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17:32 Kilbeggan

Ireland

Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Novice Hurdle

2m3f · Hurdle · Good · 9 runners · €7,200 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 5 · score 71.2 · +0.5 clear of next best · best 7/2·4.50
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way71.2/100 rating
Mino Des Mottes
4.50Boyle Sports
Place portion settles at 1.70 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Mino Des Mottes

Jack Kennedy · Gordon Elliott · 4yo

Top-rated of 9
score 71.2 · +0.5 clear of next best (70.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    25d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    82very strong
    OR 123 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    73strong
    Last 6: 2-0-2-1-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    28weak
    Gordon Elliott: 4/38 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketBest price 4.50 (Boyle Sports) · 3rd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
5
J: Jack Kennedy · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0 · combo 10/64 (16%)
4yo · G · bay f.tGoing 1/2
20212
12371.25/1·5.847/2·4.50
Boyle Sports · -23% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
1
J: Eoghan Finegan(5) · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 0 · combo 3/17 (18%)
5yo · G · brtCGoing 1/2
72321
11070.712/1·12.9810/1·11.00
Paddy Power · -15% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
6
J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 0 · combo 21/95 (22%)
5yo · M · b
131
11868.73/1·3.899/4·3.25
Bet365 · -16% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
4
J: Danny Gilligan · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 0 · combo 2/14 (14%)
6yo · G · b
66313
12066.510/3·4.413/1·4.00
Bet365 · -9% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
3
J: James Doyle · T: Jack Doyle · draw 0
5yo · G · btGoing 1/2Only rideOnly runner
FP41
10564.218/1·19.4714/1·15.00
Bet Victor · -23% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
9
8yo · M · bOnly rideOnly runner
64437
9858.640/1·44.1340/1·41.00
Betfair Sportsbook · -7% vs fair
All 23 books ▾
7
6yo · M · gOnly runner
60309
9344.180/1·86.9666/1·67.00
Bet Victor · -23% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
2
J: Daniel King · T: W P Mullins · draw 0
5yo · G · chtOnly pairing
15
36.215/2·8.446.8·6.80
Matchbook · -19% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
8
J: Brian Hayes · T: W P Mullins · draw 0 · combo 9/39 (23%)
6yo · M · bhFT HOnly pairing
4
34.514/1·15.5712/1·13.00
Paddy Power · -16% vs fair
All 24 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 23–27 bookmakers per horse with the 30% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Novice Hurdle?

The Follow Kilbeggan On Instagram Novice Hurdle is off at 17:32 on 21 August 2026 at Kilbeggan (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:32 Kilbeggan?

2m3f, Hurdle, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:32 Kilbeggan?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:32 Kilbeggan?

The AI top-rated runner is Mino Des Mottes (score 71.2, best price 4.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:32 Kilbeggan?

The market favourite is La Cote Fleurie at a best price of 3.25. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Mino Des Mottes.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org