15:15 Chester

Powells Jewellery EBF Fillies' Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 7 runners · £10,308 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 7-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Bated Benevolence

No. 1 · score 64.0 · +5.8 clear of next best · best 4/1·4.90

Drawn 2, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Takaaful

6.8·6.80 Matchbook · +9% vs fair (consensus 6.22)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way64.0/100 rating

Bated Benevolence

4.90Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Kentucky RainDiffers from our pick

Kentucky Rain heads this seven-runner Class 2 sprint at Chester rated narrowly ahead of Nicely, with Bated Benevolence and The Can Can Queen also posing threats on a good-to-soft surface that should suit a range of profiles in the field. Nicely, six pounds behind on our figures, is probably the most credible threat given the relatively modest gap, while Bated Benevolence and The Can Can Queen will need to outrun their ratings to threaten at the business end. The confidence here is limited, and this is a competitive enough heat that the selection will need to be at its best, but Kentucky Rain's edge at the top of the ratings makes the case. Kentucky Rain is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Bated Benevolence

Marco Ghiani · Marco Botti · 2yo

Top-rated of 7

score 64.0 · +5.8 clear of next best (58.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
36d since last run (fresh)
Trainer20% weight
68strong
Marco Botti: 6/22 winners last 14d (27%)
Form20% weight
67strong
Last 6: 1-0-1
Ratings50% weight
57average
OR 86

MarketBest price 4.90 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
5Nicely 7The Can Can Queen
Prominent(3)
1Bated Benevolence 3Jazz Queen 6Takaaful
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(1)
4Kentucky Rain
Unknown(1)
2Gladys Pugh

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Chester 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).

Low (1–3)

IV 1.38

Mid (4–5)

IV 0.89

High (6–7)

IV 0.69

Today: Bated Benevolence (draw 2) and Nicely (draw 1) get the bias; The Can Can Queen (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 88 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Bated BenevolencePick J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marco Botti · draw 2 · combo 9/52 (17%) 2yo · F · brDOnly runner	101	9-02	86	—	—	64.0	4/1·4.98	4.9·4.90 Matchbook · -2% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook4.9·4.90Smarkets4.7·4.70Betfair Exchange4.6·4.60 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 BetWright3/1·4.00 BresBet3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 7Bet3/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00Paddy Power3/1·4.00 Bet36511/4·3.75 BetMGM11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75Coral11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 Star Sports11/4·3.75 Unibet11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75
4	Kentucky Rain J: Jason Watson · T: Lemos De Souza · draw 4 2yo · F · bOnly pairing	2014	9-02	84	—	—	58.2	7/2·4.67	3.8·3.80 Smarkets · -19% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Smarkets3.8·3.80Betano11/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 Betfred11/4·3.75 Midnite11/4·3.75 SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75 Coral11/4·3.75 Spreadex11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 BresBet11/4·3.75 Dragon Bet11/4·3.75 7Bet11/4·3.75 Bet36511/4·3.75 BetWright11/4·3.75 William Hill11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 SportingIndex11/4·3.75 Paddy Power11/4·3.75 Unibet11/4·3.75Matchbook3.75·3.75Betfair Exchange3.7·3.70 BetMGM5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.50
5	Nicely J: Hector Crouch · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 1 2yo · F · chDOnly runner	216	9-02	89	—	—	54.9	10/3·4.36	11/4·3.75 Bet365 · -14% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Bet36511/4·3.75 Unibet11/4·3.75 Midnite11/4·3.75Matchbook3.6·3.60Betfair Exchange3.55·3.55Smarkets3.55·3.55Bet Victor5/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50 Betfred5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 Betano5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 William Hill5/2·3.50 7Bet5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50 BetTom5/2·3.50 BresBet5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50 Coral5/2·3.50 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.50Paddy Power5/2·3.50 SmarketsSBK12/5·3.40 Star Sports9/4·3.25
7	The Can Can Queen J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 7 · combo 2/13 (15%) 2yo · F · bClass drop	51530	9-02	85	—	—	52.3	10/1·10.58	16·16.00 Smarkets · +51% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Smarkets16·16.00SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00 Betfair Exchange15·15.00Matchbook15·15.00Bet36510/1·11.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 William Hill17/2·9.50 BetMGM8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 BetTom15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 BresBet15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.507Bet15/2·8.50 Paddy Power15/2·8.50 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 Star Sports7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50
3	Jazz Queen J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 6 2yo · F · bOnly pairing	624546	9-02	66	—	—	39.4	66/1·63.49	85·85.00 Matchbook · +34% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook85·85.00Betfair Exchange75·75.00 Bet36566/1·67.00 Coral50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 7Bet50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 BresBet50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 BetWright50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 Betfred50/1·51.00 Paddy Power50/1·51.00 William Hill50/1·51.00Smarkets48·48.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00
6	Takaaful J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 3 · combo 23/108 (21%) 2yo · F · b	4	9-02	—	—	—	30.5	5/1·6.22	6.8·6.80 Matchbook · +9% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook6.8·6.80Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60Smarkets6.6·6.60SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 William Hill9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 7Bet4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Star Sports7/2·4.50
2	Gladys Pugh J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 5 · combo 4/75 (5%) 2yo · F · b	52	9-02	—	—	—	24.4	11/1·11.83	18·18.00 Matchbook · +52% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook18·18.00Smarkets16.5·16.50SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00 Betfair Exchange12·12.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 BetTom17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50Virgin Bet17/2·9.50Paddy Power17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.007Bet8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 25% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Powells Jewellery EBF Fillies' Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)?

The Powells Jewellery EBF Fillies' Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 15:15 on 22 August 2026 at Chester (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:15 Chester?

6f, Class 2, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:15 Chester?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:15 Chester?

The AI top-rated runner is Bated Benevolence (score 64.0, best price 4.90). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:15 Chester?

The market favourite is Nicely at a best price of 3.75. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Bated Benevolence.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org