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16:25 Chester

Kore Systems Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners · £7,731 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 1 · score 54.0 · +9.3 clear of next best · best 11/4·3.75

Drawn 2, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus
15.5·15.50 Matchbook · +4% vs fair (consensus 14.96)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Big FunDiffers from our pick

Big Fun heads this field on ratings, narrowly ahead of Hanney Girl, and has enough class on paper to make the running count over five furlongs on good-to-soft ground at Chester, though confidence is modest and this is by no means a foregone conclusion. Hanney Girl poses the most credible threat and will need watching closely, while Alfa Duplicate and U S S Charleston are not without claims either. The selection is Big Fun.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

U S S Charleston

Marco Ghiani · Lemos De Souza · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 54.0 · +9.3 clear of next best (44.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    52average
    OR 78 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    Lemos De Souza: 2/11 winners last 14d (18%)
  • Form20% weight
    45below average
    Last 6: 1-5-0-5-2-4
MarketBest price 3.75 (Bet365) · 2nd in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Chester 5f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.38).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.38
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.89
High (6–7)
IV 0.69

Today: U S S Charleston (draw 2) and Alfa Duplicate (draw 1) get the bias; Dragon Spin (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 88 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
1
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Lemos De Souza · draw 2
3yo · C · bOnly pairing
150524
7854.03/1·4.0511/4·3.75
Bet365 · -7% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
4
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 1
3yo · F · bOnly runner
316632
7544.611/4·3.749/4·3.25
LiveScore Bet · -13% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
2
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 5
3yo · G · b
17476
7843.716/1·17.4524·24.00
Betfair Exchange · +38% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
7
3yo · F · bDOnly runner
316140
6840.214/1·14.9620·20.00
Matchbook · +34% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
3
J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Patrick Morris · draw 7
3yo · G · btOnly runner
987504
7639.710/1·10.6015.5·15.50
Smarkets · +46% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4
3yo · F · bt
753994
7339.44/1·4.9910/3·4.33
Virgin Bet · -13% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
6
J: Faleh Bughanaim · T: Ian Williams · draw 3
3yo · G · bClass dropOnly pairing
443600
7237.314/1·14.9615.5·15.50
Matchbook · +4% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 25% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Kore Systems Handicap Stakes?

The Kore Systems Handicap Stakes is off at 16:25 on 22 August 2026 at Chester (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:25 Chester?

5f, Class 4, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:25 Chester?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:25 Chester?

The AI top-rated runner is U S S Charleston (score 54.0, best price 3.75). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:25 Chester?

The market favourite is Alfa Duplicate at a best price of 3.25. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — U S S Charleston.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org