20:20 Killarney

Ireland

HR Buddy (Q.R.) Race

2m1f · Flat · Good · 8 runners · €9,600 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Samui

No. 3 · score 56.6 · +4.1 clear of next best · best 13/8·2.64

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way29.0/100 rating

Glowing Account

13.00Coral

Place portion settles at 3.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Samui

Ms Hannah Smullen(7) · Gordon Elliott · 7yo

Top-rated of 8

score 56.6 · +4.1 clear of next best (52.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
70strong
Last 6: 5-3-2-2
Ratings50% weight
69strong
OR 104 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
28weak
Gordon Elliott: 4/38 winners last 14d (11%)
Freshness10% weight
25weak
405d since last run (very long layoff)

MarketBest price 2.64 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
1Murat
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(5)
2Ragmans Corner 4Can Happen 5Glowing Account 6Silas Marner 8Supreme Law
Unknown(2)
3Samui 7Simpletwistoffaith

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	SamuiPick J: Ms Hannah Smullen(7) · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 7 7yo · G · btpOnly rideOnly runner	5322	11-07	104	—	—	56.6	15/8·2.84	2.64·2.64 Matchbook · -7% vs fair All 25 books ▾ Matchbook2.64·2.64Betfair Sportsbook11/8·2.38Paddy Power11/8·2.38 Spreadex5/4·2.25 Unibet5/4·2.25Virgin Bet5/4·2.25William Hill5/4·2.25 Bet Victor5/4·2.25 Bet3655/4·2.25 BetMGM5/4·2.25 BetTom5/4·2.25 BetWright5/4·2.25 Betano5/4·2.25 Betfred5/4·2.25 Boyle Sports5/4·2.25 BresBet5/4·2.25 Coral5/4·2.25 Dragon Bet5/4·2.25 LiveScore Bet5/4·2.25 Quinn Bet5/4·2.25 SportingIndex5/4·2.25 Star Sports6/5·2.20 Midnite11/10·2.10 SmarketsSBK11/10·2.10 Betfair Exchange1.43·1.43
2	Ragmans Corner J: Mr Finian Maguire · T: Gerard Keane · draw 6 7yo · G · brOnly ride	33308	11-07	81	—	—	52.5	7/2·4.42	3.65·3.65 Matchbook · -17% vs fair All 24 books ▾ Matchbook3.65·3.65Midnite5/2·3.50 Bet Victor5/2·3.50 Bet3655/2·3.50 BetTom5/2·3.50 Betano5/2·3.50 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50 Coral5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50 Unibet5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50William Hill5/2·3.50 Paddy Power5/2·3.50 BetMGM12/5·3.40 BetWright12/5·3.40 BresBet12/5·3.40 Dragon Bet12/5·3.40 Betfred9/4·3.25 Star Sports9/4·3.25Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.25SmarketsSBK11/5·3.20 Betfair Exchange1.12·1.12
1	Murat J: Mr H C Swan · T: Peter Lawlor · draw 5 7yo · G · bOnly ride	71	11-11	86	—	—	51.5	3/1·4.10	11/4·3.75 Bet365 · -9% vs fair All 25 books ▾ Bet36511/4·3.75Matchbook3.55·3.55Betfair Exchange3.4·3.40 Bet Victor9/4·3.25 BetMGM9/4·3.25 BetWright9/4·3.25 Betano9/4·3.25 Betfred9/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25 BresBet9/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25 Dragon Bet9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25 Quinn Bet9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25 William Hill9/4·3.25 BetTom85/40·3.13 Unibet85/40·3.13 LiveScore Bet2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00Virgin Bet2/1·3.00Paddy Power2/1·3.00 SmarketsSBK15/8·2.88Betfair Sportsbook15/8·2.88
5	Glowing Account J: Miss J Townend · T: W P Mullins · draw 4 · combo 0/7 (0%) 9yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	0	11-04	—	—	—	29.0	16/1·16.42	12/1·13.00 Coral · -21% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Coral12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00William Hill12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Smarkets9.6·9.60SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange4.2·4.20Matchbook4.2·4.20
4	Can Happen J: Miss Georgie Benson(7) · T: Peter John Flood · draw 2 · combo 0/5 (0%) 6yo · G · btGoing 1/3Only rideOnly runner	2	11-04	—	—	—	25.6	17/2·9.47	8/1·9.00 Bet365 · -5% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Bet3658/1·9.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 Star Sports13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Paddy Power13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 BresBet13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Smarkets5.9·5.90SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50Matchbook4.6·4.60Betfair Exchange4.6·4.60
7	Simpletwistoffaith J: Mr K O'Neill(7) · T: John F O'Neill · draw 8 9yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	080	11-04	—	—	—	25.2	250/1·253.87	200/1·201.00 Midnite · -21% vs fair All 25 books ▾ Midnite200/1·201.00 Bet Victor200/1·201.00 Bet365200/1·201.00 BetMGM200/1·201.00 BetTom200/1·201.00 BetWright200/1·201.00 Betano200/1·201.00 Betfred200/1·201.00 Boyle Sports200/1·201.00 BresBet200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00 Dragon Bet200/1·201.00 Ladbrokes200/1·201.00 Quinn Bet200/1·201.00 Unibet200/1·201.00 William Hill200/1·201.00Betfair Sportsbook200/1·201.00Paddy Power200/1·201.00 Star Sports150/1·151.00Virgin Bet150/1·151.00SmarketsSBK125/1·126.00 SportingIndex125/1·126.00 Spreadex125/1·126.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00Matchbook1.11·1.11
8	Supreme Law J: Mr J G Chute(7) · T: Sabrina J Harty · draw 3 7yo · G · bOnly ride	0009	11-04	40	—	—	23.8	250/1·253.87	200/1·201.00 Bet Victor · -21% vs fair All 23 books ▾ Bet Victor200/1·201.00 Bet365200/1·201.00 BetMGM200/1·201.00 BetWright200/1·201.00 Betano200/1·201.00 Betfred200/1·201.00 Boyle Sports200/1·201.00 BresBet200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00 Dragon Bet200/1·201.00 Midnite200/1·201.00 Quinn Bet200/1·201.00 Unibet200/1·201.00 William Hill200/1·201.00Betfair Sportsbook200/1·201.00Paddy Power200/1·201.00 Star Sports150/1·151.00Virgin Bet150/1·151.00SmarketsSBK125/1·126.00 SportingIndex125/1·126.00 Spreadex125/1·126.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00Matchbook1.11·1.11
6	Silas Marner J: Ms M Kelly(7) · T: Sabrina J Harty · draw 1 9yo · G · bOnly ride	0009	11-04	48	—	—	23.5	250/1·253.87	200/1·201.00 Betano · -21% vs fair All 25 books ▾ Betano200/1·201.00 Bet Victor200/1·201.00 Bet365200/1·201.00 BetMGM200/1·201.00 BetTom200/1·201.00 BetWright200/1·201.00 Betfred200/1·201.00 Boyle Sports200/1·201.00 BresBet200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00 Dragon Bet200/1·201.00 Ladbrokes200/1·201.00 Midnite200/1·201.00 Quinn Bet200/1·201.00 Unibet200/1·201.00 William Hill200/1·201.00Betfair Sportsbook200/1·201.00Paddy Power200/1·201.00Virgin Bet150/1·151.00Star Sports150/1·151.00 SmarketsSBK125/1·126.00 SportingIndex125/1·126.00 Spreadex125/1·126.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00Matchbook1.11·1.11

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 23–27 bookmakers per horse with the 26% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the HR Buddy (Q.R.) Race?

The HR Buddy (Q.R.) Race is off at 20:20 on 21 August 2026 at Killarney (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 20:20 Killarney?

2m1f, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 20:20 Killarney?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 20:20 Killarney?

The AI top-rated runner is Samui (score 56.6, best price 2.64). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 20:20 Killarney?

The market favourite is Samui at a best price of 2.64.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org