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Celebrating National Racehorse Week Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)

2m1f · Hurdle · Class 4 · Good · 6 runners · £5,281 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 1 · score 85.7 · +13.3 clear of next best · best 2/1·2.98
Best value vs consensus
300·300.00 Smarkets · +25% vs fair (consensus 240.44)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

King's Scholar

Tom Hutsby(10) · Olly Murphy · 5yo

Top-rated of 6
score 85.7 · +13.3 clear of next best (72.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=5)
    Olly Murphy: 2/5 winners last 14d (40%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    91very strong
    Last 6: 4-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    82very strong
    OR 123 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    86d since last run (rusty)
MarketBest price 2.98 (Smarkets) · 2nd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
1
J: Tom Hutsby(10) · T: Olly Murphy · draw 0
5yo · G · btOnly rideOnly runner
411
12385.76/4·2.512.98·2.98
Smarkets · +19% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
2
J: Harry Skelton · T: Dan Skelton · draw 0 · combo 52/146 (36%)
4yo · G · btD
U2412
10572.47/2·4.497/2·4.50
Bet365
All 27 books ▾
5
J: Harry Cobden · T: Faye Bramley · draw 0 · combo 5/15 (33%)
5yo · M · b
45231
28.42/1·2.9913/8·2.63
Paddy Power · -12% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
3
J: Bryan Carver · T: D Summersby · draw 0 · combo 0/12 (0%)
5yo · G · b
55263
27.9100/1·120.82180·180.00
Smarkets · +49% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
4
J: J M Quinlan · T: Nick Scholfield · draw 0
7yo · G · chOnly ride
59094
24.928/1·31.1036·36.00
Smarkets · +16% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
6
J: James Davies · T: Nigel Hawke · draw 0 · combo 0/6 (0%)
4yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
7678
11.3250/1·240.44300·300.00
Smarkets · +25% vs fair
All 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27 bookmakers per horse with the 20% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Celebrating National Racehorse Week Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race)?

The Celebrating National Racehorse Week Novices' Hurdle Race (GBB Race) is off at 13:55 on 22 August 2026 at Newton Abbot (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:55 Newton Abbot?

2m1f, Class 4, Hurdle, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:55 Newton Abbot?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:55 Newton Abbot?

The AI top-rated runner is King's Scholar (score 85.7, best price 2.98). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:55 Newton Abbot?

The market favourite is Whermyrosemarygoes at a best price of 2.63. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — King's Scholar.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org