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Torbay Weekly Handicap Hurdle Race

2m2½f · Hurdle · Class 5 · Good · 10 runners · £4,489 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 11 · score 58.1 · +2.1 clear of next best · best 11/4·3.65
Best value vs consensus
9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK · +10% vs fair (consensus 9.10)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way56.0/100 rating
Saucats
8.20Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Lakefield FlyerDiffers from our pick

Lakefield Flyer holds a narrow but clear edge over the two joint-rated rivals Hillsin and Son Of Hypnos, sitting six pounds ahead of that pair and nine clear of Uncle Remus, which represents a meaningful advantage at this level over an extended trip on good ground at Newton Abbot. Hillsin and Son Of Hypnos are the most likely dangers given their shared rating, and Uncle Remus cannot be entirely dismissed if the pace suits, but Lakefield Flyer's superior rating in a Class 5 contest of this nature makes the case for a confident selection. The vote goes to Lakefield Flyer.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mi Sueno

Harry Reed · Nick Scholfield · 7yo

Top-rated of 10
score 58.1 · +2.1 clear of next best (56.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    34d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    Nick Scholfield: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    56average
    Last 6: 2-P-4-5-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    52average
    OR 78
MarketBest price 3.65 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
11
J: Harry Reed · T: Nick Scholfield · draw 0 · combo 3/14 (21%)
7yo · G · bpC&DOnly pairing
2P451
7858.13/1·3.903.65·3.65
Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
8
J: Ben Godfrey · T: Joe Tickle · draw 0
5yo · G · btpC&DGoing 1/4Only rideOnly runner
255123
8256.08/1·9.108.2·8.20
Smarkets · -10% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
4
J: Jack Stenhouse(7) · T: Ryan Chapman · draw 0
9yo · G · btvOnly rideOnly runner
P3774
9455.822/1·22.0930·30.00
Smarkets · +36% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
J: Harry Skelton · T: Dan Skelton · draw 0 · combo 52/146 (36%)
8yo · G · bFirst after wind op
6567P
9655.7
7
J: Brendan Powell · T: Joe Tizzard · draw 0 · combo 0/9 (0%)
7yo · G · btFirst after wind opOnly rideOnly runner
47745
8853.88/1·9.1013/2·7.50
Paddy Power · -17% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
10
J: Paul O'Brien · T: Helen Nelmes · draw 0
5yo · G · btOnly rideOnly runner
55833
7953.610/1·11.058/1·9.00
Midnite · -18% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
9
J: Bryan Carver · T: D Summersby · draw 0 · combo 0/12 (0%)
7yo · G · bbFT B
25927
8052.422/1·22.0916/1·17.00
Star Sports · -23% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
1
J: Liam Harrison · T: Fergal O'Brien · draw 0 · combo 3/20 (15%)
8yo · G · btClass drop9lb below win markOnly rideOnly runner
527138
9852.18/1·9.109/1·10.00
SmarketsSBK · +10% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
3
J: James Turner(5) · T: Alan Jones · draw 0
8yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
10PP7
9550.528/1·29.8929·29.00
Smarkets · -3% vs fair
All 27 books ▾
5
J: Sam Twiston-Davies · T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies · draw 0 · combo 1/22 (5%)
8yo · G · bOnly pairing
2P366
9144.716/1·16.8916/1·17.00
Paddy Power
All 27 books ▾
6
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Henrietta C Knight · draw 0
5yo · G · brOnly runner
40398
8942.16/1·7.1511/2·6.50
Bet365 · -9% vs fair
All 26 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–27 bookmakers per horse with the 30% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Torbay Weekly Handicap Hurdle Race?

The Torbay Weekly Handicap Hurdle Race is off at 15:40 on 22 August 2026 at Newton Abbot (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:40 Newton Abbot?

2m2½f, Class 5, Hurdle, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:40 Newton Abbot?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:40 Newton Abbot?

The AI top-rated runner is Mi Sueno (score 58.1, best price 3.65). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:40 Newton Abbot?

The market favourite is Mi Sueno at a best price of 3.65.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org