14.00
Matchbook
All 26 books ▾
4
J: Gary Carroll · T: G M Lyons · draw 16 · combo 3/27 (11%)
4yo · G · b
32126
10059.26.6·6.60
Betfair Exchange
All 28 books ▾
7
J: James Doyle · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 7 · combo 4/25 (16%)
4yo · G · b
31600
9458.138·38.00
Smarkets
All 28 books ▾
2
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 13 · combo 25/104 (24%)
5yo · G · ch
07207
10157.730·30.00
Matchbook
All 28 books ▾
14
J: Barry McHugh · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 3 · combo 1/22 (5%)
4yo · C · bhOnly pairing
660239
9055.715·15.00
Matchbook
All 28 books ▾
3
J: Ryan Moore · T: T J Kent · draw 11
8yo · G · bOnly runner
45816
10155.19.4·9.40
Matchbook
All 28 books ▾
10
6yo · G · chv
51500
9352.890·90.00
Matchbook
All 28 books ▾
13
5yo · G · bOnly pairing
70428
9251.525·25.00
Matchbook
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Lexie Clarkson(7) · T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · draw 17 · combo 1/9 (11%)
5yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
01702
9851.160·60.00
Matchbook
All 28 books ▾
21
J: Cam Hardie · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 8 · combo 1/27 (4%)
4yo · G · bpOnly pairing
015650
8550.8140·140.00
Matchbook
All 27 books ▾
9
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Brian Meehan · draw 19
3yo · G · bOnly runner
30602
10050.119.5·19.50
Matchbook
All 28 books ▾
6yo · G · bvDOnly ride
005188
9450.040/1·41.00
Bet365
All 2 books ▾
19
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4 · combo 12/128 (9%)
4yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
10340
8649.844·44.00
Matchbook
All 26 books ▾
18
J: Shane Gray · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 2 · combo 4/29 (14%)
7yo · G · bpC&D
524501
8749.455·55.00
Smarkets
All 26 books ▾
17
J: David Egan · T: Ian Williams · draw 6 · combo 0/8 (0%)
4yo · G · btOnly pairing
201064
8949.319·19.00
Matchbook
All 28 books ▾
11
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Michael Bell · draw 14
4yo · G · btpOnly runner
28247
9248.544·44.00
Smarkets
All 28 books ▾
22
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Tim Easterby · draw 15
4yo · G · btC&DOnly pairing
730315
8447.575·75.00
Matchbook
All 28 books ▾
20
J: Joanna Mason · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 1
4yo · G · bOnly runner
58104
8544.5200·200.00
Smarkets
All 27 books ▾
16
J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 18 · combo 6/68 (9%)
4yo · G · bb
720002
8944.3120·120.00
Matchbook
All 28 books ▾
15
J: Charles Bishop · T: Ian Williams · draw 21 · combo 0/10 (0%)
8yo · G · bOnly pairing
0000
9042.5450·450.00
Matchbook
All 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Bet Dav Reid Finale Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)?

The Sky Bet Dav Reid Finale Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) is off at 17:20 on 22 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:20 York?

1m2½f, Class 2, Flat, 21 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:20 York?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:20 York?

The AI top-rated runner is Raammee (score 74.5, best price 4.70). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:20 York?

The market favourite is Raammee at a best price of 4.70.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org