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15:50 Chester

British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners · £10,308 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 4 · score 28.0 · +1.0 clear of next best · best 6/5·2.18

Drawn 1, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus
11.5·11.50 Matchbook · +16% vs fair (consensus 9.89)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way26.0/100 rating
Angel Ceecee
11.50Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Ivory Moon

Billy Loughnane · George Boughey · 2yo

Top-rated of 7
score 28.0 · +1.0 clear of next best (27.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    65strong
    George Boughey: 7/27 winners last 14d (26%)
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: first run
  • Freshness10% weight
    50average
    no recent-run data
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 2.18 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Chester 5f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.38
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.89
High (6–7)
IV 0.69

Today: Ivory Moon (draw 1) and Mollisha (draw 2) get the bias; Dadawada (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 88 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
4
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 1 · combo 23/108 (21%)
2yo · F · gr
28.06/4·2.472.18·2.18
Betfair Exchange · -12% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
2
2yo · F · bOnly runner
5
27.066/1·63.0380·80.00
Matchbook · +27% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: K. R. Burke · draw 7 · combo 5/35 (14%)
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
26.09/1·9.8911.5·11.50
Matchbook · +16% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
7
J: Tom Eaves · T: Brian Ellison · draw 2
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
3
24.04/1·4.944.7·4.70
Matchbook · -5% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3 · combo 4/47 (9%)
2yo · F · ch
67
21.89/1·9.898/1·9.00
Bet365 · -9% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
6
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: K. R. Burke · draw 5
2yo · F · chOnly pairing
77
21.033/1·35.8440·40.00
Smarkets · +12% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
3
J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 4 · combo 5/48 (10%)
2yo · F · grOnly pairing
8
19.56/1·6.807.6·7.60
Matchbook · +12% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 24% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)?

The British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 15:50 on 22 August 2026 at Chester (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:50 Chester?

5f, Class 4, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:50 Chester?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:50 Chester?

The AI top-rated runner is Ivory Moon (score 28.0, best price 2.18). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:50 Chester?

The market favourite is Ivory Moon at a best price of 2.18.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org