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18:50 Killarney

Ireland

T1 Healthcare Handicap

1m · Flat · Good · 10 runners · €9,000 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 47.2 · +0.8 clear of next best · best 9/2·5.50
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way47.2/100 rating
Casamorati
5.50BetWright
Place portion settles at 1.90 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Casamorati

Dylan Browne McMonagle · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 47.2 · +0.8 clear of next best (46.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 74
  • Form20% weight
    33weak
    Last 6: 6-8-9-8-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    30weak
    Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 7/57 winners last 14d (12%)
MarketBest price 5.50 (BetWright) · 2nd in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Killarney 1m

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.24
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.12
High (8–10)
IV 0.63

Today: Saga Lucia (draw 4) and Chapel Lane (draw 2) get the bias; Glitter And Glory (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 72 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 7 · combo 43/208 (21%)
3yo · G · b
68982
7447.211/2·6.629/2·5.50
BetWright · -17% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
2
J: Jamie Powell · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 4 · combo 3/34 (9%)
3yo · F · chtOnly ride
566
7546.318/1·19.8516/1·17.00
BetMGM · -14% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
5
J: Declan McDonogh · T: W McCreery · draw 2 · combo 0/9 (0%)
3yo · G · chOnly runner
73673
7245.413/2·7.286/1·7.00
Bet365 · -4% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
6
J: Julian Pietropaolo(7) · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6 · combo 0/8 (0%)
3yo · F · bpOnly ride
078106
7044.97/1·7.946/1·7.00
BetWright · -12% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
4
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 9 · combo 19/157 (12%)
3yo · F · bp
152357
7441.510/1·11.2510/1·11.00
Bet365 · -2% vs fair
All 26 books ▾
1
J: Luke McAteer · T: David Marnane · draw 5 · combo 5/66 (8%)
3yo · G · chvFT V
613550
7541.412/1·13.2310/1·11.00
Bet365 · -17% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
10
J: Ben Coen · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 8
3yo · G · btOnly runner
44170
6241.328/1·27.7922/1·23.00
Bet365 · -17% vs fair
All 25 books ▾
8
3yo · C · bOnly runner
041624
6440.615/2·8.606/1·7.00
BetMGM · -19% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
7
J: Leigh Roche · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 10 · combo 2/19 (11%)
3yo · G · bDOnly ride
001300
6837.818/1·19.8516/1·17.00
BetMGM · -14% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
9
J: Andrew Slattery · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 3 · combo 3/89 (3%)
3yo · G · btpFT TP
6609
6331.75/1·5.954/1·5.00
Bet365 · -16% vs fair
All 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 25–27 bookmakers per horse with the 32% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the T1 Healthcare Handicap?

The T1 Healthcare Handicap is off at 18:50 on 21 August 2026 at Killarney (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:50 Killarney?

1m, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:50 Killarney?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:50 Killarney?

The AI top-rated runner is Casamorati (score 47.2, best price 5.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:50 Killarney?

The market favourite is Sancerre Rock at a best price of 5.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Casamorati.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org