15:19 Newmarket (July)

Hopeful Stakes (Sponsored By Blackwell Earthmoving) (Listed Race)

6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £34,026 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Words Of Truth

No. 7 · score 80.4 · +13.3 clear of next best · best 3/1·3.90

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way65.5/100 rating

Elarak

7.00Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: ElarakDiffers from our pick

Elarak arrives here on a progressive profile that suggests his rating of 107 may understate his current ability, and on good-to-firm ground over six furlongs at Newmarket he looks capable of outrunning his position in the pecking order. Quinault is the top-rated runner on 113, six points clear of our selection on paper, and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Prince Of India and Words Of Truth also pose genuine threats in what is a competitive Class 1 field. The case for Elarak rests on trajectory rather than established superiority, and connections will be hoping his upward curve continues at the right moment. The selection is Elarak.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Words Of Truth

Connor Planas · Charlie Appleby · 3yo

Top-rated of 8

score 80.4 · +13.3 clear of next best (67.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100very strong
Charlie Appleby: 11/26 winners last 14d (42%)
Form20% weight
86very strong
Last 6: 1-1-3-2-1
Ratings50% weight
73strong
OR 110
Freshness10% weight
65strong
70d since last run (rusty)

MarketBest price 3.90 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(2)
3Elarak Royal Zabeel
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(2)
2Dubai Bling 4Prince Of India
Unknown(4)
1Caburn 5Quinault 7Words Of Truth 8Midnight Tango

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–3)

IV 0.95

Mid (4–6)

IV 0.80

High (7–8)

IV 1.24

Today: Prince Of India (draw 8) and Elarak (draw 7) get the bias; Caburn (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 92 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Best
7	Words Of TruthPick J: Connor Planas · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 3 · combo 4/20 (20%) 3yo · G · chOn last winning markOnly runner	11321	9-03	110	—	—	80.4	3.9·3.90 Matchbook All 28 books ▾ Matchbook3.9·3.90Betfair Exchange3.85·3.85Smarkets3.8·3.80SmarketsSBK13/5·3.60 BetWright9/4·3.25 BresBet9/4·3.25 Dragon Bet9/4·3.25 7Bet9/4·3.25 Bet Victor9/4·3.25 Bet3659/4·3.25 BetMGM9/4·3.25 BetTom9/4·3.25 Betano9/4·3.25 Betfred9/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25 Ladbrokes9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.25LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25 Quinn Bet9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25Virgin Bet9/4·3.25William Hill9/4·3.25 Unibet9/4·3.25 Paddy Power9/4·3.25 Star Sports9/4·3.25
4	Prince Of India J: Pat Dobbs · T: Marco Botti · draw 8 4yo · C · btbOnly pairing	502462	9-03	111	—	—	67.1	3.4·3.40 Betfair Exchange All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3.4·3.40Smarkets3.4·3.40Matchbook3.4·3.40SmarketsSBK9/4·3.25 7Bet2/1·3.00 Bet Victor2/1·3.00 Bet3652/1·3.00 BetMGM2/1·3.00 BetTom2/1·3.00 BetWright2/1·3.00 Betano2/1·3.00 Betfred2/1·3.00 Boyle Sports2/1·3.00 BresBet2/1·3.00 Coral2/1·3.00 Dragon Bet2/1·3.00 Ladbrokes2/1·3.00 LiveScore Bet2/1·3.00 Midnite2/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00 SportingIndex2/1·3.00 Spreadex2/1·3.00Virgin Bet2/1·3.00William Hill2/1·3.00Betfair Sportsbook2/1·3.00Paddy Power2/1·3.00 Unibet2/1·3.00
3	Elarak J: David Probert · T: Charles Hills · draw 7 4yo · G · bOnly runner	14423	9-03	105	—	—	65.5	7·7.00 Smarkets All 28 books ▾ Smarkets7·7.00Betfair Exchange7·7.00Matchbook7·7.00Midnite11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00
—	Royal Zabeel J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Michael Appleby · draw 1 · combo 2/31 (6%) 5yo · G · bCDGoing 1/3Only ride	450101	9-03	113	—	—	60.7	1.1·1.10 Matchbook
1	Caburn J: Dylan Hogan · T: James Tate · draw 6 4yo · G · grpOnly pairing	18306	9-03	98	—	—	58.5	44·44.00 Matchbook All 28 books ▾ Matchbook44·44.00Smarkets36·36.00Midnite33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook30/1·31.00Paddy Power30/1·31.00 Betano28/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 BresBet25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Betfair Exchange21·21.00
5	Quinault J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Stuart Williams · draw 5 6yo · G · bht	213600	9-03	107	—	—	54.3	7/1·8.00 Virgin Bet All 28 books ▾ Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Smarkets7.4·7.40William Hill6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Paddy Power6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00Matchbook6.8·6.80Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60 Betano11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50 Betfred5/1·6.00
2	Dubai Bling J: Joe Leavy · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 2 4yo · G · bpGoing 1/3Only runner	120100	9-03	104	—	—	50.9	11.5·11.50 Matchbook All 28 books ▾ Matchbook11.5·11.50Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50Smarkets10.5·10.50SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 Unibet15/2·8.50 7Bet15/2·8.50 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 BresBet15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50William Hill15/2·8.50 Paddy Power15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00
8	Midnight Tango J: Ashley Lewis · T: Ed Walker · draw 4 · combo 12/43 (28%) 3yo · F · bOnly runner	46020	8-09	103	—	—	49.6	14.5·14.50 Matchbook All 26 books ▾ Matchbook14.5·14.50Smarkets14.5·14.50SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50 BetTom10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00William Hill10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Hopeful Stakes (Sponsored By Blackwell Earthmoving) (Listed Race)?

The Hopeful Stakes (Sponsored By Blackwell Earthmoving) (Listed Race) is off at 15:19 on 22 August 2026 at Newmarket (July) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:19 Newmarket (July)?

6f, Class 1, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:19 Newmarket (July)?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:19 Newmarket (July)?

The AI top-rated runner is Words Of Truth (score 80.4, best price 3.90). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:19 Newmarket (July)?

The market favourite is Royal Zabeel at a best price of 1.10. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Words Of Truth.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org