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16:50 Redcar

Watch Racing TV Now Selling Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 11 runners · £4,320 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 2 · score 44.2 · +4.0 clear of next best · best 6/5·2.20
Best value vs consensus
19·19.00 Matchbook · +9% vs fair (consensus 17.40)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way40.2/100 rating
Amantha
5.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: BigaloAgrees with our pick

Bigalo arrives at Redcar on a progressive profile that gives grounds for optimism despite sitting a pound behind Penny Arcade on ratings, with the clock backing up what the form suggests about a horse still moving in the right direction. Penny Arcade is the chief threat as the top-rated runner in the field and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Amantha and Senorita Luna will also need watching in a competitive Class 5 over seven furlongs on good ground. The three unrated runners add a degree of uncertainty, though on balance the evidence points one way. Bigalo is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Bigalo

Oisin McSweeney · Roger Fell · 2yo

Top-rated of 11
score 44.2 · +4.0 clear of next best (40.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 6-9-7-2-2-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 67 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    0weak
    Roger Fell: 0/19 winners last 14d (0%)
MarketBest price 2.20 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Redcar 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.06
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.98
High (9–11)
IV 0.95

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 127 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
2
BigaloPick
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Roger Fell · draw 6 · combo 1/25 (4%)
2yo · G · b
697222
6744.213/8·2.686/5·2.20
Bet365 · -18% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: Connor Beasley · T: Brian Ellison · draw 8 · combo 1/5 (20%)
2yo · F · bDGoing 1/4Only runner
612335
6040.25/1·6.025.2·5.20
Betfair Exchange · -14% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
10
2yo · F · bOnly runner
42376
6538.99/1·10.0421·21.00
Matchbook · +109% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
3
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 · combo 5/115 (4%)
2yo · G · grClass drop
34
5838.816/1·16.0625·25.00
Matchbook · +56% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
11
J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Marco Botti · draw 11
2yo · F · bClass dropOnly runner
76
27.225/1·25.4340·40.00
Matchbook · +57% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
7
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: K. R. Burke · draw 7
2yo · F · bClass drop
68
23.740/1·38.8236·36.00
Matchbook · -7% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
4
J: Harry Russell · T: Ollie Pears · draw 2 · combo 2/30 (7%)
2yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
19.516/1·17.4019·19.00
Matchbook · +9% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
8
2yo · F · b
19.028/1·30.7955·55.00
Matchbook · +79% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
9
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 4 · combo 3/73 (4%)
2yo · F · b
19.010/1·10.7120·20.00
Matchbook · +87% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 3 · combo 7/78 (9%)
2yo · G · bClass dropOnly pairing
9
12.228/1·28.1122/1·23.00
Bet365 · -18% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
6
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Mark Walford · draw 1 · combo 1/14 (7%)
2yo · G · chClass dropOnly pairing
99
9.766/1·68.27110·110.00
Matchbook · +61% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 34% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Watch Racing TV Now Selling Stakes?

The Watch Racing TV Now Selling Stakes is off at 16:50 on 22 August 2026 at Redcar (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:50 Redcar?

7f, Class 5, Flat, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:50 Redcar?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:50 Redcar?

The AI top-rated runner is Bigalo (score 44.2, best price 2.20). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:50 Redcar?

The market favourite is Bigalo at a best price of 2.20.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org