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19:05 Kilbeggan

Ireland

New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Steeplechase

3m2f · Chase · Good · 14 runners · €6,000 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 66.8 · +5.8 clear of next best · best 6/1·7.00
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way66.8/100 rating
Lecale's Diamond
7.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.20 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Lecale's Diamond

Keith Donoghue · Gavin Cromwell · 6yo

Top-rated of 14
score 66.8 · +5.8 clear of next best (61.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    88very strong
    Gavin Cromwell: 7/20 winners last 14d (35%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    35d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    63average
    OR 95 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    46below average
    Last 6: 3-6-4-1-8
MarketBest price 7.00 (Bet365) · 3rd in the market of 14.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Keith Donoghue · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0 · combo 8/65 (12%)
6yo · G · btbFT TBOnly runner
36418
9566.815/2·8.636/1·7.00
Bet365 · -19% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
1
J: Phillip Enright · T: Oliver McKiernan · draw 0 · combo 1/22 (5%)
9yo · G · bt
6F922
9861.05/1·6.235.2·5.20
Matchbook · -16% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
10
J: Patrick M O'Brien · T: John G Carr · draw 0
13yo · G · btbGoing 2/6Only runner
421321
8157.010/1·10.788/1·9.00
Paddy Power · -16% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
2
J: Mr S Connor(7) · T: Stephen Carlin · draw 0
10yo · G · btOnly runner
P5P5P
9754.750/1·48.8833/1·34.00
SportingIndex · -30% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
8
J: Danny Mullins · T: Anthony Mullins · draw 0 · combo 1/8 (13%)
8yo · G · gOnly pairing
0P984
8751.314/1·15.8211/1·12.00
Bet365 · -24% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
6
J: Conor Stone-Walsh · T: Noel C Kelly · draw 0 · combo 0/5 (0%)
7yo · G · grbOnly ride
02316
9050.69/2·5.395.2·5.20
Betfair Exchange · -4% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
7
J: Daniel King · T: John Patrick Ryan · draw 0 · combo 4/37 (11%)
8yo · G · bGoing 1/4
05114
8949.812/1·12.949/1·10.00
Bet365 · -23% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
4
J: Alex Harvey · T: John C McConnell · draw 0 · combo 2/45 (4%)
10yo · G · btOnly ride
48503
9349.610/1·10.789·9.00
Matchbook · -16% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
14
7yo · G · bOnly runner
P995
7243.550/1·48.8833/1·34.00
Bet Victor · -30% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
5
J: Ben Harvey · T: D M Christie · draw 0 · combo 1/11 (9%)
9yo · G · btpOnly ride
584U7U
9142.833/1·33.0725/1·26.00
Bet365 · -21% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
9
J: Alan King(7) · T: Mark Michael McNiff · draw 0 · combo 1/11 (9%)
10yo · G · btOnly ride
2F86
8640.920/1·21.5716/1·17.00
Bet365 · -21% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
11
8yo · M · chOnly runner
45PP8
7938.428/1·30.1920/1·21.00
Bet Victor · -30% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
12
J: Mr N McParlan · T: S McParlan · draw 0 · combo 1/8 (13%)
13yo · G · bpFT P
79P0
7835.050/1·48.8833/1·34.00
Bet Victor · -30% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
13
J: Sam Ewing · T: D E Fitzgerald · draw 0
10yo · G · brvOnly rideOnly runner
66766
7834.322/1·24.4420/1·21.00
Bet365 · -14% vs fair
All 26 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 25–27 bookmakers per horse with the 44% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Steeplechase?

The New Forest Estate & Golf Club Handicap Steeplechase is off at 19:05 on 21 August 2026 at Kilbeggan (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:05 Kilbeggan?

3m2f, Chase, 14 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:05 Kilbeggan?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:05 Kilbeggan?

The AI top-rated runner is Lecale's Diamond (score 66.8, best price 7.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:05 Kilbeggan?

The market favourite is One Way Traffic at a best price of 5.20. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Lecale's Diamond.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org