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18:35 Kilbeggan

Ireland

Peadar's Bar Moate Maiden Hurdle

3m1f · Hurdle · Good · 8 runners · €7,200 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 4 · score 48.1 · +12.6 clear of next best · best 11/1·12.00
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way48.1/100 rating
L'As de Watt
12.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

L'As de Watt

Brian Hayes · Philip Fenton · 5yo

Top-rated of 8
score 48.1 · +12.6 clear of next best (35.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    68strong
    OR 102 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    21weak
    Last 6: 7-2-5-0-8
  • Trainer20% weight
    0small sample (n=2)
    Philip Fenton: 0/2 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 12.00 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
4
J: Brian Hayes · T: Philip Fenton · draw 0
5yo · G · btFT T
72508
10248.112/1·12.9212·12.00
Matchbook · -7% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
7
5yo · M · chtOnly ride
45
35.511/1·11.6210·10.00
Matchbook · -14% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
8
5yo · M · b
52P3
27.033/1·37.4633/1·34.00
BresBet · -9% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
1
J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 0 · combo 21/95 (22%)
5yo · G · b
82
25.17/2·4.5211/4·3.75
Bet365 · -17% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
2
J: Jack Kennedy · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0 · combo 10/64 (16%)
6yo · G · b
U5
19.5EVS·1.984/6·1.67
Bet365 · -15% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
5
J: Daniel King · T: John Patrick Ryan · draw 0 · combo 4/37 (11%)
4yo · G · b
15.025/1·24.5420/1·21.00
Bet365 · -14% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
3
J: Phillip Enright · T: Mark Michael McNiff · draw 0 · combo 0/12 (0%)
6yo · G · btOnly pairing
P1074
13.533/1·37.4633/1·34.00
Paddy Power · -9% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
6
J: Danny Gilligan · T: D M Christie · draw 0
6yo · M · bhtOnly pairing
3PP85
13.366/1·65.8750/1·51.00
Bet365 · -23% vs fair
All 26 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–27 bookmakers per horse with the 29% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Peadar's Bar Moate Maiden Hurdle?

The Peadar's Bar Moate Maiden Hurdle is off at 18:35 on 21 August 2026 at Kilbeggan (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:35 Kilbeggan?

3m1f, Hurdle, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:35 Kilbeggan?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:35 Kilbeggan?

The AI top-rated runner is L'As de Watt (score 48.1, best price 12.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:35 Kilbeggan?

The market favourite is Dad Sez at a best price of 1.67. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — L'As de Watt.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org