18:30 Redcar

Bakers Tailoring Handicap Stakes (Div II)

1m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 9 runners · £4,187 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Always Blue

No. 4 · score 50.1 · +3.3 clear of next best · best 3/1·3.95

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way46.8/100 rating

Boubyan

9.20Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Chesneys CharmDiffers from our pick

Chesneys Charm heads this nine-runner Class 5 contest over ten furlongs at Redcar on good ground narrowly ahead of the field on form, and with the extra stamina that a mile and a quarter demands he ought to be able to assert as the race develops. Always Blue, three pounds behind, represents the most obvious threat and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Boubyan and Yafaarr, both a further four pounds adrift, will need to produce career-best efforts to get involved. The confidence is not absolute, but Chesneys Charm's edge on our ratings makes him the one to be on, and he is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Always Blue

Sean D Bowen · Harriet Bethell · 3yo

Top-rated of 9

score 50.1 · +3.3 clear of next best (46.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
22d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
51average
Last 6: 2-5-4-3
Ratings50% weight
47below average
OR 70 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
33small sample (n=8)
Harriet Bethell: 1/8 winners last 14d (13%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard

MarketBest price 3.95 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(3)
2Yafaarr 4Always Blue 8Ceinture d'Orion
Mid-division(2)
3Cosmos Raj 9Whiskey Pete
Hold-up / closers(2)
5Boubyan 7Sweet Kiss
Unknown(2)
1Chesneys Charm 6Adiada

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Redcar 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 1.12

Mid (4–6)

IV 0.96

High (7–9)

IV 0.91

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
4	Always BluePick J: Sean D Bowen · T: Harriet Bethell · draw 6 · combo 4/13 (31%) 3yo · F · chOnly runner	2543	9-09	70	—	—	50.1	7/2·4.45	3.95·3.95 Matchbook · -11% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook3.95·3.95Bet36511/4·3.75 Unibet5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50 7Bet5/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50 BetTom5/2·3.50 Betfred5/2·3.50 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50 Coral5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50 Midnite5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50William Hill5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.50Paddy Power5/2·3.50Smarkets3.45·3.45BetWright12/5·3.40 BresBet12/5·3.40 Dragon Bet12/5·3.40 SmarketsSBK12/5·3.40 Bet Victor9/4·3.25 Betano9/4·3.25 Betfair Exchange2.66·2.66
5	Boubyan J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Michael Appleby · draw 8 4yo · G · bpOnly runner	025433	9-09	63	—	—	46.8	9/1·10.17	9.2·9.20 Matchbook · -9% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook9.2·9.20Paddy Power15/2·8.50Smarkets8.2·8.20Unibet7/1·8.00 7Bet7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00William Hill7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Betfair Exchange4.5·4.50
8	Ceinture d'Orion J: David Nolan · T: David O'Meara · draw 5 · combo 2/34 (6%) 3yo · F · ch	46343	9-03	64	—	—	45.8	11/2·6.35	5.9·5.90 Matchbook · -7% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook5.9·5.907Bet4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00William Hill4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00Smarkets4.9·4.90SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Betfair Exchange4.1·4.10
3	Cosmos Raj J: Billy Garritty · T: David O'Meara · draw 3 8yo · G · b	576644	9-09	63	—	—	45.1	14/1·15.25	15·15.00 Matchbook · -2% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook15·15.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00Smarkets12.5·12.50BetTom11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00William Hill11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Betfair Exchange4.5·4.50
2	Yafaarr J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Sam England · draw 4 4yo · G · btCGoing 1/3Only runner	601324	9-11	65	—	—	43.3	13/2·7.63	6/1·7.00 Bet365 · -8% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Bet3656/1·7.00Matchbook6.6·6.60Unibet11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 7Bet5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00Smarkets5.9·5.90Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Betfair Exchange2.54·2.54
6	Adiada J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Michael Dods · draw 1 · combo 5/34 (15%) 3yo · F · bhOnly pairing	5248	9-06	67	—	—	42.6	22/1·24.15	20/1·21.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -13% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00Smarkets20·20.00Unibet18/1·19.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 BresBet18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00William Hill18/1·19.00 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00Matchbook18·18.00Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Betfair Exchange6·6.00
9	Whiskey Pete J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 7 · combo 7/78 (9%) 5yo · G · cht	000962	9-03	57	—	—	39.1	17/2·9.53	7/1·8.00 Betfair Sportsbook · -16% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Paddy Power7/1·8.00Matchbook7.8·7.80Smarkets7.8·7.80Unibet13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 BresBet13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50William Hill13/2·7.50 SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Betfair Exchange3.4·3.40
7	Sweet Kiss J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2 · combo 7/57 (12%) 4yo · F · bpFT P	945626	9-05	59	—	—	36.6	17/2·9.53	7/1·8.00 Bet365 · -16% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Bet3657/1·8.00Matchbook8·8.00BetTom13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 BresBet13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50William Hill13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50Smarkets7.2·7.20Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Betfair Exchange3.9·3.90
1	Chesneys Charm J: Jason Hart · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 9 · combo 3/31 (10%) 4yo · G · bClass dropOnly pairing	87607	9-12	66	—	—	34.3	12/1·13.98	10/1·11.00 Star Sports · -21% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Star Sports10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00William Hill10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Paddy Power10/1·11.00Smarkets10.5·10.50SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 7Bet9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 BresBet9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Betfred17/2·9.50Matchbook8.2·8.20Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 27% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Bakers Tailoring Handicap Stakes (Div II)?

The Bakers Tailoring Handicap Stakes (Div II) is off at 18:30 on 22 August 2026 at Redcar (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:30 Redcar?

1m2f, Class 5, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:30 Redcar?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:30 Redcar?

The AI top-rated runner is Always Blue (score 50.1, best price 3.95). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:30 Redcar?

The market favourite is Always Blue at a best price of 3.95.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org